Jose Medina — OGILVIE

Jose MedinaC DSL Royals Ventura

Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .279 / .280

PA5

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	125	99	29	3	1	0	22	25	3	0	1	293	432	343	775	51	392	20	18	365	133	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	131	30	4	1	0	26	36	2	0	2	229	365	275	640	46	303	22	16	299	88	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	76	12	1	0	0	24	16	1	0	0	158	366	171	537	13	200	16	24	282	77	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	125	109	23	2	1	0	13	37	3	0	1	211	312	248	560	37	318	30	10	261	63	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	140	24	3	1	0	17	52	2	0	2	171	270	207	478	36	235	32	10	213	30	-14	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	85	10	1	0	0	15	23	1	0	0	118	257	129	387	12	160	23	15	194	17	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	125	109	23	2	1	0	13	37	3	0	1	211	312	248	560	37	319	30	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Stewart	—	125	99	29	3	1	0	22	25	3	0	1	293	432	343	775	51	392	20	18	365	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	140	24	3	1	0	17	52	2	0	2	171	270	207	478	36	261	32	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	131	30	4	1	0	26	36	2	0	2	229	365	275	640	46	303	22	16	299	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	85	10	1	0	0	15	23	1	0	0	118	257	129	387	12	161	23	15	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	76	12	1	0	0	24	16	1	0	0	158	366	171	537	13	200	16	24	282	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	125	108	23	2	1	0	13	37	3	0	1	213	312	250	562	37	318	30	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	144	24	3	1	0	17	52	2	0	2	167	270	201	472	35	235	32	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	85	10	1	0	0	15	23	1	0	0	118	257	129	387	12	160	23	15	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	164	144	24	3	1	0	17	52	2	0	2	167	270	201	472	35	235	32	10	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	102	85	10	1	0	0	15	23	1	0	0	118	257	129	387	12	160	23	15	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		285	20	0	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	115	103	22	4	1	1	10	31	1	1	0	214	289	301	590	87	287	27	9	271	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	251	226	50	8	2	4	21	67	2	2	1	221	293	327	621	106	289	27	8	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	349	313	69	11	2	6	30	91	3	3	1	220	295	326	621	105	290	26	9	285	79	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	410	368	82	13	3	8	35	107	4	4	2	223	297	340	637	117	290	26	9	289	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	448	402	91	15	3	9	39	117	4	4	2	226	301	346	647	119	290	26	9	290	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	466	417	94	15	3	10	41	122	5	5	2	225	302	348	650	122	290	26	9	290	83	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	474	424	95	15	3	10	42	124	5	4	2	224	301	344	646	120	289	26	9	289	82	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	472	422	93	15	3	9	42	125	5	4	2	220	299	334	633	114	288	26	9	287	81	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	466	418	92	15	3	9	41	124	4	4	1	220	296	335	631	115	287	27	9	285	79	-12	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	441	395	84	13	2	8	39	119	4	3	1	213	290	316	606	104	285	27	9	280	76	-13	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	KC	52%	413	369	78	12	2	7	37	113	4	2	1	211	290	312	602	100	282	27	9	275	72	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	285	28	8	261	70	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	122	110	24	4	1	2	10	32	1	1	0	218	289	327	617	109	286	26	8	269	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	184	164	36	6	1	3	16	48	2	2	1	220	297	323	620	104	287	26	9	274	79	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	224	201	45	7	2	4	19	58	2	2	1	224	297	338	636	114	287	26	8	277	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	249	224	50	8	2	5	21	65	2	2	1	223	296	344	639	121	287	26	8	279	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	256	229	51	8	2	5	22	67	3	3	1	223	299	341	640	118	287	26	9	279	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	259	231	51	8	2	5	23	68	3	2	1	221	300	338	637	117	286	26	9	278	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	252	226	50	8	2	5	22	67	2	2	1	221	296	341	637	119	285	27	9	276	81	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	245	219	46	7	1	4	22	65	2	2	1	210	288	306	594	96	284	27	9	273	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	230	206	44	7	1	4	20	62	2	2	1	214	289	316	605	102	282	27	9	269	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	KC	52%	214	191	39	6	1	3	19	59	2	1	0	204	283	293	576	89	279	28	9	264	72	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2275	2038	443	70	15	40	197	602	21	19	8	217	293	325	618	108	287	26	9	274	76	-56	+1	-6	+41	+49	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	126	20	4	11	56	172	6	5	2	216	292	321	613	105	286	26	9	274	76	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4701	4196	908	142	29	81	422	1253	47	36	18	216	295	322	617	106	287	27	9	280	76	-108	+1	-10	+77	+93	5.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	126	20	4	11	58	173	6	5	2	217	295	322	617	105	288	27	9	280	76	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.5	2,334	44	20	221	294	333	+42	+28	4.7	4.3
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+8.0	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Medina (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	205/279/280	75	285	1	1	28%	8%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sandy León 2010 · A	21	39→49	35→45	45→30	41	188/242/243	55	269	3	5	30%	6%	38	-3.2	218/274/301	83	294	5	3	26%	7%	63	-1.3	237/298/344	107	301	10	0	24%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	41→48	36→45	46→55	43	195/257/255	61	273	4	12	29%	7%	47	-2.6	200/267/276	76	287	5	12	30%	8%	55	-1.9	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	41	195/245/269	75	266	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	236/283/325	89	313	8	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	247/301/337	90	312	4	24	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	44	-2.8	196/246/286	90	292	6	6	33%	6%	49	-2.4	184/232/270	86	270	6	5	33%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	54	-2.0	201/288/312	111	366	10	4	43%	10%	72	-0.7	185/281/295	109	345	11	2	44%	11%	63	-0.7
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	197/270/305	108	273	9	3	29%	8%	64	-1.3	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Marquez 2018 · A	20	41	37→50	44→50	40	195/244/271	76	263	4	4	27%	5%	45	-2.7	217/261/322	105	296	8	7	28%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/320	120	277	13	10	32%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Sergio Alcántara 2016 · A	20	39→49	34→45	46→50	46	184/254/235	51	259	2	6	28%	8%	41	-3.0	225/272/284	59	291	2	8	22%	6%	58	-1.7	210/288/320	110	286	12	4	29%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Jon Del Campo 2010 · A	22	41	37→45	49→55	40	196/233/275	78	257	4	5	25%	4%	41	-3.0	219/252/315	96	289	7	10	26%	4%	58	-1.7	267/298/376	109	332	10	18	22%	3%	90	+0.3
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Christian Lara 2006 · A	21	42→49	36→45	49→50	41	199/248/264	65	276	4	6	28%	6%	45	-2.7	207/265/286	79	292	5	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	221/272/322	101	300	8	9	28%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Joe Rizzo 2019 · A	21	43→48	38→50	47→40	41	205/258/277	72	292	6	5	31%	6%	52	-2.2	223/269/328	105	291	11	4	26%	5%	68	-1.0	232/279/362	130	287	16	2	25%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Blake Perkins 2017 · A	20	40→50	36→50	42→55	42	192/244/257	65	265	4	7	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/273/290	83	294	6	16	29%	8%	61	-1.5	226/309/352	126	299	12	25	27%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	39	187/248/259	72	259	4	4	28%	5%	45	-2.7	223/289/310	87	301	6	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	241/310/327	86	323	6	5	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Miguel Gómez 2013 · A	20	42→52	38→50	49→40	41	199/257/279	80	273	4	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	221/266/318	97	290	7	5	25%	5%	64	-1.3	271/289/403	131	306	13	1	16%	2%	89	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps