Jose Medina — OGILVIE

Jose MedinaC DSL Royals Ventura

Age 21 S/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.2 · 2032

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .279 / .310

PA59

HR1

K%28

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.7	$18M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.4	$15M	+$11M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.0	$11M	+$7M
Totals		$15M		$105M	+$90M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	125	108	24	2	1	0	14	37	3	0	1	.222	.328	.259	.587	.037	.338	30	11	.265	61	-6	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	164	140	22	2	0	0	17	52	2	0	2	.157	.258	.171	.429	.014	.239	32	10	.212	20	-15	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	102	86	10	1	0	0	14	23	1	0	0	.116	.248	.128	.375	.012	.159	23	14	.193	6	-11	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	KC	59	53	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	.208	.288	.302	.590	.094	.287	29	8	.270	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	KC	115	103	23	4	1	2	10	31	1	2	0	.223	.298	.340	.638	.117	.289	27	9	.288	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	23	MLB 28%	KC	251	224	51	9	2	6	22	65	3	4	1	.228	.305	.366	.671	.138	.290	26	9	.300	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2029	24	MLB 45%	KC	349	311	72	13	2	9	31	89	4	6	1	.232	.309	.373	.682	.141	.291	26	9	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2030	25	MLB 60%	KC	410	366	85	15	3	11	37	104	4	7	1	.232	.310	.380	.689	.148	.292	25	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.9
2031	26	MLB 77%	KC	448	398	94	17	3	13	42	113	5	8	2	.236	.317	.392	.709	.156	.293	25	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2032	27	MLB 92%	KC	466	414	97	17	3	13	44	118	5	8	1	.234	.315	.384	.699	.150	.293	25	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2033	28	MLB	KC	474	421	98	17	3	13	45	121	5	7	1	.233	.314	.380	.694	.147	.293	26	9	.313	97	-1	+1	-1	+8	+13	2.1
2034	29	MLB	KC	472	419	97	17	3	13	45	122	5	6	1	.232	.313	.379	.693	.148	.292	26	10	.310	96	-2	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2035	30	MLB	KC	466	413	96	17	3	13	45	122	5	5	0	.232	.315	.383	.698	.150	.290	26	10	.307	93	-4	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.7
2036	31	MLB	KC	441	392	88	15	2	12	42	117	4	3	0	.224	.306	.365	.671	.140	.289	27	10	.304	90	-5	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.4
2037	32	MLB	KC	413	367	82	14	2	11	39	112	4	1	0	.223	.305	.362	.667	.139	.287	27	9	.299	87	-6	+0	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB	KC	373	332	72	12	2	9	35	104	3	0	0	.217	.297	.346	.644	.130	.286	28	9	.293	83	-7	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2039	34	MLB	KC	322	286	61	10	2	7	30	92	3	0	0	.213	.295	.336	.630	.122	.284	29	9	.287	78	-8	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.2
2040	35	MLB	KC	266	237	49	8	1	6	25	79	2	0	0	.207	.288	.325	.613	.118	.282	30	9	.279	72	-8	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.2
2041	36	MLB	KC	210	187	37	6	1	4	19	65	2	0	0	.198	.279	.305	.584	.107	.279	31	9	.271	65	-8	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5926	5257	1169	198	34	143	561	1583	62	58	11	.222	.305	.355	.659	.132	.288	27	9	.297	86	-96	+7	-31	+106	+168	15.6
/ 162G	—			650	577	129	22	4	16	62	174	7	6	1	.224	.307	.359	.666	.135	.290	27	10	.297	86	-11	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	125	99	29	3	1	22	25	3	1	.293	.432	.343	.775	.051	.392	20	18	.365	138	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	164	131	30	4	1	26	36	2	2	.229	.365	.275	.640	.046	.303	22	16	.299	87	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	102	76	12	1	0	24	16	1	0	.158	.366	.171	.537	.013	.200	16	24	.282	74	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Medina (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.210/.279/.310	.100	.287	1	1	28%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Héctor Sánchez 2010 · A	20	50→49	41→50	47→30	50	.238/.311/.340	.102	.287	7	4	19%	8%	85	+0.7	.237/.278/.346	.109	.290	9	2	21%	5%	72	-0.2	.246/.283/.364	.119	.300	13	0	22%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→50	46→50	50→30	42	.233/.294/.366	.133	.327	13	9	31%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.294/.363	.134	.310	13	3	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.224/.289/.360	.136	.304	14	1	29%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Ramon Santana 2007 · A	21	47→53	46→45	51→45	50	.231/.315/.365	.134	.294	14	5	25%	9%	94	+1.3	.216/.287/.331	.115	.306	10	8	31%	7%	73	-0.1	.218/.286/.331	.113	.315	10	8	32%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	45	43→45	45	55	.219/.316/.335	.117	.281	10	7	24%	11%	87	+0.8	.189/.276/.300	.111	.271	12	5	32%	10%	61	-1.0	.156/.243/.246	.090	.223	11	4	33%	10%	31	-1.3
✕Francisco Mejía 2018 · AA	22	51→61	46→55	47→40	43	.255/.295/.381	.126	.299	13	6	20%	5%	89	+0.9	.242/.286/.391	.149	.291	16	4	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
✕Andrew Knizner 2017 · A	22	49	44→50	48→40	48	.239/.314/.358	.119	.271	11	4	16%	6%	92	+1.2	.249/.298/.369	.120	.284	13	3	17%	5%	87	+0.8	.250/.298/.373	.123	.283	15	2	17%	5%	86	+0.5
●Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2007 · AA	22	46→54	48→60	43→40	45	.231/.294/.376	.145	.290	16	4	26%	7%	88	+0.9	.243/.307/.392	.149	.314	17	3	27%	8%	97	+1.5	.234/.298/.435	.201	.302	25	2	30%	8%	101	+1.3
●Max Ramirez 2006 · A	21	51→52	44→55	43→40	46	.250/.307/.372	.122	.308	12	4	22%	7%	92	+1.2	.247/.323/.392	.145	.323	16	3	27%	9%	104	+2.0	.250/.335/.416	.166	.325	20	2	27%	10%	113	+2.0
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
●Francisco Cervelli 2008 · A	22	49→59	39→45	45	47	.229/.313/.324	.095	.307	4	6	25%	8%	82	+0.5	.245/.316/.331	.086	.309	4	5	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.252/.365/.369	.117	.312	10	4	20%	13%	113	+1.6
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→45	43→50	47→45	50	.231/.307/.347	.116	.285	10	9	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.226/.277/.353	.127	.290	14	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.224/.279/.364	.140	.271	17	6	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→46	38→45	50	54	.219/.318/.315	.096	.276	3	14	20%	10%	83	+0.6	.208/.297/.326	.118	.259	9	9	22%	9%	76	+0.1	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Ryan Jeffers 2019 · A	22	52→54	43→60	44→40	48	.250/.320/.362	.112	.314	10	4	23%	8%	95	+1.4	.224/.290/.355	.131	.299	16	2	29%	7%	81	+0.4	.248/.335/.427	.180	.291	22	3	22%	9%	114	+1.9
✕Connor Wong 2018 · A	22	47→55	49→55	47→50	39	.234/.284/.379	.144	.318	17	8	31%	6%	84	+0.6	.208/.261/.369	.161	.334	21	8	42%	6%	72	-0.2	.245/.299/.393	.149	.318	17	10	28%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	.227/.314/.329	.102	.280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.215/.317/.288	.073	.287	4	7	24%	10%	76	+0.1	.207/.331/.267	.060	.268	4	7	21%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2019 · A	21	47→44	48→55	44→45	44	.240/.283/.377	.137	.272	16	6	19%	5%	83	+0.6	.228/.265/.366	.138	.271	16	6	22%	4%	72	-0.2	.219/.264/.387	.168	.253	22	1	23%	4%	76	+0.0
●Chance Sisco 2016 · AA	21	55→63	39→50	46→40	45	.260/.311/.350	.090	.327	7	5	22%	6%	87	+0.8	.255/.315/.356	.101	.340	8	4	26%	7%	91	+1.1	.247/.317/.349	.102	.342	9	2	28%	7%	88	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)