Santiago GomezSS Tampa Tarpons
Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 111 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .282 / .293
PA111
HR1
K%26
BB%7
BABIP271
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.70.70.6+$23M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT34
scouting grade only
POWER38
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED71
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 155132 19312 18585 225 144271227498 83236 3712 223 29
202218 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 155122 28523 28395 225 230394377771 148312 2518 357 132
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 184147 30701 185017 203 204357272629 68296 2710 275 69
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 184134 381002 313317 203 284473403876 119356 1817 406 169
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9584 17101 4347 97 202295250545 48327 364 247 47
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9581 26202 7227 97 321421420841 99421 237 386 154
202521 ROK3 teams 228193 28202 147718 307 145267187453 41222 346 209 18
202521 ROK3 teams 228185 43413 215018 307 232364314678 81296 229 318 102
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 ANYY 7465 11410 5203 61 169260262522 92239 277 235 38 -5 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
YTD22 ANYY 7463 13510 7143 61 206315317633 111260 199 290 80 -2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.2
ROS22 ANYY 0% 11199 20411 8293 41 202282293575 91267 267 263 59 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.0
ROS22 MLBNYY 0% 01 0000 000 00 268 243 44 +0 +0
FULL22 ANYY 7466 11410 5203 61 167260258518 91234 277 235 38 -5 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
TOT22 ANYY 185164 31821 13496 102 189273280554 91259 267 252 51 -10 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBNYY 34% 251224 461014 18647 72 205285312598 107269 257 273 67 -9 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
202824 MLBNYY 46% 345307 651326 26879 102 212292326618 114271 258 280 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.4
202925 MLBNYY 52% 399356 761627 3010010 123 213293329622 115273 258 284 76 -11 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.6
203026 MLBNYY 54% 434387 821728 3310811 133 212292328621 116273 258 286 77 -11 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.7
203127 MLBNYY 54% 449400 851729 3511211 133 212294333626 120273 258 286 77 -12 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.7
203228 MLBNYY 54% 454405 871829 3511411 133 215295336631 121273 258 285 76 -12 +1 -1 +5 +13 0.6
202723 MLBNYY 34% 8678 15301 6222 31 192267269537 77270 267 255 53 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202824 MLBNYY 46% 159142 30613 12404 51 211291331622 120273 258 263 60 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
202925 MLBNYY 52% 206184 39814 15515 61 212289332621 120274 257 268 63 -9 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.0
203026 MLBNYY 54% 235209 45915 18596 71 215296340636 124275 258 270 65 -9 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203127 MLBNYY 54% 244217 471015 19616 72 217298341639 124274 258 270 65 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203228 MLBNYY 54% 246219 471015 19626 71 215295338633 123274 258 269 64 -10 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 11761050 22346523 8929529 357 212292331624 119271 258 268 63 -49 +4 -0 +13 +33 0.1
/ 162G 650580 12325313 4916316 194 212291333624 121270 258 268 63 -27 +2 -0 +7 +18 0.0
Career 31052734 5551081350 239833109 15339 203293307600 104270 278 272 67 -117 +15 -1 +33 +88 1.9
/ 162G 650572 11623310 5017423 328 203293306599 103270 278 272 67 -25 +3 -0 +7 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 155122 28523 28395 225 230394377771 148312 2518 357 132 +6 +2 +4 1.3
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 184134 381002 313317 203 284473403876 119356 1817 406 169 +14 +3 +5 2.3
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9581 26202 7227 97 321421420841 99421 237 386 154 +6 -1 +3 0.8
202521 ATampa Tarpons 5847 8101 7163 91 170316255571 85226 2812 274 68 -2 +1 +2 0.1
202521 ROKFCL Yankees 140114 29202 103113 204 254377325701 70325 227 328 109 +1 +2 +4 0.8
202521 INTLVenados de Mazatlan 3024 6110 432 12 250400375775 125286 1013 359 133 +1 -1 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,3622439213290328+15+121.71.7
/1626641219+7.1+5.90.8pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Santiago Gomez (OGILVIE) 22 29→34 33→38 66→71 47 189/273/280 91259 110 26% 7% 51 -0.2
Roberto Caro
2016 · A
22 44→38 38→40 61→60 48 208/284/299 91280 320 25% 8% 63 -0.9 207/276/283 76320 218 33% 8% 55 -1.4 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Hoy Park
2018 · A
22 43→49 40→45 58→55 46 205/275/300 94276 617 27% 8% 59 -1.1 222/298/307 85300 516 25% 9% 71 -0.3 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
Cayden Wallace
2023 · A
21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
Johan Mieses
2015 · A
20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Clay Fuller
2009 · A
22 45 42→45 59→55 44 212/292/327 115313 820 32% 8% 74 -0.1 209/278/327 118293 1218 31% 7% 68 -0.5 204/269/322118278141831%7%60-0.7
Manuel Hilario
2014 · A
22 44 40→45 57→55 47 209/283/310 101272 618 24% 8% 66 -0.6 206/261/285 79284 510 28% 6% 50 -1.8 167/216/2084122441026%4%8-0.8
Tyler James
2018 · A
21 44 36→30 64→65 42 204/266/281 77293 227 29% 7% 50 -1.7 220/283/294 74332 427 32% 7% 61 -1.0 230/297/2896035244533%8%61-0.4
Randy Romero
2022 · A
22 46 35→40 59→60 44 214/257/281 66260 221 18% 5% 46 -2.0 199/246/267 68293 413 32% 5% 37 -2.6 166/202/2023626431937%4%1-1.0
Ismael Alcantara
2021 · A
22 44→28 38→45 57→50 41 201/270/281 80317 516 36% 8% 53 -1.5 213/271/338 125320 1313 35% 6% 68 -0.5 202/261/313111301121635%6%53-0.8
John Rhodes
2023 · AA
22 44→34 41→40 58→50 48 209/290/312 103280 716 26% 8% 69 -0.4 183/250/282 99265 109 33% 7% 45 -2.1 165/231/2538824010734%7%26-2.5
David Kandilas
2013 · A
22 44 40→45 55 43 214/268/317 103278 715 25% 6% 60 -1.0 211/272/306 95281 817 26% 7% 59 -1.1 204/268/2969326982026%7%53-1.0
Darin Mastroianni
2009 · A
23 42→52 38→40 60 41 201/253/277 76278 522 29% 6% 43 -2.2 244/309/320 76313 335 21% 8% 78 +0.2 252/319/3287631723819%8%81+0.4
Francisco Santana
2010 · A
22 43 42→50 57→55 43 212/261/324 112266 913 24% 6% 59 -1.1 198/235/292 94282 78 31% 4% 39 -2.5 164/182/259962306632%2%4-1.5
Jacob Young
2022 · A
23 43→53 38→40 57→60 43 204/254/284 80263 521 24% 6% 46 -2.0 243/304/321 78311 431 21% 7% 76 +0.1 252/314/3297731933620%6%80+0.3
Levi Michael
2014 · A
23 39→49 37→45 55 49 187/266/263 76252 413 26% 9% 46 -2.0 219/285/303 84294 416 25% 7% 64 -0.8 226/293/341115319101130%5%75+0.0
Kristopher Negrón
2008 · A
22 42→51 37→45 55 43 202/266/271 69272 418 26% 6% 48 -1.9 225/285/322 97290 720 24% 6% 69 -0.4 230/293/33310329492323%6%72-0.2
Adonis Pacheco
2013 · A
22 45 39→50 57→55 45 213/271/312 99277 416 24% 7% 60 -1.0 204/258/296 92260 511 22% 6% 50 -1.7 160/206/240801913917%6%11-1.2
Lolo Sanchez
2021 · A
22 43 39→45 54→55 45 207/270/301 93254 621 20% 6% 57 -1.2 209/281/312 103254 1118 21% 8% 66 -0.6 196/272/28790235101721%8%53-0.9
Eric Brown Jr.
2023 · A
22 45→33 43→40 58→65 45 218/293/335 117292 1027 28% 8% 77 +0.1 191/260/272 81254 728 26% 7% 46 -2.0 158/229/2287021361728%7%19-1.6