Hale Sims — OGILVIE

Hale Sims P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 290 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%19.5%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	19	91	23	8	1	0%	1.3	18.2%	9.7%	8.5%	2.6%	6.98	4.21	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	19	91	23	8	1	0%	1.3	18.2%	9.7%	8.5%	2.6%	6.98	4.21	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	19	91	23	8	1	0%	1.3	25.3%	8.8%	16.5%	1.1%	6.98	2.63	—
2025	25	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	63	267	71	15	4	0%	1.5	19.7%	6.6%	13.0%	2.3%	3.73	3.53	—
2025	25	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	63	267	71	15	4	0%	1.5	19.7%	6.6%	13.0%	2.3%	3.73	3.53	—
2025	25	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	41	0	63	267	71	15	4	0%	1.5	26.6%	5.6%	21.0%	1.5%	3.73	2.38	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CWS	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	7.0%	12.5%	2.9%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	291	58	21	9	0%	1.0	19.8%	7.3%	12.6%	3.0%	4.33	4.35	+0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	282	56	21	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	7.6%	12.4%	3.1%	4.39	4.43	+0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	54	21	9	0%	1.0	19.9%	7.9%	12.0%	3.2%	4.49	4.56	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	24	0	25	106	21	8	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	7.3%	12.6%	3.0%	4.33	4.35	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	37	0	39	165	33	12	5	0%	1.1	20.0%	7.6%	12.4%	3.1%	4.39	4.43	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	43	0	45	190	38	15	6	0%	1.0	19.9%	7.9%	12.0%	3.2%	4.49	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		104	0	109	461	92	35	14	0%	1.1	19.9%	7.6%	12.3%	3.1%	4.42	4.08	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	64	26	0%	1.1	19.9%	7.6%	12.3%	3.1%	4.42	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		56	0	82	358	69	27	8	0%	1.5	19.3%	7.4%	11.9%	2.4%	4.50	3.71	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	873	169	65	21	0%	1.5	19.3%	7.4%	11.9%	2.4%	4.50	3.71	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hale Sims (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	19.5%	7.0%	2.9%	—	4.44	19.9%	12.4%	200	+0.13	—	—	—
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	90
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	89
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	88
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	87
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	87
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	87
Johnny Magliozzi R 2017 · 3.22 FIP	26	SU	3.22	17.1%	5.9%	1.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	131	86
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	86
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	86
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	86
Josh Martin R 2016 · 3.38 FIP	26	SU	3.38	19.1%	8.7%	1.4%	.279	4.06	21.5%	10.2%	92	+0.68	2.41	225	86
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	86
Seth Frankoff R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	26	SU	4.01	19.6%	7.4%	2.9%	.312	4.29	20.0%	11.3%	177	+0.28	2.88	263	85
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	85
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	85
Bryan Shaw R 2015 · 3.90 FIP	27	SU	3.90	20.4%	6.8%	3.0%	.276	3.54	23.3%	15.0%	198	-0.36	2.78	596	85
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	20.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.313	4.86	14.1%	5.8%	66	+1.46	2.89	237	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	85
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	85
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	19.8%	7.4%	1.17	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45