Jared Dickey

RF Las Vegas Aviators
Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+OAK478.259/.343/.385101068—.218/.288/.322
202523AA/A+OAK521.269/.380/.3816872—.220/.301/.299
202624AAA/AAOAK482.249/.353/.3739875—.223/.301/.320
2027PROJ10% MLB25MLBOAK21.234/.309/.3340079-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB26MLBOAK88.235/.310/.3421182-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
K%83
BB%80
Whiff%72
Z-Con%66
Speed66
Max EV46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 5.5, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 84%
CompsJeff Duncan (age 25) · Francisco Ferreiro (age 25) · Drew Heid (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .309 / .334
PA21
HR0
K%19
BB%10
BABIP285
ISO53
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AColumbia Fireflies — 11395 33530 12114 30 347441463905 116384 1011 400 132 — — — — — —
202422 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 478421 10915410 428712 106 259343385728 126303 189 329 68 — — — — — —
202523 AAMidland RockHounds — 146123 38700 18211 11 309401366767 57358 1412 345 82 — — — — — —
202523 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 375308 781736 56512 73 253372386758 133277 1415 338 68 — — — — — —
202624 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 413348 891436 60642 61 256368365733 109296 1515 335 80 — — — — — —
202624 AAMidland RockHounds — 6965 14403 4150 20 215261415676 200234 226 297 45 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 11398 33430 9164 30 337414439853 102374 148 364 132 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 478432 941239 3111312 106 218288322610 104266 246 268 68 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 146129 34500 12261 11 264331302633 39308 188 289 82 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 375326 661225 38672 73 202290298587 95224 1810 268 68 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 413365 851235 43772 61 233317323640 90279 1910 287 80 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 6966 11302 3180 20 167203303506 136209 264 234 45 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 11398 33430 9164 30 337414439853 102393 148 364 132 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 11395 33530 12114 30 347441463905 116384 1011 400 132 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 478432 941239 3111312 106 218288322610 104272 246 268 68 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWLansing Lugnuts — 478421 10915410 428712 106 259343385728 126303 189 329 68 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 521455 1001725 50933 84 220301299600 79257 1810 274 72 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW2 teams — 521431 1162436 74723 84 269380381760 111301 1414 340 72 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 482432 971637 45952 81 225301324625 100271 209 279 75 — — — — — —
202624 AAA RAW2 teams — 482413 1031839 64792 81 249353373726 123287 1613 330 75 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 11399 33430 9164 30 333414434849 101374 148 364 132 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 478432 941239 3111312 106 218288322610 104266 246 268 68 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 521463 1001725 50933 84 216301294595 78248 1810 274 72 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 482432 971637 45952 81 225301324625 100269 209 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 478432 941239 3111312 106 218288322610 104266 246 268 68 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 521463 1001725 50933 84 216301294595 78248 1810 274 72 — — — — — —
202624 AAA MLE2 teams — 482432 971637 45952 81 225301324625 100269 209 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEOAK 10% 380341 771325 34762 51 228303323626 96276 209 285 79 -10 +1 +0 -4 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXOAK 10% 2119 4100 240 00 234309334643 100285 1910 291 79 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEOAK 35% 254227 52914 23512 31 229305331636 102277 209 289 82 -6 +0 +0 -3 +6 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXOAK 35% 8879 18311 8181 10 235310342652 106286 209 295 82 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8879 18311 8181 10 228307329636 101283 209 295 77 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 1322277 591337 70 226305324628 98282 209 295 77 -14 +1 +0 -7 +14 -0.6
Career— MLE — 20581832 419651328 17741024 3513 229305324629 96276 209 282 77 -11 +0 +0 -5 +10 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1332149 561298 114 230307326633 97277 209 282 77 -15 +1 +0 -7 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 413 PAwOBA .328 → .287 (−41)K% 15.5% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.50%÷1.000×1.200——18.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04810.33%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.940—×1.0480.48%
Singles /BIP23.24%÷1.000×0.930×0.988×1.04822.38%
Doubles /BIP4.93%÷1.000×0.830×0.988×1.0484.24%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.000×0.970×0.988×1.0481.06%
Home runs /BIP2.11%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0481.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .328 → .287; ISO .109 → .092; BABIP .296 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 69 PAwOBA .289 → .234 (−54)K% 21.7% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷1.000×1.220——26.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.80%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0124.11%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP14.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.01213.06%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷1.000×0.840×1.002×1.0126.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.002×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP6.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0124.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .289 → .234; ISO .200 → .157; BABIP .234 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 375 PAwOBA .338 → .268 (−70)K% 13.6% → 17.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.60%÷0.969×1.270——17.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.93%÷1.048×0.710—×0.99810.10%
HBP% /PA0.53%—×0.790—×0.9980.42%
Singles /BIP20.23%÷1.078×0.920×1.008×0.99817.37%
Doubles /BIP6.61%÷1.199×0.810×1.008×0.9984.50%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷1.150×0.850×1.008×0.9980.87%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.921×0.800—×0.9982.02%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .338 → .268; ISO .133 → .107; BABIP .277 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 146 PAwOBA .346 → .289 (−57)K% 14.4% → 17.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.38%÷0.988×1.220——17.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.33%÷1.078×0.700—×1.0278.22%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.870—×1.0270.61%
Singles /BIP30.39%÷1.012×0.920×0.950×1.02726.94%
Doubles /BIP6.86%÷1.131×0.840×0.950×1.0274.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.940×0.950×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.043×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .346 → .289; ISO .057 → .043; BABIP .358 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 478 PAwOBA .322 → .268 (−54)K% 18.2% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.20%÷0.974×1.270——23.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.79%÷0.974×0.710—×1.0126.48%
HBP% /PA2.51%—×0.790—×1.0122.01%
Singles /BIP23.95%÷1.036×0.920×1.001×1.01221.53%
Doubles /BIP4.49%÷0.992×0.810×1.001×1.0123.71%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.150×0.850×1.001×1.0120.90%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷0.867×0.800—×1.0122.80%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .322 → .268; ISO .126 → .107; BABIP .303 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AColumbia Fireflies · 113 PAwOBA .397 → .364 (−34)K% 9.7% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.73%÷0.952×1.360——13.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.62%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0157.62%
HBP% /PA3.54%—×0.780—×1.0152.80%
Singles /BIP29.76%÷0.970×0.920×1.050×1.01530.07%
Doubles /BIP5.95%÷1.023×0.830×1.050×1.0155.15%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.150×0.910×1.050×1.0153.01%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.089×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .397 → .364; ISO .116 → .101; BABIP .384 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).