Jared Dickey — OGILVIE

Jared DickeyRF Midland RockHounds

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2029

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .304 / .334

PA320

HR5

SB7

K%20

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

49↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$9M		$7M	-$2M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	113	99	32	4	2	0	8	16	4	3	0	.323	.396	.404	.800	.081	.376	14	7	.350	126	+3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.6
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	478	432	92	12	2	9	31	114	12	10	6	.213	.284	.312	.597	.100	.266	24	6	.263	59	-22	-0	+0	-5	+14	-1.4
2025	23	A+	2 teams	521	455	99	17	2	6	50	95	3	8	4	.218	.299	.303	.603	.086	.253	18	10	.270	65	-21	+0	+0	-6	+15	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	37	34	10	3	0	2	3	9	0	2	0	.294	.351	.559	.910	.265	.348	24	8	.363	136	+2	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	283	254	59	10	1	6	24	59	3	5	2	.232	.306	.350	.656	.118	.283	21	8	.299	87	-4	+0	+0	-3	+8	0.1
TOT	24	MLB	OAK	320	288	69	13	1	8	27	68	3	7	2	.240	.311	.375	.686	.135	.286	21	8	.306	93	-3	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	OAK	370	330	80	14	2	8	33	70	4	6	2	.242	.319	.370	.688	.127	.281	19	9	.308	94	-3	+0	+0	-4	+10	0.4
2028	26	MLB 26%	OAK	407	363	87	15	2	9	37	78	4	7	2	.240	.317	.366	.683	.127	.282	19	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	-4	+12	0.6
2029	27	MLB 44%	OAK	420	373	91	16	2	10	39	82	5	7	2	.244	.324	.378	.702	.134	.282	20	9	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	-4	+12	0.7
2030	28	MLB 53%	OAK	425	377	91	16	2	10	40	84	5	6	2	.241	.322	.374	.696	.133	.282	20	9	.311	96	-2	+0	-1	-5	+12	0.5
2031	29	MLB 64%	OAK	420	374	89	16	2	9	39	84	4	6	2	.238	.317	.364	.680	.126	.282	20	9	.309	94	-3	+0	-1	-4	+12	0.4
2032	30	MLB 73%	OAK	414	368	87	15	2	9	39	84	4	5	1	.236	.316	.361	.678	.125	.280	20	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-2	-4	+12	0.2
2033	31	MLB 81%	OAK	401	356	83	15	2	8	38	83	4	4	1	.233	.314	.354	.668	.121	.279	21	9	.302	89	-5	+0	-3	-4	+11	-0.0
2034	32	MLB	OAK	384	341	79	14	2	8	36	82	4	3	0	.232	.312	.355	.667	.123	.277	21	9	.297	86	-6	+1	-4	-4	+11	-0.2
2035	33	MLB	OAK	355	316	71	12	1	7	33	78	3	2	0	.225	.304	.335	.639	.111	.276	22	9	.292	81	-7	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.5
2036	34	MLB	OAK	311	276	60	10	1	5	29	71	3	2	0	.217	.299	.315	.614	.098	.274	23	9	.285	77	-8	+0	-5	-3	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5302	4714	1100	186	25	104	476	1080	62	74	24	.233	.312	.350	.661	.116	.279	20	9	.298	86	-85	+5	-20	-57	+150	-0.6
/ 162G	—			650	578	135	23	3	13	58	132	8	9	3	.234	.312	.351	.663	.118	.279	20	9	.298	86	-10	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	113	95	33	5	3	0	12	11	4	3	0	.347	.441	.463	.905	.116	.384	10	11	.400	164	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	478	421	109	15	4	10	42	87	12	10	6	.259	.343	.385	.728	.126	.303	18	9	.329	110	+5	-0	—	—	+14	1.9
2025	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	146	123	38	7	0	0	18	21	1	1	1	.309	.401	.366	.767	.057	.358	14	12	.345	122	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	375	308	78	17	3	6	56	51	2	7	3	.253	.372	.386	.758	.133	.277	14	15	.338	117	+7	+0	—	—	+11	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Dickey (OGILVIE)	24	50	35	45	60	.229/.304/.334	.106	.279	5	4	20%	9%	82	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bijan Rademacher 2016 · AA	25	48	41→45	44→45	49	.232/.302/.339	.107	.292	8	7	22%	8%	81	+0.4	.240/.302/.350	.110	.303	10	5	23%	8%	84	+0.6	.239/.295/.335	.096	.301	9	2	23%	7%	74	-0.0
●Will Brennan 2022 · AA	24	49→59	40→45	48→50	47	.235/.298/.336	.100	.286	7	12	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.268/.315/.386	.118	.307	10	15	16%	6%	98	+1.6	.278/.321/.398	.120	.311	10	16	14%	5%	100	+1.4
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2017 · AA	24	49→53	42→50	48→50	46	.239/.290/.351	.112	.287	9	9	20%	6%	79	+0.3	.244/.299/.366	.122	.296	11	9	21%	7%	86	+0.8	.248/.308/.381	.134	.295	13	9	20%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	24	54	42→40	46→40	48	.259/.317/.373	.114	.327	9	6	23%	8%	95	+1.4	.249/.310/.343	.094	.309	7	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.243/.299/.322	.080	.291	7	2	18%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Matt Young 2007 · AA	24	54→58	38→40	45→60	52	.253/.319/.332	.080	.299	4	11	17%	8%	86	+0.8	.252/.320/.332	.080	.302	3	18	16%	8%	85	+0.7	.264/.335/.359	.095	.304	4	30	13%	8%	96	+1.4
✕Nate Spears 2009 · AAA	24	50→55	40→45	47→50	48	.240/.304/.339	.099	.293	7	7	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.230/.296/.342	.112	.272	9	9	18%	8%	79	+0.3	.213/.290/.342	.129	.258	13	10	22%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2007 · A	24	50→53	43→45	46→50	52	.242/.316/.358	.116	.296	10	9	21%	9%	92	+1.2	.239/.318/.351	.112	.295	9	11	20%	10%	91	+1.1	.235/.315/.343	.108	.285	8	11	19%	10%	85	+0.6
●Justin Yurchak 2021 · A	24	46→56	40	43→40	47	.223/.280/.320	.097	.277	7	4	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.267/.331/.374	.107	.335	10	4	22%	8%	102	+1.8	.264/.336/.364	.099	.327	10	2	21%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Matt Koperniak 2022 · AA	24	52→54	44→50	43→45	47	.251/.319/.371	.121	.298	11	6	19%	6%	97	+1.5	.254/.309/.386	.132	.307	15	9	22%	6%	96	+1.5	.259/.311/.398	.139	.311	17	9	22%	6%	97	+1.3
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	49	42→45	47→45	45	.236/.291/.348	.112	.287	9	7	21%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.281/.337	.111	.295	9	8	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.215/.272/.322	.107	.288	8	8	27%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Drew Heid 2012 · A	24	52→56	40	46→50	46	.248/.302/.334	.086	.298	8	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	.237/.299/.326	.089	.298	7	12	21%	8%	76	+0.0	.237/.299/.324	.087	.299	6	11	22%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Ramón Flores 2016 · MLB	24	49→57	43→45	45→50	50	.238/.301/.352	.114	.282	10	6	19%	8%	83	+0.6	.236/.305/.337	.101	.286	9	8	19%	9%	82	+0.5	.250/.321/.352	.102	.304	9	10	20%	9%	89	+0.5
✕Josh Fellhauer 2012 · AA	24	48→53	39→40	40→45	45	.229/.279/.316	.086	.284	6	8	21%	6%	65	-0.7	.247/.307/.331	.084	.319	5	7	22%	8%	80	+0.4	.256/.321/.338	.082	.337	4	5	23%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Nolan Earley 2015 · A	24	50	39→40	41→40	48	.237/.300/.332	.094	.286	6	5	18%	7%	78	+0.2	.219/.271/.295	.076	.299	4	4	26%	6%	56	-1.3	.212/.262/.271	.059	.295	2	1	27%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Reed Eastley 2007 · A	24	48→49	43→40	42→40	49	.236/.305/.341	.105	.278	10	4	19%	7%	83	+0.6	.229/.299/.321	.092	.295	7	5	23%	8%	76	+0.0	.225/.300/.308	.082	.299	5	3	24%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Rene Tosoni 2010 · AA	24	50→49	45	45	45	.240/.313/.369	.128	.311	11	9	25%	7%	94	+1.3	.223/.284/.344	.121	.291	11	7	26%	6%	75	-0.0	.204/.259/.305	.101	.263	9	5	25%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Jorge Cortes 2006 · AA	25	49→57	41→45	46→45	46	.235/.295/.333	.098	.304	9	5	25%	7%	76	+0.1	.250/.309/.349	.099	.304	7	6	19%	7%	85	+0.7	.256/.330/.368	.113	.301	9	6	17%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Caleb Gindl 2013 · AAA	24	48→54	44→50	46→50	46	.236/.290/.359	.123	.289	11	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	.222/.276/.346	.124	.282	12	5	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.240/.285/.363	.124	.292	11	1	21%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Dario Pizzano 2015 · AA	24	50→57	45→50	47→40	53	.241/.307/.377	.136	.270	10	4	15%	8%	93	+1.3	.234/.289/.359	.125	.263	10	4	15%	6%	80	+0.4	.235/.293/.359	.124	.253	14	2	14%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Cal Stevenson 2021 · A	24	51→56	39→45	50→60	55	.240/.316/.326	.086	.288	5	12	18%	10%	83	+0.6	.225/.305/.334	.109	.299	11	19	26%	10%	82	+0.5	.240/.333/.358	.118	.308	11	30	23%	12%	98	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)