Jared Dickey — OGILVIE

Jared DickeyRF Las Vegas Aviators

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION286 act + 190 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .292 / .322

PA190

HR3

K%21

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	113	99	32	4	2	0	8	17	4	3	0	323	396	404	800	81	381	15	7	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	113	95	33	5	3	0	12	11	4	3	0	347	441	463	905	116	384	10	11	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	478	431	89	12	2	11	32	124	12	10	6	206	280	320	600	114	261	26	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	478	421	109	15	4	10	42	87	12	10	6	259	343	385	728	126	303	18	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	521	458	94	15	2	6	47	101	3	8	4	205	283	286	569	81	242	19	9	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	521	431	116	24	3	6	74	72	3	8	4	269	380	381	760	111	301	14	14	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	OAK	—	286	255	54	11	2	6	26	59	2	5	1	212	290	341	631	129	250	21	9	274	68	-10	+1	+0	-3	+8	-0.5
YTD	24	AAA	OAK	—	286	245	62	14	2	7	36	46	2	5	1	253	353	412	766	159	284	16	13	341	119	+6	+1	+0	-3	+8	1.2
ROS	24	AAA	OAK	10%	190	170	37	7	1	3	16	40	2	3	1	217	292	322	614	105	262	21	8	282	74	-6	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	OAK	10%	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	235	316	294	610	59	260	21	11	273	67	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	24	AAA	OAK	—	305	272	58	12	2	6	28	63	2	5	1	213	291	338	630	125	254	21	9	274	68	-11	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.5
TOT	24	AAA	OAK	—	476	425	91	18	3	9	42	99	4	8	2	214	290	334	624	120	256	21	9	277	70	-16	+1	+0	-5	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	OAK	35%	370	332	73	13	2	7	32	78	3	5	2	220	294	334	629	114	264	21	9	287	78	-9	+0	+0	-4	+10	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	OAK	46%	407	364	82	15	2	9	36	86	4	5	2	225	302	352	654	126	266	21	9	291	81	-9	+0	+0	-4	+12	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	OAK	50%	420	376	84	16	2	9	37	89	4	6	2	223	300	348	648	125	267	21	9	293	82	-8	+0	+0	-4	+12	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	OAK	35%	129	116	26	5	1	2	11	27	1	2	1	224	297	336	633	112	262	21	9	278	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	OAK	46%	189	169	38	7	1	4	16	40	2	3	1	225	299	349	649	124	264	21	8	282	74	-6	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	OAK	50%	210	187	42	8	1	4	19	45	2	3	1	225	303	342	645	118	265	21	9	283	75	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	547	489	110	21	3	10	48	116	5	8	3	225	301	342	642	117	273	21	9	281	73	-17	+0	+0	-6	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	131	25	4	12	57	138	6	10	4	225	301	344	645	119	274	21	9	281	73	-20	+0	+0	-7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2499	2230	491	82	13	45	208	535	32	40	17	220	296	329	625	109	266	21	8	280	73	-77	+1	+0	-27	+71	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	127	21	3	12	54	139	8	10	4	219	294	328	622	109	264	21	8	280	73	-20	+0	+0	-7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	113	95	33	5	3	0	12	11	4	3	0	347	441	463	905	116	384	10	11	400	164	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	478	421	109	15	4	10	42	87	12	10	6	259	343	385	728	126	303	18	9	329	110	+5	-0	—	—	+14	1.9
2025	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	146	123	38	7	0	0	18	21	1	1	1	309	401	366	767	57	358	14	12	345	122	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	375	308	78	17	3	6	56	51	2	7	3	253	372	386	758	133	277	14	15	338	117	+7	+0	—	—	+11	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	560	12	7	224	296	346	-6	-1	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	14	9	224	296	346	-7.1	-1.2	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Dickey (OGILVIE)	24	50	35	45	60	214/290/334	120	256	9	8	21%	9%	70	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared James 2018 · AA	24	49	42→45	47→45	44	236/292/349	113	289	9	6	21%	6%	79	+0.3	226/282/337	111	300	9	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	218/273/322	104	297	8	8	28%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Chuck Taylor 2018 · AA	24	48→56	40	47→50	47	230/293/321	91	295	7	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	230/286/326	96	293	8	4	23%	7%	70	-0.3	227/281/316	89	286	7	1	22%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Nate Spears 2009 · AAA	24	51→55	41→45	47→50	49	245/309/347	102	298	7	7	20%	7%	85	+0.7	226/293/337	111	268	10	10	18%	8%	76	+0.1	207/285/328	121	253	12	10	23%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Bijan Rademacher 2016 · AA	25	47	41→45	44→45	50	227/300/333	106	288	8	7	23%	9%	79	+0.3	241/304/351	110	302	10	5	22%	8%	85	+0.7	241/297/340	99	301	9	2	22%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	24	53	41→40	46→40	48	251/310/357	107	318	8	6	23%	8%	89	+0.9	245/305/336	91	304	7	6	20%	8%	81	+0.4	242/298/321	79	289	7	2	18%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Brandon Trinkwon 2016 · AA	24	48→50	40	47→50	53	230/298/316	86	272	8	10	18%	9%	73	-0.1	225/289/308	83	274	7	8	19%	8%	67	-0.5	217/281/287	71	260	5	5	18%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Darius Hill 2022 · AA	24	50→59	40→45	44→45	41	242/278/326	84	302	9	6	23%	5%	66	-0.6	255/295/354	99	311	6	6	19%	5%	81	+0.4	256/299/352	96	311	5	5	19%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Nolan Earley 2015 · A	24	51	40	41→40	48	241/303/338	97	291	6	5	19%	7%	81	+0.4	217/268/291	74	306	4	4	28%	6%	53	-1.5	209/257/263	54	299	2	1	29%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Luis González 2021 · AA	25	45→52	43→45	47→50	45	223/278/334	111	280	10	12	24%	6%	69	-0.4	231/301/347	116	297	12	18	25%	8%	83	+0.6	235/312/350	115	301	12	22	24%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Whitney Robbins 2009 · A	24	46→50	40	46→30	52	218/304/313	95	280	7	4	23%	10%	76	+0.0	227/287/328	101	279	9	3	21%	7%	72	-0.2	242/291/350	108	293	10	0	20%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Conrad Gregor 2016 · AA	24	46→54	45	47→40	48	225/294/354	129	289	11	4	25%	8%	82	+0.5	209/278/327	118	260	11	5	23%	8%	68	-0.5	202/273/317	115	236	11	3	19%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Chantz Mack 2015 · AA	24	46→45	42→45	47→45	44	223/272/329	106	274	9	8	22%	6%	65	-0.7	213/281/322	109	294	10	5	29%	8%	67	-0.5	204/281/310	106	285	11	3	30%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Dominic D'Anna 2013 · A	24	49	40	46→40	50	232/310/330	98	310	7	4	26%	9%	82	+0.5	214/275/309	95	296	8	6	28%	7%	62	-0.9	172/215/241	69	232	7	0	29%	4%	17	-1.2
✕Jim Gallagher 2010 · AA	24	47→53	45	45	44	233/279/356	123	282	12	5	22%	6%	76	+0.0	232/291/340	108	282	9	6	20%	7%	76	+0.1	227/291/327	100	273	8	6	19%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Josh Fellhauer 2012 · AA	24	48→53	38→40	40→45	45	229/280/310	81	289	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	254/314/335	81	332	4	7	23%	8%	84	+0.6	267/331/347	80	352	3	5	23%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Colin Curtis 2009 · AA	24	47→49	41→45	44→50	44	232/280/329	97	281	9	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5	227/278/331	104	276	8	6	20%	6%	68	-0.5	214/269/307	93	265	6	9	21%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Justin Ringo 2015 · A	24	49	43→45	46→40	47	238/292/347	109	272	10	5	17%	6%	79	+0.3	224/286/320	96	291	7	7	24%	7%	69	-0.4	204/281/274	70	283	3	4	26%	9%	55	-0.4
✕Reed Eastley 2007 · A	24	49	43→40	41→40	49	237/305/341	104	278	11	4	19%	7%	83	+0.6	228/297/320	92	299	7	5	24%	8%	74	-0.1	223/297/305	82	301	5	3	25%	8%	67	-0.4
✕James Cooper 2008 · A	24	49→57	41→40	47→45	44	234/294/341	107	284	7	8	20%	5%	78	+0.2	241/305/321	80	285	3	8	16%	6%	77	+0.1	247/314/313	66	289	1	7	14%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Daryl Jones 2011 · AA	24	47→55	41→45	50	45	226/290/328	102	291	8	13	24%	7%	73	-0.1	212/277/325	113	295	11	12	30%	7%	67	-0.5	198/268/315	116	285	12	12	33%	8%	59	-0.4