Andres Galan — OGILVIE

Andres Galan P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.31

FIP5.31

K%12.6%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	16	99	405	77	34	5	84%	5.2	14.0%	9.2%	4.8%	1.7%	2.90	4.01	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	16	99	405	77	34	5	84%	5.2	14.0%	9.2%	4.8%	1.7%	2.90	4.01	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	16	99	405	77	34	5	84%	5.2	19.0%	8.4%	10.6%	1.2%	2.90	3.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	32	1	55	251	42	22	11	3%	1.7	12.9%	10.1%	2.8%	5.5%	6.83	6.30	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	32	1	55	251	42	22	11	3%	1.7	12.9%	10.1%	2.8%	5.5%	6.83	6.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	TB	32	1	55	251	42	22	11	3%	1.7	16.7%	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	6.83	5.20	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	TB	5	0	6	24	3	3	1	0%	1.1	12.6%	10.8%	1.9%	2.8%	5.31	5.31	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	61	275	45	25	12	—	—	16.4%	8.9%	7.4%	4.2%	6.69	6.21	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	87	0	92	387	58	40	11	0%	1.1	14.9%	10.3%	4.7%	2.8%	5.11	5.05	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	88	0	93	391	64	39	11	0%	1.1	16.3%	9.9%	6.3%	2.8%	4.95	4.89	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	88	0	93	391	67	38	11	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.8%	7.2%	2.8%	4.86	4.82	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	TB	87	0	91	385	66	38	11	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.84	4.84	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	TB	84	0	89	374	64	37	11	0%	1.1	17.0%	10.0%	7.1%	2.9%	4.89	4.92	-0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	TB	81	0	85	357	60	36	11	0%	1.0	16.8%	10.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.99	5.05	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	TB	76	0	80	336	62	32	11	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.7%	8.7%	3.3%	4.97	4.96	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	37	0	39	165	25	17	5	0%	1.1	14.9%	10.3%	4.7%	2.8%	5.11	5.05	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	59	0	62	262	43	26	7	0%	1.1	16.3%	9.9%	6.3%	2.8%	4.95	4.89	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	70	0	73	308	52	30	9	0%	1.0	17.0%	9.8%	7.2%	2.8%	4.86	4.82	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TB	74	0	78	329	56	32	9	0%	1.1	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.84	4.84	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TB	75	0	79	334	57	33	10	0%	1.1	17.0%	10.0%	7.1%	2.9%	4.89	4.92	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	TB	73	0	77	325	55	33	10	0%	1.1	16.8%	10.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.99	5.05	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	TB	70	0	73	308	57	30	10	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.7%	8.7%	3.3%	4.97	4.96	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		458	0	481	2033	344	202	60	0%	1.1	16.9%	9.9%	7.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	84	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	9.9%	7.0%	3.0%	4.93	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		51	17	155	656	89	63	21	33%	3.0	13.6%	9.5%	4.0%	3.1%	4.31	4.88	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	22	200	848	115	81	27	33%	3.0	13.6%	9.5%	4.0%	3.1%	4.31	4.88	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andres Galan (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	12.6%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.92	16.1%	6.1%	277	-0.39	—	—	—
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	91
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	89
Michael Wagner R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	23	SW	4.14	13.1%	11.3%	1.3%	.287	4.29	16.4%	4.1%	84	+0.15	4.14	149	88
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	88
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	87
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	85
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	85
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	85
Tyler Peyton R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	23	SW	5.25	11.1%	10.5%	3.2%	.298	4.44	12.8%	1.6%	115	-0.81	3.86	183	85
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	84
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	83
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	83
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	83
Juan Perez R 2017 · 4.52 FIP	22	SW	4.52	10.8%	10.8%	1.8%	.230	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	113	82
Kyle Miller R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	12.1%	12.0%	2.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	82
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	81
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Félix Paulino R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	13.4%	10.0%	2.8%	.313	5.43	18.0%	7.9%	77	+0.66	3.33	394	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	85	16.4%	10.0%	1.13	4.98
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25