Gery Holguin — OGILVIE

Gery HolguinSS Carolina Mudcats

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 254 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .253 / .246

PA20

HR0

K%32

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	82	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	112	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	211	177	28	6	1	0	31	74	2	5	1	158	290	203	494	45	269	35	15	244	51	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	55	49	17	3	1	4	6	14	0	0	1	347	418	694	1.112	347	419	25	11	475	208	+7	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	175	22	1	0	1	23	79	4	6	4	126	243	149	391	23	212	39	11	192	16	-20	-0	—	—	+4	-1.7
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	158	25	7	1	2	15	52	3	5	6	158	244	253	497	95	211	29	8	222	36	-13	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	186	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	134	195	231	426	97	218	41	6	195	18	-20	+0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2025	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	211	188	23	4	1	0	20	102	2	5	1	122	214	154	369	32	261	48	9	178	7	-23	+1	—	—	+5	-1.9
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	55	51	12	2	1	3	4	21	0	0	1	235	291	490	781	255	309	38	7	305	93	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	175	22	1	0	1	23	79	4	6	4	126	243	149	391	23	219	39	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	158	25	7	1	2	15	52	3	5	6	158	244	253	497	95	219	29	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	186	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	134	195	231	426	97	216	41	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	239	34	6	1	3	24	122	2	5	2	142	226	213	440	71	270	46	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	266	226	45	9	2	4	37	88	2	5	2	199	317	310	627	111	304	33	14	292	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	174	22	1	0	1	23	79	4	6	4	126	243	149	392	23	212	39	11	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	157	25	7	1	2	15	52	3	5	6	159	244	255	499	96	211	29	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	185	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	135	195	232	427	97	218	41	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	238	34	6	1	3	24	122	2	5	2	143	226	214	441	71	271	46	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	157	25	7	1	2	15	52	3	5	6	159	244	255	499	96	211	29	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	185	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	135	195	232	427	97	218	41	6	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	238	34	6	1	3	24	122	2	5	2	143	226	214	441	71	271	46	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	260	30	10	234	44	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	324	290	54	11	1	4	28	98	3	5	1	186	265	272	537	86	264	30	9	252	57	-17	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	419	375	74	15	2	7	37	123	4	7	2	197	276	304	580	107	268	29	9	264	65	-18	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	481	431	86	17	2	9	42	138	5	8	2	200	278	311	589	111	270	29	9	271	69	-18	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	521	465	94	19	2	10	46	147	5	8	2	202	281	316	597	114	271	28	9	275	72	-17	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	544	484	100	20	3	11	49	153	6	9	2	207	288	329	616	122	271	28	9	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	555	494	101	20	3	11	50	157	6	9	3	204	285	324	609	119	271	28	9	277	74	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	558	496	101	20	3	11	51	158	6	9	3	204	286	323	608	119	271	28	9	277	74	-18	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	555	493	100	20	2	11	51	158	6	9	2	203	285	318	604	116	271	28	9	276	73	-18	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	546	485	98	20	2	11	50	156	6	8	2	202	285	320	604	118	270	29	9	274	72	-18	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIL	60%	536	476	95	19	2	10	50	155	5	8	2	200	282	311	593	111	269	29	9	272	70	-19	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	111	99	20	4	1	2	10	34	1	2	1	202	282	323	605	121	263	31	9	245	57	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	203	181	36	7	1	4	18	59	2	3	1	199	279	315	594	116	266	29	9	257	65	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	261	233	46	9	1	5	23	75	3	4	1	197	278	309	587	112	268	29	9	264	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	289	258	52	10	1	6	26	82	3	5	1	202	282	318	600	116	269	28	9	268	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	305	272	56	11	1	7	27	86	3	5	1	206	285	331	616	125	270	28	9	269	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	312	278	56	11	1	7	28	88	3	5	1	201	282	324	605	122	269	28	9	270	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	309	275	56	11	1	7	28	87	3	5	1	204	284	327	612	124	269	28	9	270	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	304	270	54	11	1	6	28	86	3	5	1	200	282	315	597	115	269	28	9	269	73	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	317	282	57	11	1	7	29	91	3	5	1	202	283	323	606	121	268	29	9	268	72	-11	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIL	60%	323	287	57	11	1	7	30	93	3	5	1	199	281	317	598	118	267	29	9	265	70	-11	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2734	2435	490	96	10	58	247	781	27	44	10	201	282	320	602	119	268	29	9	266	64	-94	+5	-2	+29	+59	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	23	2	14	59	186	6	10	2	202	283	321	604	119	269	29	9	266	64	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5906	5265	1012	203	25	104	531	1784	62	99	34	192	274	300	574	107	266	30	9	262	64	-178	+8	-4	+54	+110	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	111	22	3	11	58	196	7	11	4	192	273	297	570	105	267	30	9	262	64	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.5	2,987	55	47	201	278	313	+32	+18	0.7	1.1
/162	664	12	11	+7.1	+4.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gery Holguin (OGILVIE)	20	20	20	45	60	175/253/246	71	260	2	4	32%	8%	44	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Jonathan Matute 2017 · A	20	39	35→30	47→50	44	182/258/237	55	266	2	6	30%	8%	44	-2.8	196/279/265	69	296	4	7	32%	9%	58	-1.7	166/276/216	50	248	3	7	30%	12%	45	-0.7
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	39	35→30	44→45	41	180/251/235	55	297	2	7	37%	8%	40	-3.0	184/253/240	56	284	2	8	33%	8%	42	-2.9	158/236/188	30	234	0	8	30%	8%	22	-0.9
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Jheremy Vargas 2023 · A	20	35	37→30	45→55	45	167/261/236	68	270	6	10	37%	10%	46	-2.6	183/254/241	58	258	4	16	28%	8%	43	-2.8	182/245/225	43	236	3	17	23%	7%	33	-1.7
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	46	-2.6	188/252/275	87	288	7	6	35%	6%	50	-2.3	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Luis Gomez 2006 · A	20	40	37→30	46→45	44	190/262/256	67	288	4	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	206/258/264	58	286	2	7	27%	5%	49	-2.4	234/279/287	53	328	0	9	27%	4%	59	-0.8
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Jonatan Santana 2008 · A	20	38	34→40	48→55	47	181/242/228	47	228	2	9	21%	7%	35	-3.4	203/261/273	70	253	3	12	20%	6%	52	-2.2	198/253/266	69	248	2	13	20%	6%	45	-0.9
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	37	-3.3	209/269/298	89	302	7	12	31%	7%	61	-1.5	221/283/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps