Gery Holguin — OGILVIE

Gery HolguinSS Carolina Mudcats

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 254 proj PA

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .255 / .249

PA254

HR2

K%31

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	175	21	1	0	1	23	83	4	6	4	120	238	143	380	23	217	41	11	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	158	24	7	1	2	15	53	3	5	6	152	239	247	485	95	212	30	8	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	201	186	26	7	2	3	13	82	1	3	1	140	200	247	447	108	225	41	6	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	266	239	36	6	1	3	24	120	2	5	2	151	234	222	456	71	282	45	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	266	226	45	9	2	4	37	88	2	5	2	199	317	310	627	111	304	33	14	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIL	—	254	228	41	9	1	2	22	78	2	4	1	180	258	254	512	75	259	31	9	236	39	-18	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	324	290	54	11	1	4	28	96	3	5	1	186	265	272	537	86	264	30	9	254	53	-17	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	419	375	74	15	2	7	37	120	4	7	2	197	276	304	580	107	267	29	9	266	61	-18	+1	+0	+4	+12	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	481	430	86	17	2	9	43	135	5	8	2	200	280	312	592	112	270	28	9	273	67	-18	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	521	464	95	19	2	10	47	144	5	8	2	205	285	319	604	114	271	28	9	277	70	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2031	25	MLB	MIL	56%	544	484	100	20	3	11	49	150	6	9	2	207	288	329	616	122	271	28	9	278	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2032	26	MLB	MIL	56%	555	494	102	20	3	11	50	153	6	9	3	206	287	326	613	119	271	28	9	279	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2033	27	MLB	MIL	55%	558	496	102	20	3	11	51	154	6	9	3	206	288	325	612	119	271	28	9	279	71	-18	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.4
2034	28	MLB	MIL	55%	555	493	100	20	2	11	51	154	6	9	2	203	285	318	604	116	271	28	9	278	71	-18	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.4
2035	29	MLB	MIL	58%	546	484	99	20	2	11	51	153	6	8	2	205	288	322	611	118	270	28	9	276	69	-19	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.2
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34%	111	99	19	4	1	1	10	33	1	2	1	192	273	283	556	91	262	30	9	245	46	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	MIL	48%	203	181	35	7	1	3	18	58	2	3	1	193	274	293	566	99	265	29	9	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	261	233	47	9	1	5	23	73	3	4	1	202	282	313	595	112	267	28	9	263	59	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	289	258	52	10	1	6	26	80	3	5	1	202	282	318	600	116	269	28	9	267	62	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	MIL	56%	305	272	55	11	1	6	27	84	3	5	1	202	281	316	598	114	269	28	9	268	63	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2032	26	MLB	MIL	56%	312	278	56	11	1	6	28	86	3	5	1	201	282	313	595	112	269	28	9	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2033	27	MLB	MIL	55%	309	275	55	11	1	6	28	86	3	5	1	200	281	313	594	113	269	28	9	269	64	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.0
2034	28	MLB	MIL	55%	304	270	55	11	1	6	28	85	3	5	1	204	286	319	604	115	268	28	9	268	63	-13	+1	-0	+3	+9	-0.1
2035	29	MLB	MIL	58%	317	282	56	11	1	6	29	89	3	5	1	199	280	309	589	110	268	28	9	266	62	-14	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2411	2148	430	85	9	45	217	674	24	39	9	200	281	311	592	111	267	28	9	265	61	-106	+4	-1	+26	+68	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	115	23	2	12	59	182	6	11	2	199	280	307	587	109	265	28	9	265	61	-29	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	5604	4996	960	192	25	96	504	1675	59	95	33	192	274	298	572	106	266	30	9	262	58	-263	+6	-2	+60	+159	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	111	22	3	11	58	194	7	11	4	192	273	297	570	105	265	30	9	262	58	-30	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	80	-5	-0	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	113	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	211	177	28	6	1	0	31	74	2	5	1	158	290	203	494	45	269	35	15	244	45	-13	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	55	49	17	3	1	4	6	14	0	0	1	347	418	694	1.112	347	419	25	11	475	222	+8	-0	—	—	+2	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,664	49	43	202	280	315	+29	+18	0.5	0.9
	/162	664	12	11	202	280	315	+7.1	+4.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gery Holguin (OGILVIE)	20	20	20	45	60	177/255/249	72	259	2	4	31%	9%	39	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	19	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	38	-2.6	229/290/281	52	315	3	6	26%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	39	-2.5	188/251/276	88	288	7	6	35%	6%	43	-2.2	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Jonathan Matute 2017 · A	20	39	35→30	47→50	44	182/258/237	55	266	2	6	30%	8%	37	-2.7	196/279/265	69	296	4	7	32%	9%	53	-1.5	166/276/216	50	248	3	7	30%	12%	38	-0.7
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Jonatan Santana 2008 · A	20	38	34→40	48→55	47	181/242/228	47	228	2	9	21%	7%	27	-3.3	203/261/273	70	253	3	12	20%	6%	46	-2.0	198/253/266	69	248	2	13	20%	6%	38	-0.8
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	39	35→30	44→45	41	180/250/235	55	298	2	7	38%	8%	32	-3.0	183/253/239	56	283	2	8	33%	8%	34	-2.8	157/235/187	30	232	0	8	29%	8%	11	-1.0
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Marco Guzman 2014 · A	19	39	36→45	44→50	48	185/262/256	71	249	3	8	25%	9%	43	-2.2	207/264/294	87	251	5	7	19%	7%	53	-1.5	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Luis Gomez 2006 · A	20	40	37→30	46→45	44	190/262/256	67	288	4	9	33%	8%	43	-2.2	206/258/264	58	286	2	7	27%	5%	42	-2.3	234/279/287	53	328	0	9	27%	4%	53	-0.7