Gery Holguin

SS Carolina Mudcats
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202317ROKDSL Brewers 1177.235/.352/.3833526—.135/.233/.205
202418ROKMIL201.220/.310/.3844319—.134/.195/.231
202519A/ROK2 orgs266.199/.317/.3104531—.155/.245/.238
2027PROJMLE21MLBMIL376.176/.256/.2503646-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBMIL38.181/.261/.2670153-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
BB%76
Chase%69
Speed50
ISO16
wOBA12
wRC+12
CompsVictor Duarte (age 21) · Willy Diaz (age 21) · Luis Sanchez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .254 / .248
PA89
HR1
K%31
BB%9
ISO73
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202216 ROKDSL Brewers 1 — 203162 31102 36534 64 191351235586 43269 2618 290 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Brewers 1 — 177149 351113 24363 56 235352383735 148288 2014 334 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Brewers — 201177 391324 22571 31 220310384694 164299 2811 311 19 — — — — — —
202519 ACarolina Mudcats — 211177 28610 31742 51 158290203494 45269 3515 244 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Brewers — 5549 17314 6140 01 3474186941.112 347419 2511 475 92 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202216 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 203172 21101 26674 64 122252145398 23179 3313 192 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 177156 21611 17443 56 135233205438 71176 2510 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 201186 25713 13821 31 134195231426 97220 416 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 211186 25510 22972 51 134233172405 38265 4610 190 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 5551 12213 4210 01 235291490781 255307 387 304 92 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 203172 21101 26674 64 122252145398 23190 3313 192 16 — — — — — —
202216 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 1 — 203162 31102 36534 64 191351235586 43269 2618 290 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 177156 21611 17443 56 135233205438 71179 2510 206 26 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 1 — 177149 351113 24363 56 235352383735 148288 2014 334 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 201186 25713 13821 31 134195231426 97216 416 196 19 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Brewers — 201177 391324 22571 31 220310384694 164299 2811 311 19 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 266237 35613 261182 52 148238219457 72274 4410 214 31 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 266226 45924 37882 52 199317310627 111304 3314 292 31 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 203171 21101 26674 64 123252146399 23179 3313 192 16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 1 — 177155 21611 17443 56 135233206439 71176 2510 206 26 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 201185 25713 13821 31 135195232427 97220 416 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 266236 35613 261182 52 148238220458 72274 4410 214 31 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 201185 25713 13821 31 135195232427 97220 416 196 19 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 266236 35613 261182 52 148238220458 72274 4410 214 31 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEMIL 0% 376337 601223 331173 62 176256250506 73257 319 236 46 -24 +0 +0 +4 +8 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEMIL 34% 11098 19411 10341 20 183264270534 87260 319 246 53 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202822 MLB CTXMIL 34% 3835 5100 3120 10 181261267528 86256 328 244 53 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3835 5100 3120 10 143211171382 29217 328 244 28 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 851700 512050 170 142209170380 28216 328 244 28 -36 +3 +0 +7 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 1046929 13527410 10037312 2213 145237215453 70227 3610 210 28 -12 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 831726 622327 148 144235211446 68225 3610 210 28 -39 +2 +0 +7 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ACarolina Mudcats · 211 PAwOBA .240 → .190 (−49)K% 35.1% → 46.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.07%÷1.033×1.360——46.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.69%÷0.981×0.690—×1.03010.64%
HBP% /PA0.95%—×0.780—×1.0300.76%
Singles /BIP20.39%÷0.948×0.920×1.027×1.03020.93%
Doubles /BIP5.83%÷1.002×0.830×1.027×1.0305.10%
Triples /BIP0.97%÷1.150×0.910×1.027×1.0300.81%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.214×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .240 → .190; ISO .045 → .034; BABIP .269 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 55 PAwOBA .461 → .304 (−158)K% 25.5% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.45%÷0.973×1.440——37.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.91%÷1.011×0.620—×0.9956.65%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP25.71%÷1.031×0.820—×0.99520.36%
Doubles /BIP8.57%÷1.109×0.720—×0.9955.54%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9952.04%
Home runs /BIP11.43%÷0.971×0.780—×0.9959.13%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .461 → .304; ISO .347 → .231; BABIP .419 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Brewers · 201 PAwOBA .304 → .196 (−108)K% 28.4% → 40.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.36%÷1.002×1.440——40.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.95%÷1.014×0.620—×1.0086.74%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.720—×1.0080.36%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.015×0.820×0.974×1.00813.22%
Doubles /BIP10.83%÷1.088×0.720×0.974×1.0087.04%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷0.900×0.720×0.974×1.0081.31%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷0.947×0.780—×1.0082.76%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .304 → .196; ISO .164 → .106; BABIP .299 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 177 PAwOBA .327 → .206 (−121)K% 20.3% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.34%÷0.992×1.220——25.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.56%÷0.991×0.700—×1.0089.65%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.700—×1.0081.20%
Singles /BIP17.70%÷1.015×0.680×0.950×1.00811.35%
Doubles /BIP9.73%÷0.988×0.600×0.950×1.0085.66%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.052×0.600×0.950×1.0080.48%
Home runs /BIP2.65%÷1.026×0.470—×1.0081.23%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .327 → .206; ISO .148 → .079; BABIP .288 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 203 PAwOBA .285 → .192 (−93)K% 26.1% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.11%÷0.962×1.220——33.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.73%÷0.986×0.700—×1.02212.87%
HBP% /PA1.97%—×0.700—×1.0221.41%
Singles /BIP25.69%÷0.998×0.680×0.971×1.02217.38%
Doubles /BIP0.92%÷0.989×0.600×0.971×1.0220.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.971×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.83%÷1.116×0.470—×1.0220.79%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .285 → .192; ISO .043 → .019; BABIP .269 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).