Carlos VasquezC FCL Blue Jays
Age 21 L/R 5'8" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .266 / .273
PA76
HR1
K%30
BB%8
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.90.90.80.60.50.20.0+$38M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$0.9M
2035Arb-1$0.8M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2036Arb-2$0.4M+0.2$0.4M+$0.2M
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $4M $7M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 134118 25400 12362 31 212295246541 34298 279 247 47 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 134109 31500 21252 31 284409330739 46360 1916 344 121 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 10288 13100 12281 31 148257159417 11217 2712 205 15 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 10281 15200 19201 31 185347210556 25246 2019 278 71 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 163144 23410 13592 44 160239201440 42261 368 196 8 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 163135 29610 22422 44 215333274607 59302 2613 283 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBTOR — 7669 13201 6231 10 188263261524 72286 308 249 49 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBTOR 34% 120109 23412 9351 20 211277321598 110288 298 262 59 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202823 MLBTOR 48% 255231 49824 20732 31 212281316597 104289 298 271 66 -10 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.2
202924 MLBTOR 53% 354320 691226 281003 51 216285322607 106291 288 278 71 -12 +1 +0 +6 +10 0.5
203025 MLBTOR 55% 415375 811428 331174 62 216286328614 112291 288 281 73 -12 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.7
203126 MLBTOR 56% 452409 891539 361274 62 218287335622 117291 288 283 75 -13 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203227 MLBTOR 55% 471425 9316310 381335 62 219291341632 122291 288 283 75 -13 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203328 MLBTOR 55% 479432 9416310 391365 62 218290338628 120290 288 282 74 -14 +0 -1 +9 +14 0.8
203429 MLBTOR 53% 477430 931639 391365 62 216289330619 114289 298 280 72 -15 +0 -1 +9 +14 0.6
203530 MLBTOR 53% 471425 901529 391354 51 212284320604 108288 298 277 70 -16 +1 -2 +8 +13 0.5
203631 MLBTOR 56% 446402 841428 371304 41 209282313596 104285 298 273 67 -17 +0 -3 +8 +13 0.2
203732 MLBTOR 54% 417376 771327 341234 31 205278306584 101282 298 268 63 -17 +0 -4 +7 +12 -0.1
202722 MLBTOR 34% 4138 8101 3120 10 211268316584 105289 297 257 55 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202823 MLBTOR 48% 124112 24412 10361 20 214285321606 107291 298 265 61 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202924 MLBTOR 53% 187168 36613 15532 21 214286315602 101292 288 271 66 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
203025 MLBTOR 55% 227205 44814 18642 31 215284322606 107293 288 275 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
203126 MLBTOR 56% 252228 51925 20712 31 224292346638 123292 288 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203227 MLBTOR 55% 259233 52925 21733 31 223296343639 120292 288 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203328 MLBTOR 55% 262235 52925 22743 31 221296340637 119292 288 276 69 -9 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.3
203429 MLBTOR 53% 254229 49815 21722 31 214286323609 109291 288 274 68 -9 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.2
203530 MLBTOR 53% 248223 48815 21712 31 215289327616 112289 298 271 66 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
203631 MLBTOR 56% 252227 48815 21732 21 211284322606 110287 298 267 63 -11 +0 -2 +4 +7 -0.1
203732 MLBTOR 54% 227204 42714 19672 21 206280309589 103284 308 262 59 -11 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 23332102 454771344 19166621 279 216288328616 112292 298 272 66 -89 +2 -6 +42 +66 1.5
/ 162G— — 650586 12621412 531866 83 215287326613 111292 298 272 66 -25 +0 -2 +12 +18 0.4
Career— — 48324353 9161542683 395139147 6321 210283315598 105287 298 272 66 -184 +4 -10 +86 +137 3.4
/ 162G— — 650586 12321311 531876 83 210282312594 102286 298 272 66 -25 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 134109 31500 21252 31 284409330739 46360 1916 344 121 +3 +0 — — +4 0.7
202318 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 10281 15200 19201 31 185347210556 25246 2019 278 71 -3 +0 — — +3 -0.0
202419 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 163135 29610 22422 44 215333274607 59302 2613 283 74 -5 -1 — — +5 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,4084528215284327+43+282.92.8
/162664128+11.9+7.70.8pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Vasquez (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 198/266/273 75286 11 30% 8% 49 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Juan Centeno
2011 · A 		21 43 37→45 50→40 44 204/257/271 67265 49 24% 6% 44 -2.1 244/285/305 61305 26 20% 5% 63 -0.8 238/286/35211428111219%5%73-0.1
✕Ashton McGee
2021 · A 		22 41 39→45 50→40 41 194/258/283 89288 55 33% 7% 48 -1.9 196/284/305 109362 114 44% 10% 66 -0.6 177/274/28410733412245%11%53-0.8
✕Charles Mack
2021 · A 		21 44 37→45 49→40 42 207/267/284 77296 47 30% 7% 52 -1.6 181/261/288 107310 114 41% 10% 52 -1.6 150/239/26111124912142%10%32-1.2
✕Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A 		21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
✕Leandro Pineda
2023 · A 		21 36→39 39→45 47→45 42 172/250/266 95272 56 36% 8% 41 -2.3 201/268/322 121279 126 31% 7% 63 -0.9 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5
✕Carlos Luis
2021 · A 		21 44→51 36→45 48→40 40 206/259/276 69305 46 32% 6% 46 -2.0 221/271/313 92310 73 29% 6% 60 -1.0 226/275/321963059128%6%62-0.5
✕Christopher Familia
2022 · A 		22 42 38→55 47→45 43 200/270/285 85279 410 28% 7% 54 -1.4 212/277/365 153274 195 29% 6% 79 +0.3 203/266/37717425524231%6%72-0.1
✕Addison Barger
2021 · A 		21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
✕Jason Denham
2007 · A 		21 40→45 35→40 53→55 44 190/254/251 61280 310 31% 8% 37 -2.6 218/277/298 80290 818 26% 7% 59 -1.1 217/279/2927428482125%7%57-0.8
✕Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A 		20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
✕Victor Mesa Jr.
2023 · A 		21 44 40→50 49→50 43 210/264/306 96280 68 26% 6% 56 -1.3 212/262/343 131271 1510 27% 6% 65 -0.7 227/286/38916226621923%7%84+0.3
✕Ben Rortvedt
2019 · A 		21 44 39→45 49→40 42 211/261/292 82274 63 25% 6% 51 -1.7 213/271/319 106287 103 28% 6% 63 -0.9 200/285/31111127812230%9%65-0.3
✕Raynel Delgado
2022 · A 		22 37→47 39→40 47→60 37 183/237/265 83279 713 36% 6% 34 -2.8 212/279/307 95299 818 30% 7% 63 -0.8 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A 		20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
✕Jamodrick McGruder
2014 · A 		22 40→46 37→45 52→50 46 194/262/260 66258 510 26% 8% 43 -2.2 216/290/317 101275 710 22% 9% 70 -0.3 216/298/32410827161021%10%71-0.2
✕Creed Willems
2023 · A 		20 37→44 40→50 47→30 35 181/239/272 91272 74 35% 4% 37 -2.6 188/250/322 134253 163 32% 6% 56 -1.3 203/272/34314024818126%7%68-0.3
✕Pratt Maynard
2012 · A 		22 43 39→45 48→45 42 206/272/292 86305 75 33% 7% 56 -1.3 216/277/305 89275 75 22% 8% 62 -0.9 218/282/314952717421%8%63-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Darrien Miller
2021 · A 		20 42→41 36→45 47→45 43 198/272/267 70271 38 27% 6% 50 -1.7 197/299/316 119271 146 30% 9% 76 +0.1 174/315/272982519330%11%72-0.1
✕Anthony Seigler
2021 · A 		22 42→39 37→50 49→55 47 199/276/274 74283 56 29% 9% 53 -1.5 192/289/301 109273 99 30% 12% 67 -0.5 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6