Angel Mata — OGILVIE

Angel MataC Clearwater Threshers

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .267 / .286

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP266

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	85	75	19	3	0	1	8	8	1	1	0	253	333	333	667	80	269	9	9	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	39	10	1	0	22	23	3	3	4	277	383	362	745	85	325	14	13	339	116	+3	-1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	20	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	162	142	29	10	0	1	15	33	3	0	0	204	294	296	590	92	257	20	9	271	69	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	78	16	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	205	262	269	531	64	223	14	6	235	45	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	151	33	8	1	0	13	34	3	3	4	219	293	285	578	66	270	20	8	259	61	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	147	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	150	219	218	436	68	203	29	6	192	16	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	78	16	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	205	262	269	531	64	227	14	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	85	75	19	3	0	1	8	8	1	1	0	253	333	333	667	80	269	9	9	304	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	151	33	8	1	0	13	34	3	3	4	219	293	285	578	66	277	20	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	169	141	39	10	1	0	22	23	3	3	4	277	383	362	745	85	325	14	13	339	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	147	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	150	219	218	436	68	210	29	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	162	142	29	10	0	1	15	33	3	0	0	204	294	296	590	92	257	20	9	271	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	85	79	16	2	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	203	262	266	528	63	223	14	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	151	33	8	1	0	13	34	3	3	4	219	293	285	578	66	270	20	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	148	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	149	219	216	435	68	203	29	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	169	151	33	8	1	0	13	34	3	3	4	219	293	285	578	66	270	20	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	162	148	22	7	0	1	10	47	3	0	0	149	219	216	435	68	203	29	6	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	PHI	—	164	147	25	4	0	0	11	52	4	0	0	170	247	197	444	27	260	32	7	209	27	-14	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	PHI	—	131	114	23	4	0	0	11	25	4	0	0	202	295	237	531	35	256	19	8	251	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	PHI	—	33	29	6	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	207	303	241	544	34	353	36	12	261	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	PHI	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	264	27	7	237	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	PHI	—	179	161	28	5	0	0	12	56	4	0	0	174	249	205	454	31	264	31	7	211	29	-15	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	247	225	46	9	1	3	16	63	4	3	1	204	269	293	563	89	269	26	6	254	58	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	348	317	66	13	1	5	23	87	5	4	1	208	272	303	575	95	271	25	7	264	65	-14	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	418	380	82	16	2	7	29	104	6	4	1	216	282	324	606	108	273	25	7	271	70	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	457	415	89	17	2	8	32	113	7	5	1	214	282	323	605	108	274	25	7	274	72	-15	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	480	436	94	18	2	9	34	118	7	5	1	216	283	328	611	112	274	25	7	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+10	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	489	444	96	19	2	9	35	121	7	5	1	216	284	329	613	113	274	25	7	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	490	445	95	18	2	9	35	122	7	5	1	213	281	324	605	110	273	25	7	275	72	-16	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	484	439	93	18	2	8	35	121	7	4	1	212	281	317	597	105	272	25	7	273	71	-17	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	85	78	15	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	192	259	269	528	77	271	26	7	246	58	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	169	154	33	6	1	3	11	42	2	2	1	214	275	325	600	110	274	25	7	257	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	220	200	43	8	1	4	15	55	3	2	1	215	280	325	605	110	276	25	7	264	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	250	227	50	10	1	5	17	62	4	3	1	220	286	339	625	119	276	25	7	268	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	267	242	52	10	1	5	19	66	4	3	1	215	283	326	609	112	276	25	7	269	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	269	244	53	10	1	5	19	67	4	3	1	217	285	328	613	111	276	25	7	269	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	268	243	52	10	1	5	19	67	4	3	1	214	282	325	607	111	275	25	7	268	72	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	258	233	51	10	1	5	19	65	4	2	1	219	289	335	624	116	275	25	7	266	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1786	1621	349	67	7	33	125	446	26	19	7	215	282	326	609	111	275	25	7	265	67	-63	+1	-1	+32	+39	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	127	24	3	12	45	162	9	7	3	215	281	327	608	112	274	25	7	265	67	-23	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3844	3491	735	146	15	60	268	946	57	39	12	211	278	313	590	102	270	25	7	267	67	-123	+4	-2	+61	+74	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	125	25	3	10	45	160	10	7	2	212	279	315	594	103	272	25	7	267	67	-23	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,943	31	20	214	277	318	+35	+20	1.9	2.0
/162	664	11	7	+11.9	+6.8	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Mata (OGILVIE)	21	30	25	35	35	192/255/255	62	264	1	2	26%	6%	47	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Erick Castillo 2014 · A	21	41	37→30	39→30	45	194/250/267	73	232	4	4	18%	5%	47	-2.5	198/240/256	58	246	3	4	20%	4%	40	-3.1	191/250/230	39	236	3	0	20%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Matt Kennelly 2010 · A	21	41	37→40	34→40	37	199/239/266	67	282	5	3	30%	5%	42	-2.9	214/265/296	82	279	7	3	24%	6%	59	-1.7	230/284/288	59	289	2	2	20%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	202/249/275	72	266	4	5	25%	5%	47	-2.5	192/249/275	83	270	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	178/246/255	77	255	7	10	31%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	43	-2.8	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	51	-2.3	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Bill Pujols 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	43→50	46	204/263/281	76	253	4	7	20%	6%	55	-2.0	197/257/271	74	281	3	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	146/212/197	51	225	0	5	32%	6%	15	-0.9
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	40	37→45	43→45	38	196/244/265	69	264	5	4	27%	4%	44	-2.8	217/277/307	90	287	5	6	25%	6%	67	-1.1	222/289/325	103	288	5	5	23%	6%	73	-0.3
✕J.C. Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	41	38→40	39→45	46	197/267/285	89	249	4	5	22%	7%	58	-1.7	206/269/306	100	261	7	4	23%	7%	63	-1.3	187/256/282	95	228	8	0	21%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Carlos Gonzalez 2015 · A	21	42	35→30	38→40	41	197/251/253	57	274	2	4	28%	6%	44	-2.8	208/265/273	65	288	3	5	27%	7%	54	-2.0	191/254/222	31	265	0	2	26%	7%	34	-0.7
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	49	-2.4	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	41	-3.0	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	11	-1.7
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	42	-2.9	198/256/251	53	276	2	4	27%	7%	45	-2.7	190/246/233	43	263	1	2	26%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Ali Sánchez 2018 · A	21	45	35→45	42→40	43	214/257/269	55	261	4	6	19%	5%	49	-2.4	223/260/303	80	268	6	4	18%	4%	58	-1.7	237/288/332	95	305	11	1	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	40	197/233/275	77	246	5	6	22%	4%	41	-3.0	220/253/311	91	276	5	6	21%	4%	57	-1.8	245/267/324	79	295	3	3	18%	3%	62	-0.4
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Brian Serven 2017 · A	22	39	37→50	39→30	40	187/227/257	70	241	4	4	24%	4%	35	-3.4	200/255/299	99	259	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.9	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	199/275/260	61	277	3	4	27%	8%	55	-1.9	215/268/277	62	300	3	6	27%	6%	55	-1.9	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Marco Hernandez 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	38→45	47	209/275/278	70	242	3	6	15%	6%	59	-1.6	219/287/300	81	266	5	7	18%	7%	69	-0.9	185/278/262	77	233	8	3	22%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Cam Gallagher 2014 · A	21	40	38→45	42→30	47	188/244/267	79	216	6	3	16%	6%	45	-2.7	211/262/308	97	242	8	3	16%	6%	61	-1.5	218/279/324	106	270	9	0	22%	7%	70	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps