Angel Mata

C Clearwater Threshers
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Phillies …169.277/.383/.3620348—.195/.281/.255
202520ROKPHI162.204/.294/.2961015—.150/.219/.218
202621A+/APHI164.203/.296/.2380025—.176/.247/.203
2027PROJMLE22MLBPHI274.194/.254/.2662348-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBPHI48.200/.261/.2841153-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%76
Whiff%54
Z-Con%52
Chase%37
BB%29
Max EV26
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsChuck Moorman (age 23) · David Masters (age 23) · Franklin Tineo (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .252 / .264
PA95
HR1
K%27
BB%6
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED35
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Phillies White — 8575 19301 881 10 253333333667 80269 99 304 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Phillies White — 169141 391010 22233 34 277383362745 85325 1413 339 48 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Phillies — 162142 291001 15333 00 204294296590 92257 209 271 15 — — — — — —
202621 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws — 3329 6100 4120 00 207303241544 34353 3612 261 9 — — — — — —
202621 AClearwater Threshers — 131114 23400 11254 00 202295237531 35256 198 251 29 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 8577 14201 6101 10 182250247497 65189 127 210 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 169149 29710 15293 34 195281255536 60226 179 239 48 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 162147 22701 10473 00 150219218436 68202 296 191 15 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEJersey Shore BlueClaws — 3331 5100 2160 00 161212194406 32310 486 182 9 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEClearwater Threshers — 131117 21300 8344 00 179256205461 26242 266 211 29 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 8577 14201 6101 10 182250247497 65194 127 210 28 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 8575 19301 881 10 253333333667 80269 99 304 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 169149 29710 15293 34 195281255536 60238 179 239 48 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 169141 391010 22233 34 277383362745 85325 1413 339 48 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 162147 22701 10473 00 150219218436 68210 296 191 15 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 162142 291001 15333 00 204294296590 92257 209 271 15 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 164148 26400 10504 00 176247203450 27263 306 205 25 — — — — — —
202621 A RAW2 teams — 164143 29500 15374 00 203296238534 35271 239 253 25 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 8578 14201 6101 10 179250244494 64189 127 210 28 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 169149 29710 15293 34 195281255536 60226 179 239 48 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 162148 22701 10473 00 149219216435 68202 296 191 15 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 164149 26400 10504 00 174247201448 27256 306 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202520 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 162148 22701 10473 00 149219216435 68202 296 191 15 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 164149 26400 10504 00 174247201448 27256 306 205 25 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEPHI 0% 274252 48912 17753 31 194254266521 72265 276 238 48 -17 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEPHI 34% 141129 26511 9382 21 199260282542 82267 276 247 53 -8 +0 +0 +3 +3 -0.2
202823 MLB CTXPHI 34% 4844 9201 3131 10 200261284544 84267 276 248 53 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4844 9201 3131 10 205271318589 114267 276 248 36 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 12227014 4117614 140 205272320593 116266 276 248 36 -36 +3 +0 +12 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 816738 1332824 5620014 75 180251240491 60239 257 221 36 -14 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 1062223 4515911 64 180252240492 60239 247 221 36 -38 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 131 PAwOBA .248 → .211 (−37)K% 19.1% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.08%÷1.000×1.360——25.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.40%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0155.88%
HBP% /PA3.05%—×0.780—×1.0152.42%
Singles /BIP21.35%÷1.000×0.920×1.031×1.01520.56%
Doubles /BIP4.49%÷1.000×0.830×1.031×1.0153.90%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.031×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .248 → .211; ISO .035 → .030; BABIP .256 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 33 PAwOBA .255 → .182 (−73)K% 36.4% → 47.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.36%÷1.000×1.310——47.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.12%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0277.47%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP29.41%÷1.000×0.870—×1.02726.28%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0274.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .255 → .182; ISO .034 → .024; BABIP .353 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 162 PAwOBA .266 → .191 (−75)K% 20.4% → 29.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.37%÷1.000×1.440——29.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.26%÷0.928×0.620—×0.9956.16%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.720—×0.9951.33%
Singles /BIP16.51%÷1.004×0.820×1.017×0.99513.65%
Doubles /BIP9.17%÷1.015×0.720×1.017×0.9956.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×1.017×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.92%÷0.917×0.780—×0.9950.78%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .266 → .191; ISO .092 → .064; BABIP .257 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Phillies White · 169 PAwOBA .331 → .239 (−92)K% 13.6% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.61%÷0.960×1.220——17.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.83%÷0.964×0.700—×1.0088.66%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.700—×1.0081.25%
Singles /BIP23.73%÷0.986×0.680×1.015×1.00816.74%
Doubles /BIP8.47%÷0.915×0.600×1.015×1.0085.68%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷1.016×0.600×1.015×1.0080.51%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.794×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 97, 2B 83, 3B 103, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .331 → .239; ISO .085 → .059; BABIP .325 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Phillies White · 85 PAwOBA .300 → .210 (−90)K% 9.4% → 12.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.41%÷0.961×1.220——11.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.41%÷1.033×0.700—×1.0226.52%
HBP% /PA1.18%—×0.700—×1.0220.84%
Singles /BIP22.39%÷0.991×0.680×1.031×1.02216.19%
Doubles /BIP4.48%÷1.018×0.600×1.031×1.0222.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.090×0.600×1.031×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷0.849×0.470—×1.0220.85%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 118, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .300 → .210; ISO .080 → .049; BABIP .269 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).