Edward Vargas — OGILVIE

Edward VargasOF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 190 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .253 / .285

PA190

HR2

K%29

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	70	18	2	0	0	6	14	0	6	2	257	316	286	602	29	321	18	8	279	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	140	43	8	5	1	11	16	1	6	7	307	362	457	819	150	333	10	7	355	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	187	43	6	2	1	15	46	1	12	3	230	291	299	590	70	300	23	7	271	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	72	12	1	0	0	4	17	0	6	2	167	211	181	391	14	229	22	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	144	28	5	3	0	7	19	1	6	7	194	237	271	508	76	215	12	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	192	35	4	2	1	10	63	1	12	3	182	227	240	466	57	267	31	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	72	12	1	0	0	4	17	0	6	2	167	211	181	391	14	218	22	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	70	18	2	0	0	6	14	0	6	2	257	316	286	602	29	321	18	8	279	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	144	28	5	3	0	7	19	1	6	7	194	237	271	508	76	219	12	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	140	43	8	5	1	11	16	1	6	7	307	362	457	819	150	333	10	7	355	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	192	35	4	2	1	10	63	1	12	3	182	227	240	466	57	266	31	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	187	43	6	2	1	15	46	1	12	3	230	291	299	590	70	300	23	7	271	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	72	12	1	0	0	4	17	0	6	2	167	211	181	391	14	229	22	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	146	28	5	3	0	7	19	1	6	7	192	237	267	504	75	215	12	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	190	35	4	2	1	10	63	1	12	3	184	227	242	469	58	267	31	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	203	190	35	4	2	1	10	63	1	12	3	184	227	242	469	58	267	31	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	313	289	58	10	2	4	19	90	2	7	2	201	255	288	543	87	274	29	6	246	53	-18	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	249	230	47	8	2	3	15	70	2	6	1	204	260	298	558	93	276	28	6	252	57	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	75	69	14	2	1	1	5	21	1	2	0	206	262	302	564	95	280	28	7	255	57	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	75	69	14	2	1	1	5	21	1	2	0	203	267	304	571	101	277	28	7	255	43	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	122	17	9	9	43	182	9	17	0	204	268	308	575	104	278	28	7	255	43	-33	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	873	814	157	24	8	6	47	223	5	34	14	193	241	264	505	71	256	26	5	231	43	-23	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	117	18	6	4	35	166	4	25	10	193	242	262	504	69	257	26	5	231	43	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	265	3	6	203	255	292	-2	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	8	15	-4.0	+0.0	-2.0	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edward Vargas (OGILVIE)	23	33→38	30→35	55→60	45	199/253/285	86	274	2	4	29%	6%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Palmer 2015 · A	23	40	38→40	52→50	42	195/246/274	79	250	5	12	24%	5%	47	-2.6	212/274/295	83	292	6	13	27%	7%	63	-1.4	212/285/284	72	296	5	17	28%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Anfernee Grier 2019 · A	23	43→44	39→40	52→55	40	203/262/285	83	299	6	16	32%	6%	56	-1.9	189/249/286	97	318	9	19	40%	7%	51	-2.2	156/222/247	91	270	9	26	43%	7%	31	-2.6
✕Brett Roberts 2024 · A	23	45	41→40	55→50	39	220/259/318	98	290	9	15	27%	5%	61	-1.5	209/254/308	99	300	9	12	32%	5%	57	-1.8	172/219/259	88	253	10	11	35%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Mycal Jones 2010 · A	23	39→46	40→45	55	41	193/250/296	103	263	6	14	28%	6%	54	-2.0	206/262/315	109	276	9	15	28%	6%	63	-1.4	220/278/302	82	279	5	24	22%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→40	51→60	41	196/255/270	74	297	4	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	190/255/251	61	300	3	21	35%	7%	45	-2.7	179/240/281	102	263	9	30	34%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. 2024 · A	23	40→39	38→40	57→60	41	192/257/274	83	287	5	20	33%	7%	51	-2.2	194/250/269	75	290	5	28	33%	6%	47	-2.5	190/245/259	69	282	5	35	33%	6%	41	-2.0
✕Angel Aponte 2023 · A	23	43	42→40	54→55	40	211/271/311	99	290	9	22	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/250/291	92	300	8	16	34%	5%	53	-2.1	154/194/223	68	249	5	20	39%	4%	13	-1.6
✕Stephen Wrenn 2018 · A	23	42→43	40→45	51→60	40	205/254/293	88	288	7	12	30%	6%	54	-2.0	203/261/304	101	292	8	24	31%	6%	59	-1.6	195/256/299	104	286	8	31	33%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Logan Warmoth 2019 · A	23	45→40	36→40	54→55	42	210/273/279	69	305	3	10	30%	7%	58	-1.7	197/270/274	77	317	4	14	36%	8%	57	-1.8	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Chad Christensen 2015 · A	24	43→44	40	55	38	206/256/300	94	290	7	15	30%	5%	57	-1.8	202/252/278	76	310	5	16	34%	6%	50	-2.3	189/240/246	57	297	3	19	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕L.V. Ware 2010 · A	23	43→46	37→40	57→55	37	205/246/285	80	273	3	17	26%	3%	49	-2.4	209/257/293	84	296	5	17	30%	4%	55	-1.9	208/259/297	89	300	6	19	31%	4%	54	-1.4
✕Bobby Andrews 2007 · A	23	44	42→30	56→50	38	215/261/323	108	300	9	12	31%	5%	63	-1.3	215/270/281	66	288	4	12	25%	6%	57	-1.8	212/269/264	52	282	3	14	24%	5%	50	-0.9
✕Dalvy Rosario 2022 · A	22	41→43	38→40	54→55	42	199/261/275	77	278	6	14	29%	7%	53	-2.1	198/244/286	88	289	8	19	33%	5%	49	-2.4	188/230/270	82	277	8	22	34%	4%	38	-2.0
✕Wilman Rodriguez 2014 · A	23	43	37→45	52→55	44	206/275/281	75	268	4	14	24%	6%	60	-1.6	211/250/308	97	281	7	16	26%	4%	56	-1.9	206/238/305	99	268	8	22	26%	3%	48	-0.7
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2014 · A	23	45→49	38→40	53→50	42	212/265/296	84	285	4	14	26%	6%	59	-1.7	211/252/287	76	291	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	203/241/269	65	277	4	9	27%	5%	40	-2.0
✕Ryan Mathews 2013 · A	23	42→36	41→45	54→45	43	205/254/311	106	267	6	9	25%	6%	58	-1.7	200/247/320	120	277	11	6	31%	6%	58	-1.7	191/238/313	122	261	12	5	31%	5%	50	-1.6
✕Zach Wilson 2014 · A	23	43	38→45	53→45	43	208/255/291	84	267	4	9	23%	6%	54	-2.0	214/262/321	107	303	9	5	31%	6%	63	-1.3	206/248/317	111	293	10	0	32%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	40	35→40	50→55	39	190/245/246	56	274	2	10	30%	5%	40	-3.1	200/246/273	73	279	5	13	29%	5%	47	-2.6	189/226/255	66	254	6	20	28%	4%	32	-1.4
✕Dom Duggan 2008 · A	23	45	39→40	54→55	46	211/284/301	90	283	5	13	26%	8%	68	-1.0	204/260/282	78	284	3	16	28%	6%	53	-2.1	194/246/265	71	268	3	20	27%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2024 · A	23	40	37→30	54→65	40	193/252/263	71	286	6	16	33%	7%	47	-2.5	190/254/251	61	269	4	36	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/252/236	50	259	3	50	27%	7%	39	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps