Edward Vargas — OGILVIE

Edward VargasOF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION178 act + 118 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .246 / .264

PA118

HR1

SB5

K%31

BB%6

BABIP275

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	73	15	2	0	0	3	20	0	6	2	205	237	233	470	27	283	26	4	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	70	18	2	0	0	6	14	0	6	2	257	316	286	602	29	321	18	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	144	35	6	3	1	7	23	1	6	7	243	283	347	630	104	276	15	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	140	43	8	5	1	11	16	1	6	7	307	362	457	819	150	333	10	7	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	178	168	28	3	1	0	9	61	1	12	2	167	213	196	410	30	262	34	5	190	4	-19	+2	+0	-1	+5	-1.4
YTD	22	A	CHC	—	178	163	36	4	2	0	14	43	1	12	2	221	287	270	556	49	300	24	8	259	56	-9	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
ROS	22	A	CHC	0%	118	109	21	3	1	1	7	37	1	5	1	191	246	264	511	73	280	31	6	243	44	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CHC	—	178	169	28	3	1	0	9	61	1	12	2	166	213	195	409	30	259	34	5	190	4	-19	+2	+0	-1	+5	-1.4
TOT	22	A	CHC	—	296	277	49	6	2	1	16	98	2	17	3	176	227	223	450	47	267	33	5	211	20	-27	+2	+0	-2	+8	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	285	263	55	9	2	5	18	85	2	9	2	209	265	316	581	106	285	30	6	258	56	-14	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
2027	23	MLB	CHC	34%	98	91	19	3	1	2	6	29	1	3	1	209	265	330	595	121	286	30	6	254	52	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	98	92	19	3	1	2	6	29	1	3	1	207	265	326	591	120	279	30	6	254	52	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	610	126	20	7	13	40	192	7	20	7	207	266	326	592	120	279	30	6	254	52	-35	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	634	589	126	20	6	7	35	165	4	26	12	214	262	304	566	90	282	26	6	252	51	-35	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	128	20	6	7	36	169	4	27	12	212	261	300	561	88	279	26	6	252	51	-36	+1	+0	-4	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	76	70	18	2	0	0	6	14	0	6	2	257	316	286	602	29	321	18	8	279	72	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	155	140	43	8	5	1	11	16	1	6	7	307	362	457	819	150	333	10	7	355	130	+5	-2	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	286	5	8	210	266	314	-2	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	10	19	210	266	314	-4.0	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edward Vargas (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	176/227/223	47	267	1	17	33%	5%	20	-1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	41→38	45→50	53→55	44	207/273/334	127	264	12	20	26%	7%	68	-0.5	194/271/323	129	281	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	173/260/293	120	252	12	18	34%	8%	50	-1.1
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	42→43	40→50	49→50	41	207/257/300	93	280	7	14	28%	6%	51	-1.7	210/266/344	134	281	15	13	30%	6%	67	-0.5	192/249/359	166	239	24	9	31%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→23	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	166/239/291	125	334	15	12	52%	5%	44	-2.1	124/203/239	115	271	16	13	57%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Estarlyn Morales 2015 · A	22	43→39	41→40	51→50	43	210/265/312	102	273	8	12	26%	6%	58	-1.2	203/247/294	91	294	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	190/227/271	81	277	6	14	33%	4%	27	-2.7
✕Malvin Matos 2019 · A	22	43→38	39→45	48→50	44	207/272/295	88	279	6	10	26%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/333	122	296	14	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	196/266/321	125	267	17	13	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Jeffrey Baez 2016 · A	22	42→43	42→50	55→60	37	209/243/311	102	277	9	22	28%	4%	48	-1.9	202/252/315	113	270	12	22	29%	6%	53	-1.5	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Estarlin Martinez 2014 · A	22	42→41	40	52→50	43	208/260/302	94	266	8	14	25%	6%	53	-1.5	225/273/291	66	296	3	12	24%	6%	55	-1.4	234/282/282	48	308	1	11	23%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→39	45	56→60	41	213/288/344	131	301	12	19	32%	7%	77	+0.1	199/274/319	120	285	13	34	33%	8%	65	-0.7	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Marcus Chiu 2019 · A	22	41→26	45	53→45	38	202/283/327	125	286	12	11	32%	5%	72	-0.2	178/269/302	124	310	14	6	44%	8%	59	-1.1	160/249/283	123	273	15	3	44%	7%	43	-1.3