Adrian Rodriguez

SS Hillsboro Hops

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AARI	329	.206/.321/.274	2	5	28	—	.159/.247/.207
2025	21	INTLGigantes de C…	41	.143/.211/.229	1	0	15	—
2026	22	A+ARI	151	.185/.264/.262	2	4	19	—	.157/.215/.224
2026	22	AARI	81	.143/.325/.206	0	3	19	—	.119/.262/.179
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBARI	1	.183/.261/.249	0	0	43	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBARI	82	.190/.268/.271	1	1	51	-0.2
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBARI	152	.195/.273/.287	2	2	56	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%82

K%80

Z-Con%66

Chase%46

Speed38

BB%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsClaudio Finol (age 23) · Jon Murphy (age 23) · Connor Justus (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .261 / .249

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	45	39	8	0	2	0	6	14	0	3	1	205	311	308	619	103	320	31	13	285	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	39	35	4	0	0	0	2	15	1	1	1	114	184	114	298		200	38	5	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	173	143	37	2	0	0	21	38	4	6	1	259	369	273	642	14	339	22	12	300	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	40	37	2	0	0	0	1	15	1	0	1	54	103	54	157		91	38	2	81	-59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	107	31	1	3	1	15	28	4	3	2	290	397	383	780	93	375	22	12	353	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	23	21	3	0	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	143	217	143	360		250	39	4	180	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	329	277	57	9	2	2	41	86	6	5	5	206	321	274	595	69	286	26	12	279	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	41	35	5	0	0	1	2	9	1	0	2	143	211	229	439	86	160	22	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	151	130	24	4	0	2	13	28	1	4	2	185	264	262	525	77	212	19	9	234	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	81	63	9	2	1	0	12	21	5	3	1	143	325	206	531	63	214	26	15	267	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	—	45	41	5	0	1	0	4	20	0	3	1	122	200	171	371	49	260	44	9	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	173	151	28	1	0	0	13	54	4	6	1	185	268	192	460	7	268	31	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	128	113	23	1	2	1	9	42	4	3	2	204	286	274	560	71	287	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	23	21	2	0	0	0	1	12	1	0	0	95	174	95	269		227	52	4	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	329	290	46	7	2	1	28	119	6	5	5	159	247	207	454	48	249	36	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	151	134	21	3	0	2	9	38	1	4	2	157	215	224	439	67	186	25	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	81	67	8	2	1	0	8	29	5	3	1	119	263	179	442	60	181	36	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	84	75	10	0	2	0	7	38	1	4	2	133	217	187	404	53	270	45	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	84	74	12	0	2	0	8	29	1	4	2	162	253	216	469	54	267	35	10	221	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	213	186	36	2	0	0	16	67	5	6	2	194	275	204	480	11	293	31	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	213	180	39	2	0	0	22	53	5	6	2	217	319	228	547	11	298	25	10	259	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	128	113	23	1	2	1	9	42	4	3	2	204	286	274	560	71	306	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	128	107	31	1	3	1	15	28	4	3	2	290	397	383	780	93	375	22	12	353	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	393	345	54	8	2	1	32	147	8	5	7	157	244	200	444	43	265	37	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	393	333	65	9	2	3	44	104	8	5	7	195	304	261	565	66	271	26	11	264	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	232	201	29	5	1	2	17	66	6	7	3	144	232	209	441	65	197	28	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	232	193	33	6	1	2	25	49	6	7	3	171	286	244	529	73	212	21	11	246	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	84	76	10	0	2	0	7	38	1	4	2	132	217	184	401	53	260	45	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	213	190	36	2	0	0	16	67	5	6	2	189	275	200	475	11	268	31	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	128	114	23	1	2	1	9	42	4	3	2	202	286	272	558	70	287	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	393	350	54	8	2	1	32	147	8	5	7	154	244	197	441	43	248	37	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	232	207	29	5	1	2	17	66	6	7	3	140	232	203	435	63	184	28	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	128	114	23	1	2	1	9	42	4	3	2	202	286	272	558	70	287	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	393	350	54	8	2	1	32	147	8	5	7	154	244	197	441	43	248	37	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	232	207	29	5	1	2	17	66	6	7	3	140	232	203	435	63	184	28	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	342	306	55	10	2	2	27	101	6	5	3	177	256	238	494	61	254	30	8	231	43	-23	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	183	261	249	510	67	263	0	0	238	43	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	271	243	45	8	1	3	21	79	5	4	2	185	263	261	524	76	258	29	8	243	51	-16	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	344	308	58	10	2	4	27	99	6	5	3	190	268	277	545	87	260	29	8	251	56	-18	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	392	352	68	12	2	6	31	111	6	6	3	193	272	288	560	95	262	28	8	257	60	-19	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	82	75	15	3	1	1	6	24	1	1	1	190	268	271	539	81	266	29	7	249	51	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	152	137	27	5	1	2	12	44	2	2	1	195	273	287	560	92	269	29	8	257	56	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	199	178	36	7	1	3	16	56	3	3	2	199	276	298	574	99	270	28	8	263	60	-9	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	433	390	78	15	3	6	34	124	6	6	4	200	274	300	574	100	275	29	8	258	41	-22	-0	+0	+5	+9	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	118	23	5	9	51	186	9	9	6	202	276	304	580	103	277	29	8	258	41	-33	-1	+0	+7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2275	2018	357	52	13	18	177	713	45	43	26	177	258	242	501	65	260	31	8	229	41	-67	-0	+0	+13	+27	-2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	102	15	4	5	51	204	13	12	7	177	259	243	502	66	260	31	8	229	41	-36	-0	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	434	6	7	191	267	280	+5	+3	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	9	10	+7.1	+4.6	-0.8	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	45	50	176/254/236	60	254	1	3	30%	8%	43	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Toby Gardenhire 2006 · A	23	40	35→30	47→40	40	192/248/251	58	267	3	7	28%	5%	42	-2.9	197/241/238	41	264	1	4	24%	5%	36	-3.4	234/286/262	28	285	1	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Pedruin Bautista 2007 · A	23	36	35→40	48→60	43	171/237/228	57	248	2	11	30%	7%	33	-3.6	194/285/269	75	245	3	19	20%	10%	61	-1.5	180/297/260	80	210	2	33	14%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	190/242/269	79	270	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Dereck Salom 2024 · A	23	41	35→30	42→40	49	193/270/248	55	261	2	4	25%	9%	51	-2.3	202/284/269	67	267	5	7	24%	9%	61	-1.5	188/281/233	46	243	4	7	22%	10%	52	-1.4
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A	23	40	36→30	47→45	36	190/237/256	66	288	4	7	34%	5%	39	-3.1	195/269/258	63	278	3	6	28%	8%	53	-2.1	180/263/233	53	255	2	5	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Nick Lovullo 2017 · A	23	38	36→30	45→40	38	187/231/253	66	265	4	6	30%	5%	36	-3.4	200/254/264	64	266	4	5	25%	6%	47	-2.5	191/247/244	54	255	3	3	25%	6%	37	-1.6
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	40	35→30	48→45	45	190/263/251	61	263	3	7	27%	8%	49	-2.4	205/257/265	60	293	4	4	29%	5%	49	-2.4	195/246/237	42	274	3	1	29%	5%	35	-1.1
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	189/237/261	72	256	4	9	27%	6%	40	-3.1	187/238/270	83	284	5	10	34%	5%	43	-2.8	131/180/196	65	213	3	13	38%	4%	5	-1.5
✕John Garcia 2024 · A	23	40	38→40	43→50	41	188/285/268	80	289	5	7	33%	7%	63	-1.4	200/275/295	95	295	9	11	33%	7%	64	-1.3	194/265/283	89	283	9	14	33%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	40	36→40	48→45	47	190/258/257	67	255	2	6	25%	8%	48	-2.5	224/274/298	74	304	3	7	26%	6%	62	-1.4	241/285/309	68	323	1	7	24%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	36	36→40	43→40	50	171/266/239	68	240	4	3	28%	10%	49	-2.4	182/251/255	73	318	3	5	40%	7%	45	-2.7	165/219/238	73	309	2	4	44%	5%	26	-1.3

Adrian Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps