Adrian Rodriguez

Adrian RodriguezSS Hillsboro Hops

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 151 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†20

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .247 / .235

PA151

HR1

K%32

BB%7

BABIP250

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	84	75	10	0	2	0	7	39	1	4	2	133	217	187	404	53	278	46	8	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	84	74	12	0	2	0	8	29	1	4	2	162	253	216	469	54	267	35	10	221	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	213	187	35	2	0	0	15	67	5	6	2	187	266	198	464	11	282	31	7	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	213	180	39	2	0	0	22	53	5	6	2	217	319	228	547	11	298	25	10	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	114	23	1	2	1	8	43	4	3	2	202	278	272	550	70	306	34	6	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	107	31	1	3	1	15	28	4	3	2	290	397	383	780	93	375	22	12	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	393	345	51	7	2	1	32	147	8	5	7	148	236	188	425	41	250	37	8	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	3 teams	—	393	333	65	9	2	3	44	104	8	5	7	195	304	261	565	66	271	26	11	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	ARI	—	169	149	18	4	0	1	10	55	6	6	2	121	206	168	374	47	179	33	6	169	-12	-21	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.5
YTD	22	A+	ARI	—	169	144	22	5	0	1	15	40	6	6	2	153	261	208	469	56	200	24	9	224	30	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
ROS	22	A+	ARI	0%	151	136	23	4	1	1	11	48	3	3	1	169	247	235	482	66	236	32	7	211	20	-14	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						238	0	0	196	8	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	ARI	—	170	150	18	4	0	1	10	55	6	6	2	120	205	167	371	47	177	32	6	170	-12	-22	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.5
TOT	22	A+	ARI	—	320	285	41	8	1	2	21	103	9	9	3	144	225	200	425	56	213	32	7	189	3	-35	+1	+0	+3	+9	-2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	389	350	60	10	2	4	29	119	7	6	3	171	249	246	494	74	243	31	7	229	34	-29	+0	+0	+4	+11	-1.4
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	449	404	72	12	2	6	34	134	8	7	3	178	256	262	518	84	248	30	8	242	44	-29	+0	+0	+5	+13	-1.1
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	481	432	80	13	2	8	37	141	9	8	3	185	264	280	544	95	251	29	8	250	49	-28	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.9
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	500	448	84	14	2	9	39	146	9	8	4	188	266	288	554	100	252	29	8	254	52	-27	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	507	453	85	14	2	9	40	148	9	8	4	188	267	287	554	99	252	29	8	254	52	-27	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	134	120	20	3	1	1	10	41	3	2	1	167	248	233	481	67	245	31	7	217	24	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	208	186	34	6	1	3	16	62	4	3	2	183	262	274	536	91	250	30	8	231	35	-15	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	249	224	41	7	1	4	19	73	4	4	2	183	259	277	536	94	253	29	8	238	41	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	271	243	46	8	1	5	21	79	5	4	2	189	268	292	560	103	254	29	8	242	44	-17	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	275	246	47	8	1	5	22	80	5	4	2	191	271	293	564	102	254	29	8	243	44	-17	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1138	1020	188	32	5	18	88	335	21	17	9	184	263	278	541	94	253	29	8	236	39	-78	-0	+0	+12	+32	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	107	18	3	10	50	191	12	10	5	184	262	276	538	93	252	29	8	236	39	-45	+0	+0	+7	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	3295	2944	523	77	17	39	252	1032	63	58	31	178	257	255	512	77	256	31	8	235	38	-230	-1	+0	+35	+93	-10.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	103	15	3	8	50	204	12	11	6	177	257	255	511	77	255	31	8	235	38	-45	-0	+0	+7	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	45	39	8	0	2	0	6	14	0	3	1	205	311	308	619	103	320	31	13	285	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	18	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	39	35	4	0	0	0	2	15	1	1	1	114	184	114	298		200	38	5	147	-29	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	173	143	37	2	0	0	21	38	4	6	1	259	369	273	642	14	339	22	12	300	87	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2023	19	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	40	37	2	0	0	0	1	15	1	0	1	54	103	54	157		91	38	2	81	-80	-8	-0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2024	20	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	128	107	31	1	3	1	15	28	4	3	2	290	397	383	780	93	375	22	12	353	128	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	23	21	3	0	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	143	217	143	360		250	39	4	180	-4	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	329	277	57	9	2	2	41	86	6	5	5	206	321	274	595	69	286	26	12	279	72	-11	-1	—	—	+9	-0.2
2025	21	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	41	35	5	0	0	1	2	9	1	0	2	143	211	229	439	86	160	22	5	191	4	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,139	18	18	184	259	278	+12	+6	-2.2	-1.1
	/162	664	11	11	184	259	278	+7.1	+3.5	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	22	25	25	45	50	144/225/200	56	213	2	9	32%	7%	3	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	44	178/253/238	60	259	4	7	31%	8%	35	-2.8	196/255/250	54	275	2	4	27%	7%	37	-2.6	188/244/231	44	262	1	2	27%	7%	26	-1.6
✕Wilkin Grullon 2022 · A	22	40	37→30	46→45	41	189/263/263	74	280	5	4	32%	7%	46	-2.0	197/259/295	98	320	8	5	38%	7%	51	-1.7	156/214/260	104	255	11	0	42%	6%	20	-0.7
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	41	35→30	48→45	45	195/266/257	62	273	3	7	28%	7%	45	-2.1	203/255/264	61	295	4	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	191/241/233	42	275	3	1	30%	5%	24	-1.1
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	38	37→30	44→50	39	185/231/250	65	251	5	7	28%	5%	27	-3.3	200/239/272	72	273	5	6	27%	4%	36	-2.7	200/236/264	64	268	4	4	26%	4%	29	-0.9
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	46→55	44	170/241/222	52	239	2	7	28%	7%	25	-3.5	197/260/265	68	266	4	12	26%	7%	43	-2.2	189/250/244	55	249	4	19	24%	6%	30	-1.3
✕Jamaal Hawkins 2011 · A	22	38	36→30	49→50	41	183/246/248	65	273	3	9	32%	7%	33	-2.9	196/260/265	69	313	3	10	35%	6%	44	-2.1	185/252/246	60	307	1	12	37%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2014 · A	22	42→35	36→40	40→50	44	195/267/261	66	302	3	7	34%	8%	46	-2.0	181/259/261	80	287	4	8	35%	9%	43	-2.2	157/243/243	86	247	4	8	35%	10%	29	-1.5
✕Angel Rojas 2014 · A	21	37	34→30	47→50	39	177/234/230	53	260	2	9	31%	6%	24	-3.6	201/253/269	68	288	3	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	195/242/237	42	275	0	2	27%	4%	26	-0.6
✕Frank Veliz 2022 · A	22	39	38→30	47→55	37	188/240/264	76	290	5	7	36%	6%	35	-2.8	192/252/277	85	327	6	6	40%	7%	43	-2.2	129/202/202	72	244	6	0	46%	7%	1	-0.9
✕Hector Martinez 2022 · A	21	41	35→30	46→50	44	193/260/253	60	272	3	7	28%	7%	41	-2.3	196/250/268	72	305	4	5	34%	6%	40	-2.4	152/197/210	58	243	3	0	37%	5%	0	-0.9
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2021 · A	22	43	36→30	43→50	39	204/258/271	67	287	4	6	29%	5%	44	-2.1	219/274/296	77	271	6	14	20%	6%	57	-1.2	212/269/275	64	258	5	17	19%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Henrry Pedra 2016 · A	22	39	34→40	45→50	38	184/243/234	49	281	1	12	33%	6%	28	-3.2	196/270/264	68	268	4	13	27%	6%	49	-1.8	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Alberto Espinosa 2009 · A	22	38	37→40	45→40	39	185/229/254	69	260	4	4	30%	5%	27	-3.3	203/257/280	77	289	4	5	29%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/279	77	284	2	2	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0