Anthuan Valencia

Anthuan ValenciaSS Daytona Tortugas

Age 22 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 161 proj PA

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .237 / .232

PA161

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	120	18	1	0	0	31	32	3	8	2	150	338	158	496	8	200	21	20	260	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	153	129	29	4	0	0	17	37	5	6	3	225	338	256	594	31	309	24	11	283	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	189	165	42	6	1	4	17	29	4	19	6	255	339	376	714	121	281	15	9	320	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	18	14	2	0	0	0	3	5	1	1	0	143	333	143	476		222	28	17	258	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	111	96	30	11	0	1	9	27	3	3	0	312	389	458	847	146	414	24	8	369	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	137	114	23	2	0	0	16	44	4	8	2	202	321	219	540	18	315	32	12	260	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	35	29	5	0	0	1	3	13	1	0	0	172	273	276	549	103	267	37	9	244	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	130	13	1	0	0	21	39	3	8	2	100	240	108	348	8	127	25	13	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	153	135	18	2	0	0	11	46	5	6	3	133	225	148	373	15	193	30	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	189	170	26	4	1	2	12	37	4	19	6	153	226	224	449	71	165	20	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	18	15	2	0	0	0	2	7	1	1	0	133	278	133	411		212	39	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	111	99	21	7	0	1	6	39	3	3	0	212	278	313	591	101	310	35	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	137	119	20	2	0	0	11	60	4	8	2	168	261	185	446	17	297	44	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	35	30	4	0	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	133	212	233	445	100	210	54	6	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	130	13	1	0	0	21	39	3	8	2	100	240	108	348	8	140	25	13	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	156	120	18	1	0	0	31	32	3	8	2	150	338	158	496	8	200	21	20	260	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	153	135	18	2	0	0	11	46	5	6	3	133	225	148	373	15	198	30	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	153	129	29	4	0	0	17	37	5	6	3	225	338	256	594	31	309	24	11	283	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	189	170	26	4	1	2	12	37	4	19	6	153	226	224	449	71	179	20	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	189	165	42	6	1	4	17	29	4	19	6	255	339	376	714	121	281	15	9	320	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	114	23	7	0	1	8	45	4	4	0	202	278	289	567	88	314	35	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	129	110	32	11	0	1	12	32	4	4	0	291	381	418	799	127	392	25	9	354	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	172	149	24	2	0	1	13	79	5	8	2	161	251	195	446	34	319	46	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	172	143	28	2	0	1	19	57	5	8	2	196	311	231	542	35	307	33	11	257	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	131	13	1	0	0	21	39	3	8	2	99	240	107	347	8	127	25	13	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	153	136	18	2	0	0	11	46	5	6	3	132	225	147	372	15	193	30	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	189	171	26	4	1	2	12	37	4	19	6	152	226	222	448	70	165	20	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	116	23	7	0	1	8	45	4	4	0	198	278	284	562	86	296	35	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	172	152	24	2	0	1	13	79	5	8	2	158	251	191	442	33	279	46	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	189	171	26	4	1	2	12	37	4	19	6	152	226	222	448	70	165	20	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	129	116	23	7	0	1	8	45	4	4	0	198	278	284	562	86	296	35	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	172	152	24	2	0	1	13	79	5	8	2	158	251	191	442	33	279	46	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	282	256	42	8	1	2	20	89	4	6	1	166	239	234	473	68	240	32	7	220	35	-22	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	233	211	37	7	1	3	17	72	3	5	1	173	246	253	499	80	244	31	7	231	42	-16	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.8
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	80	73	12	2	0	1	6	25	1	2	0	174	247	257	503	83	245	31	8	233	42	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	80	73	12	2	0	1	6	25	1	2	0	164	237	233	470	68	234	31	8	233	25	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	97	16	0	8	49	203	8	16	0	164	237	231	468	67	233	31	8	233	25	-45	+3	+0	+7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1193	1055	165	27	3	8	94	369	26	53	15	156	243	210	453	54	227	31	8	206	25	-28	+1	+0	+4	+9	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	90	15	2	4	51	201	14	29	8	157	242	210	453	54	228	31	8	206	25	-47	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	241	2	5	169	239	242	+3	+3	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	6	13	+7.1	+8.3	-2.3	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthuan Valencia (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	30→35	52→57	50	165/237/232	68	240	1	3	31%	7%	35	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	32	37→30	51→45	45	156/252/227	71	249	5	9	36%	10%	40	-3.0	180/273/246	66	295	4	6	36%	11%	53	-2.1	136/258/166	30	238	1	3	38%	14%	28	-1.4
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Jamaal Hawkins 2011 · A	22	38	36→30	49→50	40	181/243/245	65	270	3	9	32%	7%	40	-3.1	196/259/265	69	308	3	10	35%	6%	50	-2.3	187/252/247	60	303	1	12	36%	5%	40	-1.6
✕Felix Cabrera 2011 · A	22	33	34→30	51→50	48	157/254/207	50	227	1	15	28%	9%	37	-3.3	193/247/261	68	273	4	13	29%	6%	44	-2.8	214/255/277	63	292	3	19	26%	5%	49	-0.6
✕Omar Hernandez 2024 · AA	22	38	37→30	50→55	42	186/243/252	66	254	5	17	28%	6%	40	-3.0	203/247/266	63	270	5	18	25%	5%	45	-2.7	208/245/263	55	275	4	21	25%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	37	41→40	51→50	39	188/238/276	88	257	10	9	30%	6%	45	-2.7	195/242/287	92	270	10	14	30%	5%	49	-2.4	180/226/267	87	248	10	18	31%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Gionti Turner 2023 · A	22	39	37→30	47→55	41	187/253/255	68	257	5	13	28%	6%	46	-2.6	187/247/254	67	290	5	15	35%	5%	43	-2.8	165/225/215	50	268	4	19	38%	5%	23	-1.5
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Sander Mora 2022 · A	21	37	37→30	52→55	46	179/260/252	72	259	5	12	31%	9%	48	-2.5	179/252/257	78	300	6	9	39%	8%	46	-2.6	133/219/193	60	224	6	11	40%	10%	18	-1.9
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	190/248/269	79	262	6	11	29%	7%	47	-2.6	198/262/281	83	345	5	9	41%	6%	55	-1.9	143/230/226	84	291	4	14	47%	8%	31	-0.7
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A	22	36	37→30	53→45	40	176/228/249	73	249	5	10	30%	6%	34	-3.5	192/237/259	67	268	5	8	29%	5%	40	-3.1	172/219/218	46	251	3	6	31%	6%	22	-1.6
✕Marcos Estevez 2017 · A	22	35	39→40	53→50	44	169/257/256	87	255	5	10	33%	8%	49	-2.4	173/277/253	80	240	5	10	27%	10%	57	-1.8	124/263/191	67	164	4	11	24%	13%	38	-0.7
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	36	37→30	44→50	40	179/226/242	63	240	5	7	27%	5%	32	-3.7	196/234/267	71	268	4	6	27%	4%	40	-3.0	194/228/257	62	261	4	4	26%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Felix Familia 2021 · A	22	40	35→30	48→45	45	190/263/251	61	263	3	7	27%	8%	49	-2.4	205/257/265	60	293	4	4	29%	5%	49	-2.4	195/246/237	42	274	3	1	29%	5%	35	-1.1
✕Sandy Mota 2019 · A	22	36	36→30	48→55	40	176/230/241	65	247	3	14	29%	6%	33	-3.6	195/248/281	86	306	6	11	36%	6%	49	-2.4	160/209/259	99	268	10	13	42%	5%	27	-0.8
✕Dalvy Rosario 2022 · A	22	41→43	38→40	54→55	42	199/261/275	77	278	6	14	29%	7%	53	-2.1	198/244/286	88	289	8	19	33%	5%	49	-2.4	188/230/270	82	277	8	22	34%	4%	38	-2.0
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps