Anthuan ValenciaSS Daytona Tortugas
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 177 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†40
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .261 / .245
PA100
HR1
K%34
BB%8
BABIP269
ISO67
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -23.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -1.30-1.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.4-0.22628
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER38
scouting grade only
EYE51
scouting grade only
SPEED61
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Reds 156133 14100 18473 82 105227113340 8159 3012 168 -13
202217 ROKDSL Reds 156120 18100 31323 82 150338158496 8200 2120 260 57
202318 ROKDSL Reds 153136 20300 10555 63 147232169401 22241 367 186 1
202318 ROKDSL Reds 153129 29400 17375 63 225338256594 31309 2411 283 75
202419 ROKDSL Reds 189171 27412 11464 196 158226228454 70198 246 207 17
202419 ROKDSL Reds 189165 42614 17294 196 255339376714 121281 159 320 103
202520 ROK2 teams 129113 22800 9454 40 195278265543 71314 357 250 49
202520 ROK2 teams 129110 321101 12324 40 291381418799 127392 259 354 129
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ACIN 151129 18201 14703 72 140240178418 39279 469 190 4 -16 +1 +0 +2 +4 -1.0
YTD21 ACIN 151124 22201 19493 72 177301218519 40273 3213 247 47 -9 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
ROS21 ACIN 0% 10089 16301 8342 31 178261245506 67272 348 237 40 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
ROS21 MLBCIN 0% 01 0000 000 00 274 228 33 +0 +0
FULL21 ACIN 151130 18201 14703 72 138240177417 38274 469 190 4 -16 +1 +0 +2 +4 -1.0
TOT21 ACIN 251218 34502 221045 103 155248206454 50274 419 209 18 -23 +1 +0 +3 +7 -1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCIN 34% 276248 48914 22894 62 194270286556 93276 328 252 51 -15 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.4
202823 MLBCIN 48% 369332 651216 291165 82 196270292563 96278 318 262 59 -17 +1 +0 +4 +10 -0.2
202722 MLBCIN 34% 9587 16301 7311 21 184253253506 69279 337 244 45 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202823 MLBCIN 48% 179160 32613 14563 41 200277306583 106281 318 254 52 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 274248 48914 21874 62 194268286555 93278 328 250 50 -16 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.5
/ 162G 650588 1132129 502069 145 192266281547 88277 328 250 50 -37 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.1
Career 13721222 21240313 10743227 5416 173255243498 70252 318 230 34 -102 +4 +0 +15 +39 -4.5
/ 162G 650579 1001916 5120513 268 173255240495 67251 328 230 34 -48 +2 +0 +7 +18 -2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Reds 156120 18100 31323 82 150338158496 8200 2120 260 57 -8 +1 +4 -0.2
202318 ROKDSL Reds 153129 29400 17375 63 225338256594 31309 2411 283 75 -4 +0 +4 -0.0
202419 ROKDSL Reds 189165 42614 17294 196 255339376714 121281 159 320 103 +1 +1 +5 0.8
202520 ADaytona Tortugas 1814 2000 351 10 143333143476 222 2817 258 55 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
202520 ROKACL Reds 11196 301101 9273 30 312389458847 146414 248 369 141 +5 +1 +3 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
243269196267291+5+6-0.4-0.2
/1626641014+7.1+9.2-0.7pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Anthuan Valencia (OGILVIE) 21 30→35 33→38 56→61 51 155/248/206 50274 210 41% 9% 18 -1.3
Nelson Medina
2022 · A
21 39 38→45 53→50 47 187/270/270 84274 515 31% 9% 51 -1.7 185/255/279 94336 713 43% 8% 46 -2.0 134/194/2097529151652%6%-1-1.8
Chris Roller
2018 · A
21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Brandon Dailey
2013 · A
21 42 40→45 55 37 202/247/299 97291 712 32% 5% 46 -2.0 194/247/296 102282 96 33% 6% 46 -2.0 138/192/212741905029%5%1-1.2
Kyle Nevin
2023 · A
21 41→38 40→45 52→50 38 198/249/295 97282 610 31% 5% 47 -1.9 217/274/320 103339 910 36% 7% 64 -0.8 212/271/3099733491237%7%57-0.7
Robert Del Rosario
2013 · A
21 40 36→40 53→55 45 191/251/257 67255 415 26% 7% 38 -2.6 212/263/277 65287 313 26% 6% 47 -1.9 226/270/2694330301724%4%46-0.7
Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A
20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
Jase Bowen
2022 · A
21 37→38 41→50 54→55 34 183/241/274 91285 912 37% 5% 39 -2.5 193/247/307 114286 1316 36% 5% 50 -1.7 200/250/342142290172436%5%57-0.7
Rafael Morel
2022 · A
20 38 40 51→50 39 187/248/282 94270 813 32% 6% 43 -2.2 195/260/276 81313 710 37% 7% 47 -1.9 186/257/26579290101037%7%41-1.1
Grolmann Gonzalez
2010 · A
21 40 38→40 52→55 42 193/255/277 85272 49 29% 7% 45 -2.1 209/265/303 94303 67 31% 6% 56 -1.3 218/266/3191013077430%6%58-0.2
Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A
20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
Bubba Starling
2014 · A
21 40→46 42→45 54→50 41 197/259/298 100284 1013 33% 7% 53 -1.5 202/251/323 121297 1211 35% 5% 56 -1.3 216/254/336119279141027%4%56-0.6
Angel Aponte
2021 · A
21 43 40→45 55 40 209/265/305 96292 717 30% 6% 56 -1.3 205/263/294 89297 720 31% 6% 53 -1.5 189/246/2728327872433%5%38-0.9
Misael Urbina
2023 · A
21 38→29 42→45 49→50 44 189/258/299 110261 812 30% 8% 53 -1.5 172/250/256 84262 69 34% 9% 38 -2.6 154/242/228742355833%9%26-2.0
Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A
20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
Darel Belen
2021 · A
21 43 40 51→50 43 207/270/304 96282 711 28% 7% 59 -1.1 167/242/244 77400 68 54% 8% 32 -3.0 80/172/130502576665%8%-26-1.4
Cristian Paulino
2013 · A
21 41 37→40 55→60 40 197/250/272 75271 417 28% 6% 41 -2.3 209/254/301 92275 621 25% 4% 50 -1.8 209/253/31010126972824%4%48-0.6
Leonel Espinoza
2023 · A
20 38→44 40 50→55 41 188/259/274 86266 711 31% 6% 46 -2.0 209/272/298 89302 714 31% 6% 58 -1.2 202/259/2939029281832%5%47-1.0
Arturo De Freitas
2022 · A
21 43 38→45 50→40 39 204/264/287 82286 58 29% 5% 51 -1.7 173/225/248 75289 74 40% 6% 24 -3.5 136/184/191552335042%5%-10-2.1
Victor Duarte
2022 · A
21 39 38→30 48→45 42 188/251/269 81260 67 29% 6% 42 -2.3 199/274/280 81291 66 31% 8% 55 -1.4 183/255/2506625161127%8%37-0.7
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4