Malik Binns prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Malik Binns P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 27 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%21.9%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	2	2	3	10	1	1	0	100%	1.5	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.52	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	2	2	3	10	1	1	0	100%	1.5	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.43	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	164	45	40	0	0%	1.3	19.8%	29.4%	-9.6%	0.0%	5.66	5.15	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	35	164	45	40	0	0%	1.3	27.4%	24.4%	3.0%	0.0%	5.66	3.96	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	22	0	25	133	28	23	0	0%	1.2	16.2%	19.9%	-3.7%	0.0%	6.04	4.25	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	22	0	25	133	28	23	0	0%	1.2	16.2%	19.9%	-3.7%	0.0%	6.04	4.25	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	22	0	25	133	28	23	0	0%	1.2	21.1%	17.3%	3.8%	0.0%	6.04	3.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.9%	12.6%	9.3%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.87	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.4%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		51	2	63	307	55	76	0	4%	1.2	17.9%	24.7%	-6.7%	0.0%	5.54	4.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	6	200	969	174	239	0	4%	1.2	17.9%	24.7%	-6.7%	0.0%	5.54	4.71	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Malik Binns (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	21.9%	12.6%	2.9%	—	4.87	21.9%	9.5%	20	+0.03	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	83
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	81
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	81
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	81
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	81