Ruben Ibarra

1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 R/R 6'3" / 290 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AACIN	400	.232/.350/.470	21	0	77	—	.192/.280/.367
2026	27	AACIN	468	.238/.338/.472	25	1	77	—	.197/.272/.380
2026	27	INTLNaranjeros de…	23	.381/.435/.857	3	0	255	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBCIN	5	.211/.284/.392	0	0	85	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBCIN	58	.210/.282/.386	2	0	83	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO86

wOBA64

wRC+60

BB%59

K%46

Chase%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMike Bianucci (age 28) · Cody Decker (age 28) · Brett Carroll (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .284 / .392

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP262

ISO173

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	82	16	3	0	1	16	29	6	0	0	195	365	268	634	73	278	27	15	305	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	94	85	16	3	0	4	7	21	2	1	0	188	266	365	631	176	200	22	7	284	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	164	140	40	7	0	7	17	42	5	2	1	286	383	486	868	200	355	26	10	382	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	402	340	81	13	1	18	47	98	11	1	0	238	349	441	790	203	276	24	12	351	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	326	288	67	17	0	12	29	82	6	0	1	233	315	417	731	184	281	25	9	325	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	115	94	24	2	0	2	17	30	1	1	0	255	372	340	712	85	344	26	15	325	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	336	78	17	0	21	47	103	14	0	0	232	350	470	820	238	265	26	12	362	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	468	400	95	19	0	25	53	118	9	1	0	237	338	472	811	235	268	25	11	355	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	23	21	8	1	0	3	2	5	0	0	0	381	435	857	1.292	476	385	22	9	545	255	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	87	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	161	298	218	516	57	243	36	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	94	87	13	2	0	3	5	25	2	1	0	149	213	276	489	126	163	27	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	164	147	33	5	0	6	10	56	5	2	1	224	296	381	677	156	306	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	70	10	1	14	32	127	11	1	0	197	284	349	633	152	248	32	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	326	298	55	12	0	9	20	99	6	0	1	185	250	315	565	131	236	30	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	115	101	20	2	0	1	11	38	1	1	0	198	283	248	531	50	288	33	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	354	68	14	0	16	29	124	14	0	0	192	280	367	647	175	233	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	468	421	83	17	0	20	34	144	9	1	0	197	272	380	652	183	238	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	87	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	161	298	218	516	57	260	36	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	82	16	3	0	1	16	29	6	0	0	195	365	268	634	73	278	27	15	305	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	258	233	46	7	0	9	16	81	7	3	1	197	270	343	613	146	255	31	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	258	225	56	10	0	11	24	63	7	3	1	249	340	440	780	191	294	24	9	346	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	355	70	10	1	14	32	127	11	1	0	197	284	349	633	152	257	32	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	402	340	81	13	1	18	47	98	11	1	0	238	349	441	790	203	276	24	12	351	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	399	75	13	0	10	31	137	7	1	1	188	259	296	554	108	254	31	7	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	441	382	91	19	0	14	46	112	7	1	1	238	330	398	727	160	296	25	10	325	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	354	68	14	0	16	29	124	14	0	0	192	280	367	647	175	240	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	336	78	17	0	21	47	103	14	0	0	232	350	470	820	238	265	26	12	362	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	443	88	18	0	21	35	151	9	1	0	199	271	381	653	183	244	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	491	421	103	20	0	28	55	123	9	1	0	245	343	492	835	247	274	25	11	364	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	106	88	14	2	0	1	11	38	6	0	0	159	298	216	514	57	243	36	10	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	258	233	46	7	0	9	16	81	7	3	1	197	270	343	613	146	254	31	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	402	356	70	10	1	14	32	127	11	1	0	197	284	348	632	152	248	32	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	400	75	13	0	10	31	137	7	1	1	188	259	295	554	107	250	31	7	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	354	68	14	0	16	29	124	14	0	0	192	280	367	647	175	233	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	444	88	18	0	21	35	151	9	1	0	198	271	381	652	182	238	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	400	75	13	0	10	31	137	7	1	1	188	259	295	554	107	250	31	7	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	400	354	68	14	0	16	29	124	14	0	0	192	280	367	647	175	233	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	444	88	18	0	21	35	151	9	1	0	198	271	381	652	182	238	31	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	380	343	71	14	0	15	27	114	7	2	0	208	281	379	660	171	261	30	7	294	85	-7	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	211	284	392	676	181	262	20	0	300	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	23%	258	232	49	10	0	10	19	77	5	1	0	207	279	374	653	167	260	30	7	291	83	-5	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	23%	58	53	10	2	0	2	4	17	1	0	0	210	282	386	668	176	261	29	7	297	83	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	53	10	2	0	2	4	17	1	0	0	189	259	340	598	151	235	29	7	297	72	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	111	22	0	22	45	191	11	0	0	187	257	335	592	148	234	29	7	297	72	-13	+0	-4	-12	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2606	2328	457	83	1	91	191	810	64	8	2	196	276	350	626	154	253	31	7	274	72	-10	+0	-1	-9	+11	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	114	21	0	23	48	202	16	2	0	196	276	351	627	155	252	31	7	274	72	-12	+1	-2	-12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ruben Ibarra (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	40	50	206/278/376	170	261	10	1	30%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Bianucci 2014 · AAA	28	41→40	53→60	43→40	39	221/270/389	168	270	22	4	27%	5%	84	+0.1	228/267/411	183	270	25	5	26%	5%	87	+0.4	220/252/409	189	250	28	2	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Cody Decker 2015 · AAA	28	36→39	55→65	37→30	40	200/264/382	182	276	23	2	36%	7%	80	-0.2	190/248/350	160	274	20	3	37%	6%	66	-1.1	175/244/325	149	254	20	0	38%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB	27	43→46	51→55	41→50	42	223/278/388	165	275	19	4	26%	6%	86	+0.3	211/276/349	138	265	15	10	26%	6%	76	-0.4	203/269/334	132	257	15	10	26%	6%	69	-0.7
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	44	221/282/398	177	264	23	6	26%	7%	91	+0.6	231/288/379	148	269	16	9	20%	6%	88	+0.4	232/283/390	157	251	13	0	14%	5%	85	+0.0
✕Jon Knott 2007 · MLB	28	40	55	44→40	45	218/281/411	193	254	23	4	25%	7%	93	+0.8	218/284/387	169	268	20	5	26%	8%	88	+0.5	207/277/367	160	254	19	3	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Kyle Jensen 2016 · AAA	28	37→47	52→55	46→40	38	204/256/370	167	269	21	3	33%	6%	74	-0.5	202/252/357	155	297	19	3	37%	6%	70	-0.9	183/235/327	144	277	19	1	40%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Nate Gold 2008 · AAA	28	44→45	56→60	41→30	44	237/290/421	184	270	25	3	23%	6%	99	+1.2	218/280/375	157	272	18	3	26%	7%	84	+0.1	198/267/350	153	247	18	0	27%	8%	71	-0.4
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	38→45	52→55	47→50	42	204/258/381	178	252	19	8	28%	6%	77	-0.3	219/265/380	161	254	17	8	21%	5%	79	-0.2	229/273/404	176	255	22	11	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	40→39	54→55	45→40	42	215/272/392	177	261	22	5	28%	6%	85	+0.2	214/272/352	138	272	18	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/264/311	109	259	15	1	28%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Stefan Gartrell 2012 · AAA	28	44→52	53→55	45	41	229/284/401	172	289	22	5	29%	6%	91	+0.7	223/280/379	156	309	20	8	33%	7%	84	+0.2	213/272/360	148	300	20	8	35%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	43→40	50	44→40	46	220/293/368	148	289	18	3	30%	8%	87	+0.4	203/261/330	127	265	14	5	28%	6%	66	-1.1	166/217/268	102	214	10	2	27%	5%	34	-1.7
✕Tagg Bozied 2007 · AAA	28	46	52→55	43→45	44	236/304/402	166	288	20	5	25%	7%	99	+1.3	227/289/395	168	270	20	6	24%	7%	92	+0.7	238/298/410	173	288	20	5	24%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Mike Hessman 2006 · MLB	28	32→35	54→65	43→45	40	189/257/362	173	243	24	6	33%	7%	73	-0.6	189/260/393	204	246	29	6	36%	8%	82	-0.0	193/270/410	218	252	30	4	36%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Mac Williamson 2019 · MLB	29	42→51	54→55	44→45	42	222/283/393	170	280	23	6	29%	6%	89	+0.5	229/300/398	169	297	23	9	30%	8%	97	+1.1	210/289/373	163	272	25	7	32%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Chris Jacobs 2015 · AA	26	41→39	54→55	43→40	44	217/296/394	177	295	23	3	33%	8%	95	+0.9	215/277/331	116	306	13	4	32%	7%	72	-0.7	205/258/282	77	304	8	2	33%	5%	50	-0.9
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	207/302/394	187	288	24	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	215/316/411	196	319	25	8	37%	11%	106	+1.8	205/313/411	206	301	27	7	38%	12%	102	+1.1
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	38	52→60	43→45	39	202/261/367	165	279	20	5	35%	7%	75	-0.5	205/266/341	136	303	15	8	35%	7%	71	-0.8	169/234/307	138	253	17	6	39%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Michael Johnson 2007 · AA	27	41→36	56→60	42→30	44	222/287/414	192	285	25	3	31%	8%	96	+1.0	213/291/375	162	301	19	4	33%	9%	88	+0.4	191/280/359	169	268	20	0	35%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→55	43→40	41	215/273/375	160	287	21	5	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/282/375	160	270	19	7	27%	8%	84	+0.2	169/244/357	189	183	25	0	25%	8%	63	-0.2
✕Kevin West 2007 · AAA	27	44→46	51→50	39→30	43	227/293/385	158	276	20	4	25%	6%	91	+0.7	225/282/360	135	291	16	5	27%	6%	81	-0.1	216/270/337	121	280	15	0	28%	6%	69	-0.7