Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024
24
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
19
105
436
118
36
9
79%
4.4
20.4%
9.6%
10.8%
2.4%
3.44
3.91
—
2024
24
MIXMLE
2 levels
24
19
105
436
118
36
9
79%
4.4
20.4%
9.6%
10.8%
2.4%
3.44
3.91
—
2024
24
MIXRAW
2 levels
24
19
105
436
118
36
9
79%
4.4
27.1%
8.3%
18.8%
2.1%
3.44
2.99
—
2025
25
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
19
19
64
270
68
30
6
100%
3.4
20.4%
12.2%
8.2%
2.9%
4.38
4.51
—
2025
25
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
19
19
64
270
68
30
6
100%
3.4
20.4%
12.2%
8.2%
2.9%
4.38
4.51
—
2025
25
AARAW
Akron RubberDucks
19
19
64
270
68
30
6
100%
3.4
25.2%
11.1%
14.1%
2.2%
4.38
3.60
—
2026
26
AAAMLE
Columbus Clippers
28
22
129
548
113
47
16
79%
4.6
17.7%
7.7%
10.0%
3.2%
3.90
4.34
—
2026
26
AAAMLE
Columbus Clippers
28
22
129
548
113
47
16
79%
4.6
17.7%
7.7%
10.0%
3.2%
3.90
4.34
—
2026
26
AAARAW
Columbus Clippers
28
22
129
548
113
47
16
79%
4.6
20.6%
8.6%
12.0%
2.9%
3.90
4.05
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
27
MLB
CLE
25
25
149
629
115
61
19
100%
6.0
18.3%
9.7%
8.7%
3.1%
4.85
4.85
+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
28
MLBMLE
CLE
25
25
149
630
117
61
20
100%
6.0
18.6%
9.6%
8.9%
3.2%
4.84
4.87
+0.1
2029
29
MLBMLE
CLE
24
24
143
602
112
58
20
100%
5.9
18.6%
9.7%
8.9%
3.3%
4.89
4.96
-0.1
2030
30
MLBMLE
CLE
22
22
134
566
104
56
20
100%
6.1
18.4%
9.9%
8.5%
3.5%
5.00
5.10
-0.3
2028
28
MLBCTX
CLE
10
10
63
266
49
26
8
100%
6.3
18.6%
9.6%
8.9%
3.2%
4.84
4.87
+0.0
2029
29
MLBCTX
CLE
14
14
84
355
66
34
12
100%
6.0
18.6%
9.7%
8.9%
3.3%
4.89
4.96
-0.1
2030
30
MLBCTX
CLE
16
16
94
397
73
39
14
100%
5.9
18.4%
9.9%
8.5%
3.5%
5.00
5.10
-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
40
40
242
1022
189
100
34
100%
6.0
18.5%
9.7%
8.7%
3.3%
4.92
4.60
+0.8
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
156
83
28
100%
6.0
18.5%
9.7%
8.7%
3.3%
4.92
4.60
+0.7
Career
—
MLE
71
60
298
1254
241
117
36
85%
4.2
19.2%
9.3%
9.9%
2.9%
3.84
4.23
-0.4
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
48
40
200
843
162
79
24
85%
4.2
19.2%
9.3%
9.9%
2.9%
3.84
4.23
-0.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.