Mason Guerra — OGILVIE

Mason Guerra1B Rome Emperors

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .266 / .290

PA167

HR3

K%34

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	79	8	2	0	0	7	35	1	0	0	101	184	127	310	25	182	40	8	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	75	10	3	0	0	11	25	1	0	0	133	253	173	426	40	200	29	13	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	399	357	52	7	1	8	34	143	5	0	0	146	230	238	468	92	211	36	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	399	338	70	10	1	12	53	100	5	0	0	207	323	349	672	142	253	25	13	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	ATL	—	251	221	40	7	1	6	25	90	2	3	0	181	270	303	573	122	266	36	10	257	55	-13	+1	+0	-4	+7	-1.0
YTD	23	A+	ATL	—	251	207	47	9	1	8	38	67	2	3	0	227	351	396	747	169	289	27	15	335	114	+4	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.7
ROS	23	A+	ATL	0%	167	148	27	5	1	3	15	57	2	2	0	182	266	290	556	108	259	34	9	253	52	-9	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.7
ROS	23	MLB	ATL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						259	0	0	246	47	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	ATL	—	252	222	40	7	1	6	25	90	2	3	0	180	269	302	571	122	264	36	10	257	55	-13	+1	+0	-5	+7	-1.0
TOT	23	A+	ATL	—	418	369	67	12	2	9	40	147	4	5	0	181	269	298	566	116	267	35	10	255	54	-22	+1	+0	-7	+12	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	ATL	30%	431	384	72	13	1	10	40	140	4	4	1	188	271	305	576	117	262	32	9	263	60	-20	+0	+0	-8	+12	-1.5
2028	25	MLB	ATL	44%	466	416	80	14	2	11	43	148	4	5	1	192	274	315	589	123	265	32	9	270	65	-19	+1	+0	-8	+13	-1.3
2029	26	MLB	ATL	51%	486	434	85	15	2	12	45	152	4	6	1	196	277	323	600	127	267	31	9	273	67	-18	+1	+0	-9	+14	-1.2
2027	24	MLB	ATL	30%	131	117	22	4	0	3	12	43	1	1	0	188	269	299	568	111	262	33	9	257	55	-7	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	ATL	44%	206	183	35	6	1	5	19	65	2	2	0	191	275	317	591	126	265	32	9	263	60	-9	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.7
2029	26	MLB	ATL	51%	247	220	43	8	1	6	23	77	2	3	0	195	278	323	600	127	267	31	9	267	62	-11	+1	+0	-4	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	585	521	100	18	2	14	54	185	5	6	0	192	274	315	589	123	265	32	9	263	60	-27	+1	+0	-10	+17	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	111	20	2	16	60	206	6	7	0	192	274	316	590	124	264	32	9	263	60	-30	+1	+0	-12	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	2036	1818	324	56	7	44	184	675	20	17	3	178	261	289	550	111	252	33	9	252	51	-113	+2	+0	-36	+58	-9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	103	18	2	14	59	215	6	5	1	178	260	288	548	110	251	33	9	252	51	-36	+1	+0	-12	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	75	10	3	0	0	11	25	1	133	253	173	426	40	200	29	13	214	22	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	22	A+	Rome Emperors	—	214	192	35	5	0	3	20	51	1	182	263	255	518	73	230	24	9	242	43	-14	+0	—	—	+6	-0.8
2025	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	185	146	35	5	1	9	33	49	4	240	393	473	866	233	289	26	18	383	151	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	585	14	6	194	274	319	-10	-2	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	16	7	194	274	319	-11.9	-1.7	-1.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mason Guerra (OGILVIE)	23	25	30	40	40	181/269/298	116	267	9	5	35%	10%	54	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Garcia 2021 · A	23	35	43→40	43→45	43	174/265/281	106	276	11	6	38%	9%	52	-1.6	191/252/304	113	341	12	7	44%	7%	51	-1.7	145/205/246	100	273	12	3	49%	6%	16	-1.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	43→45	47	171/267/278	106	270	9	5	37%	11%	52	-1.6	184/252/283	99	267	8	7	32%	8%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Anthony Villa 2017 · A	23	41	39→45	41→30	43	198/274/289	91	261	6	3	25%	6%	58	-1.2	208/292/336	128	317	13	3	35%	9%	77	+0.1	197/290/339	142	312	15	1	38%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Robert Pehl 2016 · A	23	44	41→40	43→40	41	218/274/312	94	283	9	5	26%	5%	63	-0.9	219/284/313	94	305	6	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	222/292/316	95	314	2	3	28%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	53	-1.5	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	43	-2.2	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	20	-1.2
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	40→30	44→45	43	189/258/273	84	244	8	6	25%	6%	46	-2.0	208/266/289	81	270	5	4	23%	6%	53	-1.5	200/262/272	72	270	4	3	26%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Brian Navarreto 2018 · AA	23	36	37→45	43→30	37	181/222/246	66	243	6	3	28%	4%	22	-3.7	193/230/286	93	241	10	3	24%	3%	36	-2.7	210/259/348	138	256	18	1	26%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Dyron Campos 2023 · A	22	36	42→30	47→50	37	184/235/285	101	268	10	7	34%	6%	39	-2.5	176/233/263	87	293	8	9	40%	5%	33	-2.9	109/170/174	66	190	7	13	45%	4%	-19	-2.1
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A	23	43→37	41→40	46→45	38	205/260/302	97	309	8	5	35%	6%	53	-1.5	200/250/312	112	377	14	5	47%	6%	52	-1.6	165/213/260	95	327	16	0	52%	6%	20	-1.9
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	37	38→30	46→50	37	183/224/260	77	252	6	7	30%	5%	27	-3.3	211/252/282	71	285	4	6	26%	5%	43	-2.2	222/252/273	52	290	2	3	23%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	42→41	45	46→45	41	209/266/325	116	286	13	9	31%	6%	63	-0.9	215/286/351	136	293	16	9	30%	8%	78	+0.2	203/288/353	150	269	20	9	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Daniel Arribas 2017 · A	24	41→39	42→40	48→45	43	204/271/302	98	273	10	7	28%	7%	59	-1.1	198/273/287	89	286	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	127/235/159	33	213	0	15	36%	11%	7	-1.0
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	36	40→45	45	39	175/245/267	92	285	7	3	39%	7%	39	-2.5	196/260/290	94	335	8	4	41%	6%	51	-1.7	192/258/279	88	335	8	3	42%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	36	-2.7	206/255/295	89	301	5	5	31%	6%	49	-1.8	210/260/311	101	314	5	1	33%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A	23	37	43→45	49→50	36	172/250/279	107	313	10	6	45%	8%	45	-2.1	200/277/324	124	319	13	9	38%	8%	68	-0.5	191/267/322	131	301	15	11	39%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	37	39→40	45→40	39	180/245/262	82	274	6	4	35%	6%	37	-2.6	203/273/289	86	313	6	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	201/278/285	84	310	6	2	34%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A	23	43→35	41→40	47→45	43	206/286/301	95	302	9	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	190/250/251	61	273	4	7	30%	6%	36	-2.7	166/220/202	35	237	1	6	28%	5%	7	-3.2
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7