Mason Guerra — OGILVIE

Mason Guerra1B Rome Emperors

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION401 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP275

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	75	10	3	0	0	11	25	1	0	0	133	253	173	426	40	200	29	13	214	31	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	22	A+	Rome Emperors	—	214	192	35	5	0	3	20	51	1	0	0	182	263	255	518	73	230	24	9	242	50	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2025	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	185	146	35	5	1	9	33	49	4	0	0	240	393	473	866	233	289	26	18	383	145	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	79	8	2	0	0	7	35	1	0	0	101	184	127	310	25	180	40	8	151	-12	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	22	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	214	199	28	3	0	3	13	70	1	0	0	141	197	201	398	60	195	33	6	180	8	-23	+0	—	—	+5	-1.9
2025	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	185	158	28	4	1	6	21	71	4	0	0	177	290	329	619	152	252	38	11	272	70	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	79	8	2	0	0	7	35	1	0	0	101	184	127	310	25	182	40	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	75	10	3	0	0	11	25	1	0	0	133	253	173	426	40	200	29	13	214	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	357	56	7	1	9	34	140	5	0	0	157	240	258	498	101	223	35	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	399	338	70	10	1	12	53	100	5	0	0	207	323	349	672	142	253	25	13	307	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	79	8	2	0	0	7	35	1	0	0	101	184	127	310	25	180	40	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	357	56	7	1	9	34	140	5	0	0	157	240	258	498	101	221	35	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	87	79	8	2	0	0	7	35	1	0	0	101	184	127	310	25	180	40	8	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	399	357	56	7	1	9	34	140	5	0	0	157	240	258	498	101	221	35	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	ATL	—	401	352	70	11	1	9	40	140	5	6	1	199	290	312	602	114	295	35	10	266	66	-16	+1	+0	-7	+9	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	ATL	—	401	331	81	14	1	11	60	104	5	6	1	245	368	393	761	148	318	26	15	344	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		275	33	11	263	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	ATL	—	410	360	71	11	1	9	41	143	5	6	1	197	288	308	597	111	292	35	10	266	66	-17	+1	+0	-7	+9	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ATL	30%	441	391	77	13	1	10	42	142	5	5	1	197	283	312	595	115	276	32	10	271	70	-16	+1	+0	-8	+10	-1.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	44%	472	419	84	14	1	11	45	148	5	5	1	200	286	317	603	117	277	31	10	278	74	-15	+1	+0	-8	+10	-1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	490	435	88	15	1	12	47	151	5	6	1	202	287	324	612	122	278	31	10	281	76	-14	+1	+0	-9	+11	-1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	496	440	89	15	1	12	48	152	5	6	1	202	288	323	611	120	278	31	10	282	77	-14	+1	+0	-9	+11	-1.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	ATL	30%	134	119	23	4	0	3	13	43	1	1	0	193	278	303	581	109	276	32	10	264	70	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	44%	209	185	37	6	1	5	20	65	2	2	0	200	285	324	609	124	277	31	10	270	74	-6	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	249	220	46	8	1	6	24	77	3	3	1	209	296	336	632	127	278	31	10	273	76	-7	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	260	230	48	8	1	7	25	80	3	3	1	209	295	343	638	135	278	31	10	274	77	-7	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	852	754	154	26	3	21	82	265	9	9	2	204	290	330	620	126	282	31	10	271	65	-26	+1	+0	-15	+18	-2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	117	20	2	16	63	202	7	7	2	203	290	329	619	125	281	31	10	271	65	-19	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2394	2129	403	66	5	54	224	771	26	22	4	189	274	301	576	112	265	32	9	264	65	-58	+3	+0	-34	+41	-4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	109	18	1	15	61	209	7	6	1	189	274	301	575	112	263	32	9	264	65	-20	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	853	21	10	203	285	327	-15	-3	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	16	8	-11.9	-2.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mason Guerra (OGILVIE)	23	25	30	40	40	188/274/295	106	275	7	4	34%	9%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Garcia 2021 · A	23	35	43→45	43→45	42	176/263/286	110	274	11	6	37%	9%	58	-1.7	193/254/305	112	337	11	7	43%	7%	57	-1.8	151/210/251	100	277	11	3	47%	6%	29	-1.5
✕Anthony Villa 2017 · A	23	41	39→45	41→30	43	198/274/289	91	261	6	3	25%	6%	63	-1.4	209/293/338	129	317	13	3	35%	9%	80	-0.1	199/292/342	143	314	15	1	38%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	45	44→50	44	202/276/324	121	289	13	10	33%	8%	71	-0.8	193/283/319	126	292	14	9	36%	10%	73	-0.6	164/259/285	121	253	15	5	39%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	39→41	44→50	40→45	45	196/268/310	114	267	11	3	30%	8%	64	-1.3	202/266/306	104	266	8	5	26%	7%	62	-1.4	221/278/353	132	287	16	6	28%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A	23	35	42→45	44→45	46	175/265/284	109	271	9	5	36%	10%	58	-1.7	184/252/283	99	266	8	7	31%	8%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Nick Flair 2016 · A	23	38	40→55	44→40	40	189/242/284	96	274	7	5	33%	7%	48	-2.5	219/255/344	125	314	12	6	33%	4%	66	-1.1	235/252/384	149	329	15	4	33%	2%	72	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Jeremy Farrell 2010 · A	23	45→38	41→45	43→45	40	215/275/310	95	303	8	4	30%	6%	66	-1.1	226/288/335	109	310	9	6	28%	6%	77	-0.3	219/285/319	100	302	8	5	28%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Willy Diaz 2016 · A	22	39	38→40	43→40	46	187/275/268	81	281	6	3	33%	9%	58	-1.7	189/257/267	78	337	4	5	41%	7%	50	-2.3	169/224/243	75	318	2	4	44%	5%	29	-1.2
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	45	-2.7	208/274/288	80	306	4	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	208/281/288	80	312	4	8	32%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Wes Clarke 2023 · AA	23	36→38	48→50	41→40	50	188/288/330	142	266	16	3	34%	11%	78	-0.3	197/295/354	157	295	19	5	37%	11%	85	+0.2	188/293/345	157	273	20	4	36%	12%	81	-0.1
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	51	-2.3	209/267/290	81	272	5	4	24%	6%	59	-1.7	204/266/276	72	272	4	3	25%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Christopher Vinyard 2009 · A	23	41→42	46→45	36→30	42	212/267/336	124	277	15	2	29%	6%	70	-0.9	209/265/327	118	283	13	5	30%	7%	67	-1.1	163/219/268	105	210	14	0	30%	7%	34	-0.8
✕Cam Balego 2018 · A	23	45→40	39→45	41→30	45	215/281/311	97	293	5	6	27%	7%	69	-0.9	209/278/303	94	276	8	3	26%	6%	67	-1.1	201/277/296	95	259	11	1	26%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Jaime Trejo 2007 · AA	23	37→32	37→40	45→50	34	185/220/251	65	273	6	6	34%	4%	31	-3.7	223/273/318	95	279	8	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	258/318/352	94	301	9	13	17%	6%	90	+0.3
✕A.J. Kirby-Jones 2012 · A	23	41	43→50	44→30	42	198/272/306	108	308	11	4	37%	8%	65	-1.2	209/291/356	147	310	17	2	35%	10%	84	+0.1	206/293/361	155	299	19	1	35%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A	23	42→35	41→40	46→45	38	201/256/296	95	307	8	5	36%	6%	56	-1.9	206/256/310	104	365	13	5	44%	6%	59	-1.6	180/229/264	84	331	14	0	48%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Josh Petersen 2007 · A	24	42	40	45→40	36	207/244/298	91	283	8	5	30%	4%	51	-2.2	235/274/332	97	305	8	5	25%	4%	71	-0.8	252/293/347	94	319	7	4	22%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Skyler Ewing 2017 · A	24	40→39	42→45	45→30	42	198/262/305	107	265	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.5	198/272/342	144	272	16	4	32%	7%	74	-0.5	192/278/365	173	240	21	1	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Robert Pehl 2016 · A	23	44	39→40	43→40	42	215/273/297	82	283	7	5	26%	6%	63	-1.4	215/281/301	86	304	5	5	29%	7%	67	-1.1	213/284/298	85	308	2	3	29%	7%	65	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps