Andre Granillo — OGILVIE

Andre Granillo P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 250 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10193vR 85

ERA3.58

FIP3.57

K%25.2%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%16.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF7070

CTRL5555

CMD7070

K†6565

SI (13%)

CH (3%)

FB (38%)

SL-2.0 (60%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	14	0	18	77	23	9	1	0%	1.3	22.1%	13.8%	8.3%	1.8%	1.50	3.98	—
2021	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	14	0	18	77	23	9	1	0%	1.3	29.9%	11.7%	18.2%	1.3%	1.50	2.77	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	52	230	82	28	5	0%	1.3	27.2%	14.6%	12.6%	2.9%	4.13	4.26	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	52	230	82	28	5	0%	1.3	35.7%	12.2%	23.5%	2.2%	4.13	2.81	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	68	296	89	37	8	0%	1.3	24.5%	12.9%	11.6%	3.0%	4.74	4.33	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	68	296	89	37	8	0%	1.3	24.5%	12.9%	11.6%	3.0%	4.74	4.33	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	68	296	89	37	8	0%	1.3	30.1%	12.5%	17.6%	2.7%	4.74	3.64	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	65	276	80	40	7	0%	1.4	23.9%	13.7%	10.2%	2.7%	3.88	4.28	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	65	276	80	40	7	0%	1.4	23.9%	13.7%	10.2%	2.7%	3.88	4.28	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	65	276	80	40	7	0%	1.4	29.0%	14.5%	14.5%	2.5%	3.88	3.88	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	252	76	21	5	0%	1.5	26.2%	7.8%	18.5%	2.3%	2.43	3.12	+1.1
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	252	76	21	5	0%	1.5	26.2%	7.8%	18.5%	2.3%	2.43	3.12	+1.1
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	63	252	76	21	5	0%	1.5	30.2%	8.3%	21.8%	2.0%	2.43	2.72	+1.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			22	0	30	141	21	15	5	0%	1.4	14.9%	10.6%	4.3%	3.5%	6.23	5.34	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	44	1	55	259	50	29	11	2%	1.3	16.2%	10.4%	5.8%	4.6%	7.48	5.57	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	44	1	55	259	50	29	11	2%	1.3	16.2%	10.4%	5.8%	4.6%	7.48	5.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	WSH	36	1	46	209	47	21	9	3%	1.3	22.5%	10.0%	12.4%	4.3%	7.04	4.84	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	WSH	8	0	9	50	3	8	2	0%	1.2	6.0%	16.0%	-10.0%	4.0%	9.64	6.82	—
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	WSH	8	0	9	50	3	8	2	0%	1.2	6.0%	16.0%	-10.0%	4.0%	9.64	6.82	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	WSH	5	0	5	22	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.3%	16.9%	2.8%	3.58	3.57	+0.1
ROS	26	MLB CTX	WSH	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	25.2%	8.3%	16.9%	2.8%	3.58	3.57	+0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	WSH	—	—	60	281	55	31	12	—	—	19.8%	11.0%	8.8%	4.1%	7.15	5.40	-0.6
FULL	26	MLB A+C	WSH	—	—	14	61	55	31	12	—	—	90.7%	50.4%	40.3%	19.0%	29.84	12.24	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	62	0	65	276	66	25	8	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.2%	14.8%	2.9%	4.23	4.24	+0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	60	0	63	267	64	25	8	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.3%	14.4%	3.0%	4.29	4.33	+0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	59	0	62	262	63	24	8	0%	1.1	23.9%	9.2%	14.8%	2.9%	4.23	4.24	+0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	57	0	60	253	60	24	8	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.3%	14.4%	3.0%	4.29	4.33	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	0	158	679	150	65	21	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.15	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		182	0	200	861	190	82	27	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		241	1	322	1390	326	167	42	0%	1.3	23.5%	12.0%	11.5%	3.0%	4.30	4.30	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	1	200	863	203	103	26	0%	1.3	23.5%	12.0%	11.5%	3.0%	4.30	4.30	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andre Granillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.75	27.0%	8.1%	2.8%	—	4.28	23.9%	14.6%	129	+0.53	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	90
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	89
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	87
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	84
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	84
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	83
Scott Oberg R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	26	SU	3.19	22.9%	9.1%	1.6%	.260	2.92	23.8%	16.4%	188	-0.27	2.54	302	83
Jeff Johnson R 2016 · 3.18 FIP	26	SU	3.18	21.9%	9.6%	1.3%	.284	3.69	23.6%	8.0%	55	+0.51	2.49	160	83
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	21.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.243	3.44	24.8%	17.1%	57	-1.01	3.44	198	82
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	82
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	65	24.9%	8.9%	1.13	4.09
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Adbert Alzolay ('23)	1.1	70	26.1%	7.0%	1.32	3.84
Blake Parker ('21)	1.2	60	26.6%	7.3%	1.40	3.36
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33