Andre Granillo
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 250 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10394vR 85
ERA3.65
FIP3.65
K%25.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%16.6%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (13%)
CH (3%)
FB (38%)
SL-2.0 (60%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 14 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.1% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 1.50 | 4.07 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 14 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.9% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 1.50 | 2.77 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 230 | 82 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 230 | 82 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.7% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 2.2% | 4.13 | 2.81 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 68 | 296 | 89 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.74 | 4.32 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 68 | 296 | 89 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.1% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 3.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 80 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 3.88 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 80 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 3.88 | 3.88 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 63 | 252 | 76 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.4% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 2.4% | 2.43 | 3.18 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 63 | 252 | 76 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.2% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 2.0% | 2.43 | 2.72 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 33 | 0 | 41 | 193 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.46 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 39 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 3.65 | 3.65 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 38 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 3.65 | 3.65 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 76 | 342 | 72 | 36 | 11 | — | — | 20.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 5.70 | 4.61 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 45 | 188 | 72 | 36 | 11 | — | — | 38.0% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 9.75 | 5.57 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 62 | 0 | 65 | 276 | 68 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 65 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 62 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 172 | 0 | 188 | 806 | 186 | 80 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.08 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 0 | 200 | 858 | 198 | 85 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 230 | 0 | 308 | 1324 | 320 | 171 | 38 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.25 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 150 | 0 | 200 | 861 | 208 | 111 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andre Granillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.77 | 28.0% | 8.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.30 | 24.6% | 14.7% | 129 | +0.53 | — | — | — |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 89 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 88 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 86 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 86 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 85 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 84 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 84 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 84 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 84 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 83 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 83 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.08 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.66 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.58 | 3.08 | 124 | 82 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.12 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .284 | 3.59 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.49 | 160 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 25.4% | 9.6% | 1.14 | 4.14 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |