Canyon Brown

C Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+KC	259	.225/.315/.297	2	8	41	—	.193/.267/.254
2026	22	AANorthwest Ark…	317	.194/.259/.295	6	12	28	—	.173/.224/.259
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBKC	6	.194/.247/.276	0	0	49	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	24	MLBKC	120	.199/.253/.291	2	2	55	-0.2
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBKC	191	.202/.258/.300	3	4	59	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed64

K%34

Z-Con%33

Whiff%31

ISO22

BB%15

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsClaudio Finol (age 23) · Fabian Pertuz (age 23) · J.C. Millan (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .247 / .276

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP265

ISO84

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	222	50	10	0	2	23	60	6	8	3	225	315	297	612	72	291	23	9	277	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	288	56	9	1	6	21	87	4	12	3	194	259	295	554	101	253	27	7	251	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	228	44	8	0	2	17	76	6	8	3	193	267	254	521	61	255	29	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	294	51	8	1	5	15	106	4	12	3	173	224	259	482	85	238	33	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	228	44	8	0	2	17	76	6	8	3	193	267	254	521	61	271	29	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	222	50	10	0	2	23	60	6	8	3	225	315	297	612	72	291	23	9	277	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	294	51	8	1	5	15	106	4	12	3	173	224	259	482	85	247	33	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	288	56	9	1	6	21	87	4	12	3	194	259	295	554	101	253	27	7	251	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	234	44	8	0	2	17	76	6	8	3	188	267	248	515	60	255	29	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	295	51	8	1	5	15	106	4	12	3	173	224	258	481	85	238	33	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	259	234	44	8	0	2	17	76	6	8	3	188	267	248	515	60	255	29	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	317	295	51	8	1	5	15	106	4	12	3	173	224	258	481	85	238	33	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	2%	427	396	78	15	2	5	23	123	5	9	2	195	248	280	529	85	266	29	5	240	49	-26	+1	+0	+8	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	194	247	276	523	82	265	33	0	238	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	31%	387	358	73	14	2	6	21	109	5	8	2	201	255	296	551	95	269	28	5	249	55	-21	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	45%	429	396	81	15	2	7	25	120	5	8	2	204	260	306	566	102	270	28	6	256	59	-21	+1	+0	+8	+9	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	51%	454	419	86	16	2	8	27	125	5	9	2	206	263	313	576	106	271	28	6	260	62	-21	+1	+0	+8	+10	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	KC	53%	462	426	88	17	2	8	28	127	5	9	2	207	265	315	580	108	271	27	6	262	63	-20	+1	+0	+8	+10	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	KC	53%	464	427	89	17	2	9	29	127	5	8	2	207	266	315	581	107	271	27	6	262	63	-20	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	457	421	86	16	2	8	28	127	5	7	2	205	263	309	572	104	270	28	6	258	61	-21	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	31%	120	111	23	4	1	2	7	34	1	2	1	199	253	291	544	92	267	28	6	246	55	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	45%	191	176	36	7	1	3	11	53	2	4	1	202	258	300	558	99	268	28	6	252	59	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	51%	231	212	43	8	1	4	14	64	3	4	1	204	261	306	568	102	269	28	6	256	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	KC	53%	243	223	46	9	1	4	15	67	3	4	1	205	263	308	571	103	269	28	6	258	63	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	KC	53%	248	228	47	9	1	4	15	68	3	4	1	205	264	308	572	103	270	27	6	258	63	-11	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	240	220	44	8	1	4	15	66	3	4	1	203	261	302	563	100	268	28	6	255	61	-11	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1273	1170	239	45	6	21	77	352	15	22	6	204	262	307	569	103	271	28	6	255	55	-59	+2	-1	+23	+28	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	122	23	3	11	39	180	8	11	3	204	262	308	571	104	271	28	6	255	55	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3549	3265	656	122	14	57	207	1009	44	76	20	201	258	299	557	98	270	28	6	250	55	-143	+6	-2	+53	+64	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	120	22	3	10	38	185	8	14	4	201	258	298	555	97	270	28	6	250	55	-31	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,279	22	23	206	261	311	+23	+12	0.1	0.1
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+6.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Canyon Brown (OGILVIE)	23	35	25	50	35	194/246/278	84	266	4	7	29%	5%	49	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕J.C. Millan 2019 · AA	23	43	40	48→30	43	210/260/303	93	264	8	8	23%	6%	59	-1.7	226/272/327	101	277	9	6	21%	6%	69	-0.9	231/271/321	91	275	9	2	19%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Gionti Turner 2024 · AA	23	40	36→30	49→55	38	190/253/253	62	277	5	15	32%	6%	45	-2.7	193/252/276	83	308	7	15	37%	6%	50	-2.3	127/187/191	64	225	6	21	44%	5%	4	-1.3
✕Nic Kent 2023 · A	23	38→45	36→40	48→50	36	182/231/242	60	272	3	14	33%	5%	34	-3.5	212/266/295	83	278	7	10	25%	6%	59	-1.6	212/272/301	89	289	8	9	28%	6%	60	-1.0
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	190/242/269	79	270	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	38→48	41→40	51→50	43	187/258/284	97	272	8	13	32%	8%	55	-2.0	202/275/294	92	293	7	12	31%	8%	63	-1.4	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	40→44	39→40	45→50	39	194/248/283	89	280	7	12	32%	6%	50	-2.3	210/263/283	73	289	6	12	27%	6%	55	-1.9	208/259/293	85	288	6	12	28%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Justin Twine 2019 · AA	23	44→33	40	49→50	33	211/249/302	92	307	7	10	33%	3%	54	-2.0	211/250/296	85	313	6	12	33%	4%	53	-2.1	196/234/271	75	308	4	14	36%	3%	39	-1.7
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A	23	40	36→30	47→45	36	190/237/256	66	288	4	7	34%	5%	39	-3.1	195/269/258	63	278	3	6	28%	8%	53	-2.1	180/263/233	53	255	2	5	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Omar Hernandez 2024 · AA	22	38	37→30	50→55	42	186/243/252	66	254	5	17	28%	6%	40	-3.0	203/247/266	63	270	5	18	25%	5%	45	-2.7	208/245/263	55	275	4	21	25%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	42	35→40	51→55	43	197/259/263	67	264	2	11	25%	6%	50	-2.3	194/237/265	71	300	3	8	34%	4%	41	-3.0	162/195/205	44	254	0	8	35%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	219/269/312	93	327	7	4	33%	6%	64	-1.3	218/265/307	89	325	7	0	34%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	281	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	212/258/285	73	281	5	5	25%	4%	53	-2.1	222/266/253	31	284	2	0	21%	3%	46	-1.0

Canyon Brown

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps