Player 700668 — OGILVIE

Player 7006681B Fresno Grizzlies

Age — —/— A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .291 / .311

PA92

HR1

K%34

BB%10

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	48	11	5	1	1	15	21	6	1	1	229	464	438	901	208	385	30	21	409	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	53	10	4	1	1	10	29	6	1	1	189	377	358	735	170	334	41	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	53	10	4	1	1	10	29	6	1	1	189	377	358	735	170	391	41	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	48	11	5	1	1	15	21	6	1	1	229	464	438	901	208	385	30	21	409	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	54	10	4	1	1	10	29	6	1	1	185	377	352	729	167	334	41	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	70	54	10	4	1	1	10	29	6	1	1	185	377	352	729	167	334	41	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	173	33	8	2	3	19	68	6	3	1	192	293	314	607	122	291	34	10	279	75	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	157	137	26	6	1	3	15	53	4	2	1	195	294	320	614	125	291	34	10	281	76	-4	+0	+0	-3	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	207	305	350	655	143	308	—	—	297	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	319	270	51	14	3	5	34	113	13	4	2	189	309	319	628	130	301	35	11	287	80	-7	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	550	104	29	6	10	69	230	26	8	4	189	308	318	626	129	301	35	11	287	80	-19	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	249	4	3	194	292	319	-3	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	11	9	-8.9	+0.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 700668 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	190/291/311	121	291	1	1	34%	10%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	43	41→45	50	46	197/314/296	98	306	9	10	34%	10%	80	-0.1	209/311/330	121	327	12	13	36%	10%	86	+0.3	168/302/289	121	270	14	18	38%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Chris Rotondo 2024 · A	25	44→40	41→45	57→50	45	204/294/311	108	309	7	12	33%	9%	75	-0.5	207/276/301	94	329	8	13	37%	7%	65	-1.2	194/256/265	71	324	7	16	40%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→39	43→45	49→45	43	205/275/315	110	292	11	10	32%	8%	68	-1.0	216/270/360	144	301	17	7	33%	6%	76	-0.4	210/258/376	166	280	22	3	33%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Riley Tirotta 2024 · AA	25	41→46	44→45	50	42	198/273/317	118	311	11	14	37%	9%	68	-1.0	209/290/331	122	316	13	13	35%	9%	78	-0.3	199/285/314	115	298	13	12	34%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Mike Ahmed 2017 · A	25	43→44	45→50	47→50	44	213/281/336	123	294	13	11	31%	8%	75	-0.5	208/270/323	115	312	12	9	35%	7%	68	-1.0	194/252/293	99	303	10	7	37%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Armani Smith 2023 · AA	25	46	42→50	45	42	216/282/319	103	328	10	6	35%	8%	72	-0.7	213/279/310	97	326	9	9	35%	8%	68	-1.0	171/238/231	60	269	7	9	37%	7%	33	-0.6
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	43	48→50	45	45	214/290/352	138	304	16	8	33%	9%	82	+0.0	200/267/341	141	297	17	7	36%	7%	72	-0.7	161/228/311	150	227	20	3	38%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Joe Bennie 2016 · A	25	44→51	42→45	48→45	44	208/278/315	107	318	8	9	35%	9%	69	-0.9	227/286/336	109	331	10	6	32%	7%	76	-0.4	241/296/349	109	338	11	4	30%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Zander Wiel 2018 · A	25	39→49	45→50	51→45	42	199/258/328	129	268	12	6	30%	7%	64	-1.3	218/269/369	151	294	16	6	30%	5%	78	-0.3	219/268/381	163	292	17	5	31%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→44	43→45	50	44	210/276/328	118	277	10	12	27%	7%	71	-0.8	229/287/331	102	310	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	232/290/322	90	317	6	7	27%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Andy Hargrove 2007 · A	25	43	44→45	49→40	42	202/284/319	117	320	12	5	38%	9%	73	-0.6	188/251/308	120	304	14	5	40%	7%	57	-1.8	134/195/250	117	201	18	0	43%	6%	22	-1.7
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	43→41	42→40	47→50	47	208/298/311	103	280	9	10	27%	8%	77	-0.3	209/295/297	88	297	7	10	29%	9%	72	-0.7	165/280/182	17	263	0	6	32%	12%	40	-0.6
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA	25	41→40	44→45	44→50	47	199/291/316	117	303	12	11	35%	10%	75	-0.5	189/269/323	134	288	17	6	38%	8%	69	-0.9	161/244/293	131	239	18	2	39%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42→43	47→50	52→55	42	210/279/353	142	282	14	15	30%	7%	78	-0.3	210/288/346	136	286	16	22	31%	8%	81	-0.1	204/288/337	133	275	16	27	30%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Matt Higgins 2024 · A	25	44→42	45	48→50	41	217/284/339	122	305	12	8	32%	7%	77	-0.3	214/282/308	94	303	9	8	30%	8%	69	-0.9	207/280/278	72	292	7	8	29%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Tristin English 2022 · A	25	37→47	44→50	45→40	38	189/254/296	107	273	12	9	34%	6%	56	-1.9	219/281/341	122	286	14	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	237/289/370	134	292	15	2	24%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps