Jose Pena Jr.

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #784

ETA2028FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	APHI	32	51	5.47	3.10	30.2%	12.8%	—	K 22.4% · BB 15.1% · FIP 4.21
2025	22	MIX2 levels	34	41	1.54	2.69	25.9%	8.2%	—	K 19.5% · BB 9.6% · FIP 3.50
2026	23	A+PHI	19	24	2.59	2.44	35.1%	13.4%	—	K 27.0% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.48
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	18	19	4.59	4.59	23.7%	12.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	15	16	4.48	4.42	24.1%	11.4%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRicardo Velez (age 24) · Harrison Cohen (age 24) · Cole Gordon (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%23.7%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%11.2%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	4	0	3	14	5	3	0	0%	0.7	35.7%	21.4%	14.3%	0.0%	13.50	2.80	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	4	0	3	14	5	3	0	0%	0.7	35.7%	21.4%	14.3%	0.0%	13.50	2.73	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	9	7	27	127	28	19	2	78%	3.0	15.0%	18.7%	-3.7%	2.3%	6.59	5.48	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	9	7	27	127	28	19	2	78%	3.0	22.0%	15.0%	7.1%	1.6%	6.59	4.09	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	14	2	32	155	31	32	3	14%	2.3	13.6%	25.8%	-12.2%	2.6%	6.68	6.67	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	14	2	32	155	31	32	3	14%	2.3	20.0%	20.6%	-0.6%	1.9%	6.68	5.36	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	32	0	51	235	71	30	4	0%	1.6	22.4%	15.1%	7.3%	2.0%	5.47	4.21	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	32	0	51	235	71	30	4	0%	1.6	22.4%	15.1%	7.3%	2.0%	5.47	4.21	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	32	0	51	235	71	30	4	0%	1.6	30.2%	12.8%	17.4%	1.7%	5.47	3.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	158	41	13	2	0%	1.2	19.5%	9.6%	9.9%	1.5%	1.54	3.50	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	158	41	13	2	0%	1.2	19.5%	9.6%	9.9%	1.5%	1.54	3.50	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	158	41	13	2	0%	1.2	25.9%	8.2%	17.7%	1.3%	1.54	2.69	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	19	0	24	97	34	13	1	0%	1.3	27.0%	15.4%	11.6%	1.3%	2.59	3.48	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	19	0	24	97	34	13	1	0%	1.3	27.0%	15.4%	11.6%	1.3%	2.59	3.48	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	19	0	24	97	34	13	1	0%	1.3	35.1%	13.4%	21.6%	1.0%	2.59	2.44	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	18	0	19	80	19	10	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.5%	11.2%	2.8%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	36	0	37	158	38	18	4	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.48	4.42	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	15	0	16	68	16	8	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.48	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	16	8	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.48	4.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	99	25	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.4%	12.7%	2.8%	4.48	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		112	9	179	786	155	132	15	8%	1.6	19.7%	16.8%	2.9%	2.0%	4.68	4.64	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	10	200	880	173	148	17	8%	1.6	19.7%	16.8%	2.9%	2.0%	4.68	4.64	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Pena Jr. (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	23.7%	12.5%	2.8%	—	4.42	24.1%	12.7%	37	-0.17	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	90
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	87
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	87
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	87
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	86
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	86
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	86
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	86
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	86
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	85
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.50	21.7%	10.0%	142	+0.88	3.62	311	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Brad Boxberger R 2012 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	27.5%	14.2%	2.4%	.284	3.44	33.4%	23.7%	150	-0.47	2.63	478	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	85
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	24.0%	11.7%	1.08	4.52
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*