Blake Holub

P Nashville Sounds

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 237 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	45	50	4.17	2.88	26.9%	12.3%	—	K 22.5% · BB 11.6% · FIP 3.27
2025	26	AAAMIL	39	41	3.70	3.10	28.6%	16.8%	—	K 24.6% · BB 15.1% · FIP 3.22
2026	27	AAAMIL	50	56	2.10	2.97	28.1%	8.5%	—	K 24.2% · BB 7.7% · FIP 3.32
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIL	66	69	4.22	4.22	24.7%	11.6%	0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBMIL	23	24	4.31	4.36	24.4%	11.5%	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBMIL	32	34	4.45	4.54	23.9%	11.7%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control25Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsMatt Ramsey (age 28) · Cody Satterwhite (age 28) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%24.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%13.2%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2525

CMD4545

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	4	52	235	68	31	5	12%	1.6	21.7%	15.3%	6.4%	2.4%	6.23	4.55	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	4	52	235	68	31	5	12%	1.6	28.9%	13.2%	15.7%	2.1%	6.23	3.52	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	65	259	76	17	9	0%	1.4	23.3%	7.3%	16.0%	4.3%	3.03	4.41	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	65	259	76	17	9	0%	1.4	29.3%	6.6%	22.8%	3.5%	3.03	3.34	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	50	219	59	27	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.6%	11.0%	1.1%	4.17	3.27	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	50	219	59	27	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	11.6%	11.0%	1.1%	4.17	3.27	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	50	219	59	27	2	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.3%	14.6%	0.9%	4.17	2.88	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	39	0	41	185	53	31	1	0%	1.1	24.6%	15.1%	9.6%	0.5%	3.70	3.22	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	39	0	41	185	53	31	1	0%	1.1	24.6%	15.1%	9.6%	0.5%	3.70	3.22	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	39	0	41	185	53	31	1	0%	1.1	28.6%	16.8%	11.9%	0.5%	3.70	3.10	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	50	0	56	235	66	20	5	0%	1.1	24.2%	7.7%	16.5%	2.3%	2.10	3.32	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	50	0	56	235	66	20	5	0%	1.1	24.2%	7.7%	16.5%	2.3%	2.10	3.32	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	50	0	56	235	66	20	5	0%	1.1	28.1%	8.5%	19.6%	2.1%	2.10	2.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIL	66	0	69	291	72	34	7	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.6%	13.2%	2.5%	4.22	4.22	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIL	63	0	66	280	68	32	8	0%	1.1	24.4%	11.5%	12.8%	2.7%	4.31	4.36	+0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	MIL	59	0	62	263	63	31	8	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.7%	12.3%	2.9%	4.45	4.54	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIL	23	0	24	101	25	12	3	0%	1.0	24.4%	11.5%	12.8%	2.7%	4.31	4.36	+0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	MIL	32	0	34	144	34	17	4	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.7%	12.3%	2.9%	4.45	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	248	60	29	7	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.6%	12.5%	2.8%	4.39	4.08	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	205	99	24	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.6%	12.5%	2.8%	4.39	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		214	4	264	1133	263	126	26	2%	1.2	23.2%	11.1%	12.1%	2.3%	3.78	3.80	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	3	200	858	199	96	19	2%	1.2	23.2%	11.1%	12.1%	2.3%	3.78	3.80	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Holub (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	24.7%	11.6%	2.5%	—	4.45	24.2%	12.6%	128	+0.23	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	85
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	85
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Ryan Tepera R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.81	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.70	2.35	445	84
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	84
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	83
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	83
Aquilino López R 2003 · 3.42 FIP	28	SU	3.42	20.3%	9.2%	1.6%	.243	4.81	21.2%	11.7%	38	+1.39	3.10	207	83
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	82
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	82
Zach Franklin R 2024 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	26.4%	10.9%	1.8%	.301	4.15	27.5%	18.3%	117	+0.91	3.24	158	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	81
Blake Treinen R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	24.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.271	3.04	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.28	1.53	601	81
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	701	80
Taylor Cole R 2018 · 3.70 FIP	28	SU	3.70	25.4%	10.4%	2.6%	.291	3.49	22.0%	13.9%	72	-0.21	3.49	433	80
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	24.4%	11.6%	1.04	4.32
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Kelso ('64-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.09*	4.19*
Jim Hughes ('52-'57, 2 WAR*)	1.5	74	22.2%*	11.1%*	1.05*	3.99*