Carlos Hinestroza

Carlos Hinestroza P ACL White Sox

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%22.2%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	22	0	37	150	27	12	0	0%	1.7	12.2%	10.0%	2.2%	0.0%	2.45	3.33	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	22	0	37	150	27	12	0	0%	1.7	18.0%	8.0%	10.0%	0.0%	2.45	2.61	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	16	0	16	70	14	8	5	0%	1.0	13.6%	14.3%	-0.7%	8.5%	6.32	8.44	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	16	0	16	70	14	8	5	0%	1.0	20.0%	11.4%	8.6%	7.1%	6.32	6.99	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	0	22	94	29	6	1	0%	1.5	21.0%	8.0%	13.0%	0.7%	5.82	2.71	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	14	0	22	94	29	6	1	0%	1.5	30.9%	6.4%	24.5%	1.1%	5.82	1.85	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	18	1	28	155	24	23	3	6%	1.6	10.5%	18.5%	-8.0%	2.5%	12.54	5.94	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	18	1	28	155	24	23	3	6%	1.6	10.5%	18.5%	-8.0%	2.5%	12.54	5.94	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	18	1	28	155	24	23	3	6%	1.6	15.5%	14.8%	0.6%	1.9%	12.54	5.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	16	0	17	72	16	9	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	12.5%	9.7%	3.0%	4.83	4.83	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.64	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		70	1	102	469	64	61	11	1%	1.5	13.6%	13.1%	0.6%	2.2%	6.53	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	2	200	920	125	120	21	1%	1.5	13.6%	13.1%	0.6%	2.2%	6.53	4.83	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Hinestroza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	22.2%	12.5%	3.0%	—	4.64	22.7%	11.3%	20	-0.19	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	91
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	90
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	89
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	88
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	87
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	86
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	86
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	86
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	86
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	85
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	85
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	85