Aneury Lora

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 155 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	14	7	42	4.97	2.88	18.6%	8.5%	—	K 13.5% · BB 9.9% · FIP 3.81
2025	21	AModesto Nuts	36	1	81	5.20	2.71	21.2%	7.5%	—	K 15.7% · BB 8.9% · FIP 3.69
2026	22	ASEA	35	0	58	4.63	3.27	23.3%	8.3%	—	K 17.3% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.29
2027PROJ	23	MLBSEA	59	0	62	5.03	5.03	15.3%	10.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBSEA	30	0	32	4.89	4.84	17.0%	9.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBSEA	48	0	50	4.78	4.74	17.9%	9.8%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control50Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMatt Eckelman (age 23) · Jack Jasiak (age 23) · Kelvis Valerio (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 112

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%15.3%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	8	7	20	90	22	8	1	88%	2.5	16.6%	11.1%	5.5%	1.5%	4.05	3.95	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	8	7	20	90	22	8	1	88%	2.5	24.4%	8.9%	15.6%	1.1%	4.05	2.75	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	7	1	7	27	5	1	1	14%	1.0	18.5%	3.7%	14.8%	3.7%	2.70	4.04	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	7	1	7	27	5	1	1	14%	1.0	18.5%	3.7%	14.8%	3.7%	2.70	4.00	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	7	42	188	35	16	1	50%	3.0	13.5%	9.9%	3.6%	1.1%	4.97	3.81	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	7	42	188	35	16	1	50%	3.0	13.5%	9.9%	3.6%	1.1%	4.97	3.81	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	7	42	188	35	16	1	50%	3.0	18.6%	8.5%	10.1%	0.5%	4.97	2.88	—
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	1	81	359	76	27	3	3%	2.3	15.7%	8.9%	6.8%	1.4%	5.20	3.69	—
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	1	81	359	76	27	3	3%	2.3	15.7%	8.9%	6.8%	1.4%	5.20	3.69	—
2025	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	36	1	81	359	76	27	3	3%	2.3	21.2%	7.5%	13.6%	0.8%	5.20	2.71	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	35	0	58	253	59	21	5	0%	1.7	17.3%	9.8%	7.5%	2.6%	4.63	4.29	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	35	0	58	253	59	21	5	0%	1.7	17.3%	9.8%	7.5%	2.6%	4.63	4.29	—
2026	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	35	0	58	253	59	21	5	0%	1.7	23.3%	8.3%	15.0%	2.0%	4.63	3.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	SEA	59	0	62	262	40	27	7	0%	1.1	15.3%	10.3%	5.0%	2.8%	5.03	5.03	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	71	0	75	317	54	31	9	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	2.8%	4.89	4.84	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	72	0	76	320	58	31	9	0%	1.1	17.9%	9.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.78	4.74	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	72	0	76	320	59	31	9	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.7%	8.7%	2.8%	4.72	4.69	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	71	0	75	316	59	31	9	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	69	0	73	307	56	30	9	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.77	4.81	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	66	0	69	293	53	30	9	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.1%	8.0%	3.1%	4.87	4.94	-0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	275	49	29	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	10.4%	7.4%	3.3%	5.02	5.12	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	30	0	32	135	23	13	4	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	2.8%	4.89	4.84	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	48	0	50	211	38	21	6	0%	1.0	17.9%	9.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.78	4.74	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	57	0	60	253	47	25	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.7%	8.7%	2.8%	4.72	4.69	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	61	0	64	270	50	26	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.7%	8.8%	2.9%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	62	0	65	274	50	27	8	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.77	4.81	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	60	0	63	266	48	27	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.1%	8.0%	3.1%	4.87	4.94	-0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57	0	60	253	45	26	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.4%	7.4%	3.3%	5.02	5.12	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		375	0	394	1663	301	165	49	0%	1.1	18.1%	9.9%	8.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.46	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	84	25	0%	1.0	18.1%	9.9%	8.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		100	16	208	917	145	86	16	16%	2.1	15.8%	9.4%	6.4%	1.7%	4.80	3.91	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	15	200	882	140	83	15	16%	2.1	15.8%	9.4%	6.4%	1.7%	4.80	3.91	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneury Lora (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	15.3%	10.3%	2.8%	—	4.76	17.8%	8.0%	227	-0.27	—	—	—
Matt Eckelman R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	23	SU	4.73	15.0%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	4.23	17.4%	5.7%	97	-0.50	4.07	386	90
Jack Jasiak R 2024 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	15.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.332	3.39	22.3%	15.0%	126	-1.20	3.24	262	89
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	89
Jake McCasland R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	23	SU	4.78	14.2%	9.8%	3.0%	.348	3.80	15.8%	8.2%	317	-0.98	3.07	367	89
Nate Adcock R 2011 · 4.17 FIP	23	SU	4.17	13.6%	8.7%	2.0%	.289	4.39	14.9%	7.5%	35	+0.22	3.84	137	88
Reece Karalus R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	14.0%	9.1%	3.4%	.303	4.73	15.4%	3.5%	55	-0.18	4.73	149	88
Simon Mercedes R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	23	SU	4.86	14.3%	11.7%	2.7%	.309	4.94	16.4%	3.9%	60	+0.08	4.86	139	88
David Reid-Foley R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	24	SU	4.68	13.8%	8.8%	3.0%	.308	6.54	16.2%	7.6%	33	+1.86	4.68	110	88
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	87
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	87
Tayler Scott R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SU	4.48	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.39	3.17	528	87
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	87
Jaime Lugo R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	23	SU	4.24	13.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.305	3.89	12.4%	3.6%	162	-0.35	3.69	287	87
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	87
Troy Neiman R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	13.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.287	4.47	19.7%	11.7%	135	-0.07	4.03	199	86
Dylan Simmons R 2024 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.4%	1.9%	.295	5.10	12.7%	0.6%	74	+1.25	3.85	125	86
Ian Villers R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.311	4.23	15.6%	5.2%	59	-0.32	4.23	107	86
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	86
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	86
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	71	17.7%	10.0%	1.13	4.84
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
John Grabow ('11)	2.4	60	19.0%	10.5%	1.04	4.31
Aaron Heilman ('11)	3.1	70	20.1%	9.4%	1.03	4.40
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*
Fred Scherman ('69-'76, 1 WAR*)	2.7	77	18.0%*	10.0%*	1.17*	4.29*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*