Jamie Hitt

P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 192 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.5 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	24	MIX3 levels	25	22	107	5.72	4.10	19.9%	9.0%	—	K 15.2% · BB 10.3% · FIP 4.94
2027PROJ	25	MLBSD	13	13	74	5.09	5.09	16.4%	10.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBSD	7	7	41	5.00	4.97	17.9%	9.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBSD	10	10	60	4.95	4.95	18.2%	9.8%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsMiguel Cienfuegos (age 26) · Brandon Claussen (age 25) · J.C. Romero (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%16.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	22	107	488	97	44	13	88%	4.3	15.2%	10.3%	4.9%	3.3%	5.72	4.94	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	22	107	488	97	44	13	88%	4.3	15.2%	10.3%	4.9%	3.3%	5.72	4.94	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	22	107	488	97	44	13	88%	4.3	19.9%	9.0%	10.9%	2.7%	5.72	4.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	SD	13	13	74	312	51	32	10	100%	5.7	16.4%	10.2%	6.2%	3.1%	5.09	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	16	16	96	407	73	40	13	100%	6.0	17.9%	9.9%	8.0%	3.1%	4.96	4.93	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	16	16	95	401	73	39	13	100%	5.9	18.2%	9.8%	8.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	15	15	92	389	71	38	13	100%	6.1	18.3%	9.9%	8.4%	3.2%	4.93	4.96	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	15	15	88	372	67	37	13	100%	5.9	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.4%	5.01	5.08	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	14	14	83	349	62	36	12	100%	5.9	17.8%	10.3%	7.4%	3.6%	5.16	5.25	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	7	7	41	173	31	17	5	100%	5.9	17.9%	9.9%	8.0%	3.2%	5.00	4.97	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	60	253	46	25	8	100%	6.0	18.2%	9.8%	8.4%	3.2%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	12	12	69	291	53	29	10	100%	5.8	18.3%	9.9%	8.4%	3.3%	4.97	5.00	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	12	12	72	304	55	31	11	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.5%	5.06	5.13	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	12	12	71	300	53	31	11	100%	5.9	17.8%	10.3%	7.4%	3.7%	5.21	5.30	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	52	313	1321	239	132	45	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.0%	3.4%	5.05	4.71	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	153	84	29	100%	6.0	18.1%	10.0%	8.0%	3.4%	5.05	4.71	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		25	22	107	488	74	50	16	88%	4.3	15.2%	10.3%	4.9%	3.3%	5.72	4.94	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	41	200	912	139	94	30	88%	4.3	15.2%	10.3%	4.9%	3.3%	5.72	4.94	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jamie Hitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	16.4%	10.2%	3.1%	—	4.93	18.1%	8.2%	283	-0.16	—	—	—
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	89
Brandon Claussen L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP	4.80	14.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.314	4.56	16.5%	9.2%	244	-0.24	4.41	310	87
J.C. Romero L 2001 · 4.89 FIP	25	SP-	4.89	13.6%	8.0%	3.5%	.285	3.46	20.7%	10.3%	218	-1.43	2.88	652	84
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	83
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	81
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	81
Michael O'Connor L 2006 · 4.93 FIP	25	SP	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.93	105	81
Scott Downs L 2000 · 4.63 FIP	24	SP	4.63	14.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.68	748	81
Hunter Owen L 2024 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	14.5%	8.7%	2.5%	.270	4.72	20.7%	10.2%	189	+0.40	4.16	291	81
Joe Saunders L 2006 · 3.94 FIP	25	SP	3.94	16.9%	9.3%	2.0%	.300	4.48	13.1%	6.1%	491	+0.54	3.86	1,378	81
Pedro Hernandez L 2013 · 5.31 FIP	24	SP	5.31	11.0%	8.4%	3.8%	.347	4.09	13.1%	4.2%	68	-1.22	4.09	124	80
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	16.5%	8.6%	2.2%	.313	3.87	17.4%	6.8%	186	-0.12	3.46	440	80
Kyle Twomey L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	23	SP	3.96	14.8%	7.9%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	141	80
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	80
Joe Whitman L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP	3.89	18.6%	9.9%	2.0%	.303	3.65	19.8%	11.7%	252	-0.24	3.51	355	79
Sean West L 2009 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP	4.32	15.0%	9.4%	2.4%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	103	79
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	79
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	78
Daniel Camarena L 2018 · 4.32 FIP	25	SP	4.32	15.9%	9.7%	2.4%	.338	4.71	16.9%	10.5%	187	+0.39	3.76	674	78
Jordan Fowler L 2023 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP	4.08	13.2%	7.9%	2.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	124	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	88	17.8%	10.0%	1.26	5.00
Micah Owings ('12)	2.4	97	16.4%	9.8%	1.19	4.86
Jim Mooney ('31-'34, 1 WAR*)	1.8	89	17.5%*	10.4%*	1.30*	4.76*
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81
Bob McGraw ('17-'29, -2 WAR*)	3.0	99	16.8%*	11.0%*	1.21*	5.01*
Les Webber ('42-'48, -1 WAR*)	2.2	86	17.0%*	10.4%*	1.30*	5.13*
Victor Santos ('07)	3.0	86	15.6%	10.2%	1.29	5.21