Samir Chires

P ACL Giants

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 193 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKSF	3	2	12	3.65	5.78	8.8%	17.5%	—	K 6.0% · BB 21.9% · FIP 6.52
2025	21	ROKSF	16	0	17	6.23	3.91	31.4%	16.3%	—	K 21.3% · BB 20.3% · FIP 5.46
2026	22	MIX3 levels	31	1	53	2.05	2.47	31.5%	7.9%	—	K 23.1% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.39
2027PROJ	23	MLBSF	25	0	26	4.57	4.57	22.6%	11.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBSF	20	0	21	4.46	4.40	23.2%	10.2%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBSF	31	0	33	4.36	4.30	23.6%	9.7%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJonathan Papelbon (age 24) · Zac Ryan (age 23) · Tyler Mitzel (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%22.6%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	13	3	27	117	12	6	1	23%	2.1	7.0%	6.4%	0.6%	1.1%	3.33	3.95	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	13	3	27	117	12	6	1	23%	2.1	10.3%	5.1%	5.1%	0.9%	3.33	3.36	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	15	7	44	183	38	17	1	47%	2.9	14.1%	11.6%	2.5%	0.8%	2.45	3.81	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	15	7	44	183	38	17	1	47%	2.9	20.8%	9.3%	11.5%	0.5%	2.45	2.83	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	13	5	50	212	47	27	0	38%	3.8	15.1%	15.9%	-0.8%	0.0%	4.68	3.84	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	13	5	50	212	47	27	0	38%	3.8	22.2%	12.7%	9.4%	0.0%	4.68	2.84	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	6.0%	21.9%	-16.0%	2.1%	3.65	6.52	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	6.0%	21.9%	-16.0%	2.1%	3.65	6.52	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	3	2	12	57	5	10	1	67%	4.1	8.8%	17.5%	-8.8%	1.8%	3.65	5.78	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	20.3%	1.0%	2.9%	6.23	5.46	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	20.3%	1.0%	2.9%	6.23	5.46	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	16	0	17	86	27	14	2	0%	1.1	31.4%	16.3%	15.1%	2.3%	6.23	3.91	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	53	216	68	17	4	3%	1.7	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.0%	2.05	3.39	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	53	216	68	17	4	3%	1.7	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.0%	2.05	3.39	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	1	53	216	68	17	4	3%	1.7	31.5%	7.9%	23.6%	1.9%	2.05	2.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	SF	25	0	26	110	25	12	3	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.1%	11.5%	2.9%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SF	46	0	49	205	48	21	6	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.2%	13.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.40	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	SF	47	0	49	208	49	20	6	0%	1.0	23.6%	9.7%	13.9%	2.9%	4.36	4.30	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	SF	47	0	49	208	49	20	6	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	2.9%	4.31	4.28	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	SF	46	0	48	205	49	20	6	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.7%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	4.32	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SF	20	0	21	89	21	9	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.2%	13.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.40	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	SF	31	0	33	139	33	14	4	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.7%	13.9%	2.9%	4.36	4.30	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SF	37	0	39	165	39	16	5	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.7%	14.1%	2.9%	4.31	4.28	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	SF	39	0	41	173	41	17	5	0%	1.1	23.8%	9.7%	14.0%	2.9%	4.31	4.32	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		127	0	134	564	133	55	16	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.8%	13.9%	2.9%	4.35	3.93	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	82	24	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.8%	13.9%	2.9%	4.35	3.93	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		91	18	203	871	138	112	11	20%	2.2	15.8%	12.9%	2.9%	1.2%	3.41	4.07	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	18	200	857	135	110	11	20%	2.2	15.8%	12.9%	2.9%	1.2%	3.41	4.07	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Samir Chires (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	22.6%	11.1%	2.9%	—	4.33	23.5%	13.7%	147	-0.24	—	—	—
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	88
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	86
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	86
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	86
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	85
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	85
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	84
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	84
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	84
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	83
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	83
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	83
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	83
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	44	23.5%	10.0%	1.12	4.38
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*