Alec Baker
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 202 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.45
FIP5.45
K%11.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%1.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 114 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 20 | 83 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 8% | 1.6 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 4.43 | 5.76 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 20 | 83 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 8% | 1.6 | 33.7% | 6.0% | 27.7% | 3.6% | 4.43 | 3.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 3 | 69 | 295 | 70 | 21 | 5 | 10% | 2.2 | 17.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 3.00 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 3 | 69 | 295 | 70 | 21 | 5 | 10% | 2.2 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 16.6% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.93 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 15 | 86 | 396 | 64 | 34 | 17 | 54% | 3.1 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.73 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 15 | 86 | 396 | 64 | 34 | 17 | 54% | 3.1 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.73 | 5.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 21 | 0 | 44 | 201 | 35 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 | 14.1% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.42 | 6.18 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ARI | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.9% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.9% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 114 | 497 | 70 | 50 | 18 | — | — | 14.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.21 | 5.73 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 11.9% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 39 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.35 | 5.00 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 113 | 86 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.35 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 19 | 219 | 975 | 151 | 84 | 36 | 20% | 2.4 | 15.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 4.93 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 17 | 200 | 889 | 138 | 76 | 33 | 20% | 2.4 | 15.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.09 | 4.93 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alec Baker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 11.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 5.37 | 13.4% | 3.1% | 136 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 83 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 81 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 80 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 80 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 79 |
| Starling Peralta R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 9.9% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 117 | 79 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 78 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Alex Caldera R 2029 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 78 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.84 | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 185 | 78 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.42 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.3% | .270 | 5.61 | 20.4% | 6.2% | 38 | +1.19 | 3.95 | 165 | 77 |
| Matthew Grimes R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.58 | 14.7% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 451 | 77 |
| James Pugliese R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 77 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .248 | 4.51 | 14.4% | 5.2% | 85 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 291 | 77 |
| Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 77 |
| Scott Burke R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 76 |
| Endrys Briceno R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 2.2% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 303 | 76 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 11.8% | 11.3% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 160 | 76 |
| Julio Felix R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.79 | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 159 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 1.20 | 5.38 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |