Ethan Murray

SS Nashville Sounds

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAAMIL	114	.198/.277/.248	1	4	30	—	.192/.250/.240
2025	25	AAMIL	258	.257/.388/.438	8	12	80	—	.211/.310/.332
2026	26	AAAMIL	405	.233/.318/.324	6	9	53	—	.212/.275/.280
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBMIL	25	.204/.275/.288	0	1	62	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	28	MLBMIL	103	.204/.275/.289	1	2	62	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV80

Speed56

Chase%51

K%49

Z-Con%48

BB%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAdam Engel (age 27) · Mason McCoy (age 27) · Pete Kozma (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .275 / .288

PA25

HR0

K%28

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	132	112	26	3	2	3	17	29	2	3	1	232	344	375	719	143	284	22	13	325	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	25	22	5	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	227	320	273	593	45	250	8	12	280	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	42	35	9	3	0	1	7	9	0	2	0	257	381	429	810	171	320	21	17	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	360	315	67	19	1	5	34	97	6	14	4	213	301	327	628	114	286	27	9	285	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	413	351	90	16	3	6	53	93	4	10	5	256	359	370	730	114	331	23	13	331	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	277	49	13	1	2	33	78	4	6	2	177	274	253	527	76	237	25	10	247	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	114	101	20	2	0	1	10	32	1	4	1	198	277	248	524	50	271	28	9	243	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	258	210	54	12	1	8	39	58	6	12	0	257	388	438	826	181	315	22	15	369	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	405	352	82	10	2	6	41	93	3	9	6	233	318	324	642	91	293	23	10	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	132	117	22	2	2	2	12	40	2	3	1	188	275	291	565	103	256	30	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	—	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	174	240	217	457	43	197	12	8	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	42	37	9	3	0	1	5	11	0	2	0	243	333	405	739	162	296	26	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	360	323	53	14	1	4	26	126	6	14	4	164	239	251	490	87	240	35	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	413	368	87	18	3	5	37	123	4	10	5	236	313	342	655	106	328	30	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	287	46	12	1	1	23	96	4	6	2	160	232	220	452	59	232	30	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	114	104	20	2	0	1	7	38	1	4	1	192	250	240	490	48	267	33	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	258	223	47	10	1	5	26	76	6	12	0	211	310	332	642	121	282	29	10	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	405	364	77	9	2	4	29	112	3	9	6	212	275	280	555	69	274	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	140	26	3	2	2	14	42	2	3	1	186	269	279	548	93	247	27	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	157	134	31	4	2	3	20	31	2	3	1	231	340	358	698	127	277	20	13	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	402	360	61	17	1	5	31	137	6	16	4	169	247	264	511	94	252	34	8	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	402	350	76	22	1	6	41	106	6	16	4	217	310	337	647	120	289	26	10	293	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	413	368	87	18	3	5	37	123	4	10	5	236	313	342	655	106	339	30	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	413	351	90	16	3	6	53	93	4	10	5	256	359	370	730	114	331	23	13	331	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	287	46	12	1	1	23	96	4	6	2	160	232	220	452	59	236	30	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	277	49	13	1	2	33	78	4	6	2	177	274	253	527	76	237	25	10	247	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	327	66	12	1	6	33	114	7	16	1	202	289	300	589	98	284	31	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	372	311	74	14	1	9	49	90	7	16	1	238	354	376	730	138	301	24	13	330	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	405	364	77	9	2	4	29	112	3	9	6	212	275	280	555	69	287	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	405	352	82	10	2	6	41	93	3	9	6	233	318	324	642	91	293	23	10	290	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	157	140	26	3	2	2	14	42	2	3	1	186	269	279	548	93	247	27	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	402	362	61	17	1	5	31	137	6	16	4	169	247	262	509	94	246	34	8	228	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	413	369	87	18	3	5	37	123	4	10	5	236	313	341	654	106	328	30	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	287	46	12	1	1	23	96	4	6	2	160	232	220	452	59	232	30	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	329	66	12	1	6	33	114	7	16	1	201	289	298	587	97	277	31	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	405	370	77	9	2	4	29	112	3	9	6	208	275	276	551	68	274	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	317	287	46	12	1	1	23	96	4	6	2	160	232	220	452	59	232	30	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	372	329	66	12	1	6	33	114	7	16	1	201	289	298	587	97	277	31	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	405	370	77	9	2	4	29	112	3	9	6	208	275	276	551	68	274	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	10%	380	343	72	12	2	5	30	106	4	8	3	206	277	290	567	84	280	28	8	260	62	-17	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	204	275	288	562	84	276	28	8	258	62	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	31%	333	301	61	10	1	4	26	93	3	6	2	206	277	292	569	85	280	28	8	260	62	-15	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	31%	103	93	18	3	0	1	8	29	1	2	1	204	275	289	564	85	276	28	8	258	62	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	103	93	18	3	0	1	8	29	1	2	1	194	265	258	523	65	266	28	8	258	56	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	113	19	0	6	50	183	6	13	6	193	262	256	518	63	265	28	8	258	56	-29	+0	-1	+7	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2649	2373	471	89	12	30	212	787	32	72	23	198	273	284	557	86	280	30	8	251	56	-26	+1	-1	+6	+13	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	115	22	3	7	52	193	8	18	6	198	273	282	554	84	279	30	8	251	56	-29	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Murray (OGILVIE)	27	45	50	55	60	204/275/288	84	280	3	6	28%	8%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	211/266/329	118	289	10	19	30%	5%	68	-1.0	231/288/375	144	303	15	17	28%	5%	86	+0.3	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Mason McCoy 2022 · AAA	27	43→51	41→45	53→55	39	209/256/309	99	298	7	13	31%	6%	58	-1.7	202/260/323	121	294	11	21	33%	7%	63	-1.3	210/268/302	92	293	7	30	29%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB	27	45→47	40→45	44→50	47	216/271/311	94	258	7	9	19%	6%	65	-1.2	196/251/266	70	247	5	11	22%	6%	47	-2.5	188/235/276	88	231	6	6	21%	5%	41	-2.0
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	42→45	51→50	44	210/275/319	109	284	9	8	28%	7%	68	-1.0	205/280/296	91	275	7	10	26%	9%	65	-1.2	196/276/272	76	261	5	10	25%	9%	56	-1.1
✕Ryan Klosterman 2009 · AA	27	43→45	41→45	51→55	45	207/273/304	97	267	8	17	25%	7%	64	-1.3	207/268/315	108	272	10	14	26%	7%	65	-1.2	205/266/312	107	272	9	15	27%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2024 · AAA	27	40	45	55→50	45	198/275/318	121	285	12	18	33%	9%	69	-0.9	194/273/297	103	301	9	10	35%	9%	63	-1.3	184/267/283	99	288	8	6	36%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	41→51	42→40	50→45	42	205/250/301	96	253	10	10	23%	5%	55	-2.0	183/237/291	108	231	13	7	27%	6%	48	-2.5	141/193/225	84	174	12	2	27%	5%	15	-1.8
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→49	40→45	52→60	43	203/276/302	99	286	6	20	29%	7%	65	-1.2	194/276/300	106	273	11	26	31%	7%	66	-1.1	168/264/269	100	238	12	31	32%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	47→51	42→45	52→50	43	229/281/334	105	298	9	16	26%	6%	74	-0.6	209/273/306	97	299	7	15	30%	8%	65	-1.2	217/283/314	97	316	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.6
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→47	43→45	50	42	201/261/312	111	260	10	13	26%	6%	61	-1.5	207/279/354	147	283	16	16	32%	6%	79	-0.2	168/251/327	159	223	20	20	34%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Luke Maile 2019 · MLB	28	44→50	42→40	49→40	45	215/276/318	103	282	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.9	212/282/321	109	291	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	227/310/346	119	311	10	4	28%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	48→52	38→40	49→55	45	228/283/305	77	294	5	16	24%	7%	68	-1.0	212/267/298	86	280	7	18	25%	6%	60	-1.6	191/242/258	66	256	5	19	26%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2013 · AAA	27	46	41→40	51→50	41	224/268/319	95	281	10	14	24%	5%	65	-1.2	216/254/310	94	276	11	11	25%	4%	58	-1.7	198/232/274	76	253	10	9	26%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Jeff Bianchi 2014 · MLB	27	49→57	39→45	46→50	43	237/277/319	82	289	6	13	20%	5%	68	-1.0	224/265/301	77	282	6	9	22%	5%	59	-1.6	210/250/262	52	272	4	6	23%	5%	42	-0.9
✕Eric Stamets 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	44→45	52→50	40	203/259/323	120	268	12	11	29%	5%	63	-1.3	193/251/301	108	269	10	14	31%	6%	55	-1.9	157/223/249	92	225	9	16	33%	6%	31	-1.5
✕Tres Barrera 2022 · MLB	27	44	42→45	45→40	47	214/285/312	98	269	9	4	24%	8%	71	-0.8	208/273/314	106	263	12	4	25%	7%	67	-1.1	182/246/269	86	232	11	1	26%	6%	44	-1.2
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	37→40	47→50	50	220/290/293	73	281	4	14	22%	9%	68	-1.0	217/273/320	103	259	9	15	19%	7%	68	-1.0	200/247/303	103	224	10	17	16%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	199/252/296	97	259	11	12	28%	6%	55	-2.0	206/271/314	108	257	12	13	24%	7%	66	-1.1	199/268/306	107	242	12	14	23%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	45→49	39→40	51→55	39	216/270/300	84	298	7	19	29%	5%	62	-1.4	200/238/299	99	316	10	21	38%	4%	49	-2.4	160/180/239	79	266	9	33	43%	1%	11	-1.8
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1