Jordan Wicks
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.63
FIP4.23
xFIP3.25
SIERA3.27
K%21.8%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%13.8%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4550
FB Velo
p4894.4
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p3119.4%
xwOBA vs
p520.310
SI (10%)
CH (24%)
FB-1.4 (50%)
SL-2.7 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 4 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.14 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 24 | 24 | 95 | 402 | 121 | 28 | 10 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.85 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 27 | 27 | 126 | 520 | 123 | 43 | 17 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 3.79 | 4.41 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 18 | 17 | 67 | 301 | 66 | 28 | 14 | 21.0% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 5.51 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 28 | 16 | 85 | 362 | 90 | 24 | 6 | 22.3% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 4.01 | 3.00 | +2.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 14 | — | 14 | 58 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 19.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 27 | — | 27 | 116 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 20.3% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 101 | 88 | 380 | 1617 | 350 | 134 | 51 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 4.06 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 46 | 200 | 851 | 184 | 71 | 27 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 4.06 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Wicks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 19.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.44 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 27 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Shirley L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.92 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.57 | 3.35 | 147 | 82 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 79 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 79 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.59 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.71 | 2.93 | 367 | 78 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 159 | 78 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.31 | 16.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.54 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 95 | +0.23 | 3.24 | 163 | 78 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 78 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.64 | 2.79 | 159 | 78 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 78 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 77 |
| Travis Bergen L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .259 | 4.49 | 22.9% | 4.6% | 47 | -0.24 | 2.48 | 143 | 76 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 76 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.39 | 3.46 | 145 | 76 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 75 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .331 | 4.53 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.38 | 4.15 | 151 | 75 |
| Henry Garcia L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .246 | 4.68 | 9.2% | -1.0% | 95 | +0.23 | 4.45 | 114 | 75 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .272 | 5.26 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.00 | 3.88 | 256 | 75 |
| Brennan Bernardino L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .357 | 3.04 | 25.2% | 19.0% | 34 | -0.75 | 2.52 | 406 | 75 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 19.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | .259 | 3.84 | 16.6% | 6.3% | 30 | -1.00 | 1.71 | 206 | 75 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .367 | 5.21 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.23 | 3.98 | 118 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.