Jordan Wicks
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.8 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95104vR 113
ERA4.21
FIP4.14
K%19.2%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%11.1%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3093.1
Whiff%
p4023.9%
K%
p1016.0%
xwOBA vs
p410.322
SI (10%)
CH (24%)
FB-1.4 (50%)
SL-2.7 (25%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 4 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 15.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 5.14 | 2.97 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 4 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 15.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 5.14 | 2.96 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 95 | 402 | 121 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 3.9 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 95 | 402 | 121 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 3.9 | 30.1% | 7.0% | 23.1% | 2.5% | 3.80 | 2.80 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 126 | 520 | 123 | 43 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 3.79 | 4.35 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 126 | 520 | 123 | 43 | 17 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.7% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.79 | 3.93 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 67 | 301 | 66 | 28 | 14 | 94% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 5.51 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 17 | 67 | 301 | 66 | 28 | 14 | 94% | 3.7 | 21.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 5.51 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 16 | 85 | 362 | 90 | 24 | 6 | 57% | 3.0 | 22.3% | 6.9% | 15.4% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 2.93 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 16 | 85 | 362 | 90 | 24 | 6 | 57% | 3.0 | 24.9% | 6.6% | 18.2% | 1.7% | 4.01 | 2.75 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 17 | 15 | 58 | 280 | 46 | 25 | 11 | 88% | 3.4 | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.87 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 33 | 140 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 92 | 420 | 73 | 36 | 15 | — | — | 17.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 6.54 | 4.93 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 44 | 184 | 73 | 36 | 15 | — | — | 39.6% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 8.3% | 13.75 | 6.80 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 64 | 269 | 53 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 51 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 59 | 250 | 47 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 56 | 235 | 43 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 52 | 219 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 50 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 19.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 36 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 85 | 74 | 416 | 1789 | 333 | 138 | 58 | 87% | 4.9 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.29 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 35 | 200 | 859 | 160 | 66 | 28 | 87% | 4.9 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 103 | 438 | 1897 | 391 | 160 | 62 | 87% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.21 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 47 | 200 | 866 | 178 | 73 | 28 | 87% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Wicks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.44 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 185 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Shirley L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 78 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.39 | 18.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.13 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 87 | +0.74 | 3.39 | 300 | 74 |
| Mike Minor L 2028 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 67 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 66 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 66 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.91 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 242 | 66 |
| Pete Hansen L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 437 | 65 |
| Kohl Drake L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.13 | 17.0% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 297 | 65 |
| Dominic Perachi L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.83 | 13.7% | 11.3% | 2.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 273 | 65 |
| Grant Borne L 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.22 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 169 | 64 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 64 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 64 |
| Matt Walker L 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 64 |
| Zach Thornton L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 64 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 248 | 64 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 64 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.26 | 16.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 174 | 64 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2024 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 152 | 63 |
| Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 63 |
| Dietrich Enns L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.31 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .280 | 5.74 | 15.4% | 6.6% | 266 | +2.43 | 2.80 | 740 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 56 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 1.20 | 4.53 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |