Chris Katz — OGILVIE

Chris KatzOF Hillsboro Hops

Age 24 R/R A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .284 / .318

PA68

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	38	11	3	0	1	4	9	2	0	0	289	386	447	834	158	357	20	9	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	2	0	0	231	318	359	677	128	314	27	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	2	0	0	231	318	359	677	128	308	27	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	38	11	3	0	1	4	9	2	0	0	289	386	447	834	158	357	20	9	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	2	0	0	231	318	359	677	128	314	27	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	44	39	9	2	0	1	3	12	2	0	0	231	318	359	677	128	314	27	7	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	180	39	8	1	3	14	56	4	2	1	215	286	321	607	106	291	28	7	275	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	117	106	23	5	0	2	8	32	2	1	1	217	288	326	614	109	291	27	7	278	75	-4	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	35	32	8	2	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	223	294	338	632	114	302	29	6	285	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	35	32	8	2	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	250	314	406	721	156	333	29	6	285	76	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	149	37	0	19	37	186	19	0	0	251	315	409	724	158	334	29	6	285	76	-20	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	229	207	45	10	0	4	16	63	5	2	1	217	289	324	613	106	291	28	7	280	76	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	127	28	0	11	45	179	14	6	3	216	287	320	607	104	289	28	7	280	76	-20	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Katz (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	213/284/318	105	291	1	1	28%	7%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Narciso Crook 2019 · AA	24	45→43	43→50	46→50	39	215/273/329	114	310	10	10	32%	6%	70	-0.8	220/275/356	136	319	13	12	33%	6%	77	-0.3	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A	24	44	44→45	49→50	41	216/283/339	124	293	11	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	200/254/299	99	304	8	9	35%	5%	56	-1.9	173/221/255	83	276	7	8	38%	4%	32	-2.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	43	41→45	50	46	197/314/296	98	306	9	10	34%	10%	80	-0.1	209/311/330	121	327	12	13	36%	10%	86	+0.3	168/302/289	121	270	14	18	38%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Eudy Pina 2015 · A	24	42→47	43→45	47→55	40	208/267/328	120	289	10	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	232/271/321	89	320	6	10	28%	4%	66	-1.1	244/276/319	75	333	5	11	27%	4%	65	-0.8
✕Kyler Fedko 2024 · A	24	42	43→50	50→55	52	208/295/320	112	268	10	10	25%	10%	77	-0.3	203/283/334	131	259	15	18	26%	9%	76	-0.4	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Jose Pineda 2006 · A	24	45→39	42→45	48→45	44	215/283/319	104	303	9	7	30%	8%	72	-0.7	210/271/340	130	296	15	8	32%	7%	72	-0.7	201/263/337	136	278	17	8	33%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Mitch Reeves 2019 · A	24	47→44	42→40	45→40	44	221/290/324	103	316	9	6	31%	8%	76	-0.4	217/285/312	95	300	8	5	28%	8%	71	-0.8	210/282/300	90	287	8	4	28%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	216/281/312	96	287	7	6	26%	6%	69	-0.9	238/297/375	137	293	13	8	23%	5%	90	+0.6	243/303/387	143	295	14	8	22%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Adam Abraham 2011 · A	24	45	43→45	45→40	43	222/272/336	114	274	10	5	23%	6%	71	-0.8	217/278/342	125	284	12	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	223/283/338	116	279	11	2	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43	42→55	46→50	41	212/261/320	108	276	9	8	26%	6%	63	-1.4	217/266/376	159	292	21	8	32%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/366	162	259	21	10	29%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Jeremy Farrell 2011 · A	24	47→36	44→45	45	41	230/288/352	122	308	11	6	28%	6%	81	-0.1	215/280/314	99	300	8	5	29%	6%	70	-0.9	199/267/288	90	284	7	3	30%	6%	56	-1.3
✕Clint Coulter 2017 · AA	24	43	44→50	43→40	42	212/276/331	119	268	11	4	25%	6%	72	-0.7	205/262/325	120	283	11	4	31%	5%	65	-1.2	200/266/338	137	245	16	4	25%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Kerry Jenkins 2013 · A	24	47	42→45	47→40	36	229/280/338	109	300	8	5	26%	3%	75	-0.5	206/251/292	86	296	5	7	31%	4%	53	-2.1	167/201/218	51	256	0	4	33%	3%	13	-1.7
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	45→43	45	48→45	45	225/280/349	124	272	12	8	22%	6%	77	-0.3	205/267/310	105	291	10	9	31%	7%	63	-1.3	102/183/147	45	177	7	7	44%	9%	-5	-1.2
✕Jackson Brennan 2007 · A	24	45→41	42→40	46→50	47	217/304/323	107	295	9	10	28%	8%	81	-0.1	206/296/302	96	284	8	10	28%	9%	74	-0.6	191/290/275	85	265	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2017 · AA	24	46→49	41→45	45→40	45	224/281/323	99	288	8	4	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/293/328	92	296	7	5	21%	7%	77	-0.3	249/300/326	77	305	5	2	19%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Nelson Maldonado 2021 · A	24	47→48	40→45	51→40	42	226/265/322	96	283	7	7	23%	5%	64	-1.3	236/285/360	124	301	11	5	24%	6%	81	-0.1	227/280/353	127	286	11	4	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Tyler Chism 2013 · A	24	42	42→40	46→50	40	206/268/306	100	283	10	7	30%	6%	63	-1.3	214/273/311	97	293	9	11	29%	6%	65	-1.2	209/273/292	84	280	9	12	27%	7%	59	-0.8