Carter Jensen

C Kansas City Royals
Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.163 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+KC376.271/.391/.435101688—.224/.318/.353
202522MLBKC69.300/.391/.550301701.9
202623MLBKC603.239/.327/.4672721254.4
2027PROJ24MLBKC520.232/.319/.4292141153.3
2028PROJ25MLBKC520.232/.320/.4312141163.3
2029PROJ26MLBKC520.232/.320/.4312141153.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 6.3  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 10.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.163First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$7M2031Arb-2$12M2032Arb-3$16M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Avg EV90
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Barrel%86
Bat Spd85
xwOBA70
Form.249/.339/.536 ▲▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .236/.320/.444
CompsPedro Álvarez (age 24) · Ryan Lavarnway (age 24) · Logan O'Hoppe (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 94115vR 122
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .319 / .429
PA520
HR21
K%26
BB%11
BABIP277
ISO197
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +9.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+9BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +2.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +9.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+9POSREP: +11.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +3.60+3.6WAR
0.02.04.03.63.33.33.33.02.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$117M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 59
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
901.1%
xAVG
230.229
POWER59
Barrel%
8613.5
Avg EV
9091.9
Bat Spd
8575.0
EYE56
Chase%
903.0%
SPEED41
Sprint
5827.8
DEFENSE49
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%27%▼28% over 60 PA (45d) · proj 26%
BB%11%▲12% over 121 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.287▲▲.412 over 102 AB (60d) · proj .208
HR/BB9.7%▲▲13.7% over 73 BBE (60d) · proj 7.0%
BABIP.286▲.365 over 63 BIP (60d) · proj .280
SLASH.249/.339/.536▲▲proj .236/.320/.444
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 138 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
22
116
—
wRC+
88
186
▶▶R
wOBA
298
443
▶▶R
ISO
—
343
—
BABIP
312
362
▶R
K%
13.6%
26.7%
◀◀L
BB%
9.1%
11.2%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.163 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+3.6$37M+$36M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+3.3$29M+$29M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+3.3$27M+$27M
2030Arb-1$7M+3.3$25M+$20M
2031Arb-2$12M+3.0$20M+$12M
2032Arb-3$16M+2.8$16M+$7M
Totals $37M $155M +$131M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Royals Gold — 6757 16211 10200 40 281388404792 123417 3015 360 47 — — — — — —
202219 AColumbia Fireflies — 485393 8924211 831034 86 226367382748 155275 2117 340 57 — — — — — —
202320 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 497399 8420411 921201 111 211360363723 153267 2419 331 70 — — — — — —
202421 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 170150 35738 15451 11 233307480787 247267 269 336 76 — — — — — —
202421 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 376310 8415310 57834 162 271391435826 165333 2215 368 88 — — — — — —
202421 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5540 17304 14101 10 4255828001.382 375500 1825 577 277 — — — — — —
202522 MLBKansas City Royals — 6960 18603 9120 00 300391550941 250333 1713 411 170 +6 +0 +0 +11 +1 1.9
202522 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 184153 4411114 30520 30 2884046471.051 359345 2816 446 118 — — — — — —
202522 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 308274 80946 30701 71 292364420784 128368 2310 349 82 — — — — — —
202522 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 3729 6200 7120 00 207361276637 69333 3219 299 89 — — — — — —
202623 MLBKansas City Royals — 603527 12635227 651704 21 239327467794 228294 2811 346 125 +18 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 672587 14441230 741824 21 245334475809 230298 2711 353 125 +20 +0 +2 +21 +15 5.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Royals Gold — 6761 12111 6290 40 197269295564 98342 439 238 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 485421 721928 551494 86 171273283556 112235 3111 253 57 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 497418 751749 731521 111 179303304607 124242 3115 272 70 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 170155 30637 10551 11 194247406653 213230 326 281 76 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 376326 731129 411034 162 224318353671 129285 2711 298 88 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 6960 18603 9120 00 300391550941 250333 1713 420 170 +6 +0 +0 +11 +1 1.9
202522 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 184161 369110 22620 30 224317478795 255290 3412 343 118 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 308283 72845 21831 71 254308364672 110330 277 290 82 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 603528 12835229 641704 21 242329481810 239294 2811 353 125 +18 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.4
202118 ROK MLEACL Royals Gold — 6761 12111 6290 40 197269295564 98355 439 238 47 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Royals Gold — 6757 16211 10200 40 281388404792 123417 3015 360 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 485421 721928 551494 86 171273283556 112238 3111 253 57 — — — — — —
202219 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 485393 8924211 831034 86 226367382748 155275 2117 340 57 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 497418 751749 731521 111 179303304607 124252 3115 272 70 — — — — — —
202320 A+ RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 497399 8420411 921201 111 211360363723 153267 2419 331 70 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 601529 11318617 571746 183 214297367664 153277 299 293 84 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAW3 teams — 601500 13625622 861386 183 272385478863 206327 2314 378 84 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 598536 13425619 561681 101 250322425747 175326 289 323 105 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAW4 teams — 598516 14828523 761461 101 287379494874 207356 2413 383 105 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 603528 12835229 641704 21 242329481810 239295 2811 353 125 +18 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.4
202623 MLB RAWKansas City Royals — 603527 12635227 651704 21 239327467794 228294 2811 346 125 +18 +0 +1 +11 +13 4.4
202118 ROK MLEACL Royals Gold — 6761 12111 6290 40 197269295564 98342 439 238 47 — — — — — —
202219 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 485423 721928 551494 86 170273281554 111235 3111 253 57 — — — — — —
202320 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 497420 751749 731521 111 179303302605 124242 3115 272 70 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 601533 11318617 571746 183 212297364661 152268 299 293 84 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 598536 13425619 561681 101 250322425747 175317 289 323 105 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 603530 12835229 641704 21 242329479808 238294 2811 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLE3 teams — 601533 11318617 571746 183 212297364661 152268 299 293 84 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 598536 13425619 561681 101 250322425747 175317 289 323 105 — — — — — —
202623 MLB MLEKansas City Royals — 603530 12835229 641704 21 242329479808 238294 2811 353 125 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEKC 100% 627551 13028227 661625 51 236323444767 208280 2611 338 115 +11 +1 +3 +11 +14 3.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXKC 100% 520456 10623221 551344 41 232319429748 197277 2611 330 115 +9 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEKC 100% 520456 10923223 551344 41 237324447770 209280 2611 339 116 +10 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
202926 MLB MLEKC 100% 520456 10823223 551344 41 237324446770 209280 2611 339 115 +10 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
203027 MLB MLEKC 100% 520456 10823223 551344 31 236323443766 208279 2611 337 115 +9 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
203128 MLB MLEKC 100% 520456 10823223 551364 21 234321439759 205278 2611 335 113 +8 +0 +1 +9 +11 3.0
203229 MLB MLEKC 100% 520457 10622222 551373 00 231318432750 201276 2611 331 110 +6 +0 +1 +9 +11 2.8
203330 MLB MLEKC 100% 520458 10422122 541393 00 228314424738 196274 2710 326 107 +4 +0 +0 +9 +11 2.5
203431 MLB MLEKC 100% 504444 9921120 521363 00 223309413722 190270 2710 320 102 +1 +0 -1 +9 +11 2.1
203532 MLB MLEKC 100% 489433 9420119 501353 00 217302398700 181264 2810 311 97 -2 +0 -2 +9 +11 1.6
203633 MLB MLEKC 100% 473420 8918118 481332 00 209293380673 171257 2810 300 89 -6 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.1
203734 MLB MLEKC 96% 425378 7615115 421232 00 199282359641 159248 2910 287 81 -10 +0 -3 +8 +9 0.4
202825 MLB CTXKC 100% 520456 10623221 551344 41 232320431751 198277 2611 332 116 +10 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
202926 MLB CTXKC 100% 520456 10623221 551344 41 232320431750 198277 2611 331 115 +10 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
203027 MLB CTXKC 100% 520456 10623221 551344 31 231319428747 197276 2611 330 115 +9 +0 +2 +9 +11 3.3
203128 MLB CTXKC 100% 520456 10623221 551364 21 229317423740 194275 2611 327 113 +8 +0 +1 +9 +11 3.0
203229 MLB CTXKC 100% 520457 10322220 551373 00 227314417731 190274 2611 324 110 +6 +0 +1 +9 +11 2.8
203330 MLB CTXKC 100% 520458 10222120 541393 00 223310409719 185271 2710 319 107 +4 +0 +0 +9 +11 2.5
203431 MLB CTXKC 100% 504444 9721119 521363 00 219305398703 179267 2710 313 102 +1 +0 -1 +9 +11 2.1
203532 MLB CTXKC 100% 489433 9219118 501353 00 213298384682 172262 2810 304 97 -2 +0 -2 +9 +11 1.6
203633 MLB CTXKC 100% 473420 8618116 481332 00 205290367656 162255 2810 294 89 -6 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.1
203734 MLB CTXKC 96% 406361 7114113 401172 00 195279346625 151245 2910 281 81 -9 +0 -3 +7 +9 0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 56644984 111924917220 593151736 155 225311414725 189274 2710 321 100 +51 +1 +3 +111 +123 29.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 12929225 681744 21 226312414726 189276 2710 321 100 +6 +0 +0 +13 +14 3.4
Career— MLE — 83827363 164434838314 887231752 7017 223311409720 186278 2811 316 100 +59 +1 +5 +120 +134 32.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12727324 691804 51 222311406717 184277 2811 316 100 +6 +0 +1 +13 +14 3.4