Will Wagner

3B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 0.878 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	26	MLBTOR	86	.305/.337/.451	2	0	122	0.7
2025	27	MLBSD	149	.225/.324/.279	0	1	81	-0.2
2026	28	MLBSD	45	.257/.422/.286	0	0	111	0.3
2027PROJ45% MLB	29	MLBSD	158	.257/.337/.380	3	2	107	0.5
2028PROJ56% MLB	30	MLBSD	214	.253/.333/.372	4	1	104	0.4
2029PROJ63% MLB	31	MLBSD	229	.249/.328/.362	4	0	100	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.878First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.7M2031Arb-2$0.7M2032Ext$8M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%80

Chase%78

xwOBA73

Bat Spd29

Avg EV25

Speed22

CompsJ.P. Crawford (age 29) · John Baker (age 29) · Greg Garcia (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 86107vR 114

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .337 / .380

PA158

HR3

K%18

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO121

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

807.8%

xAVG

840.279

POWER40

Barrel%

163.9

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

2969.0

EYE50

Chase%

7826.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 235 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

193

—

wRC+

104

▶▶R

wOBA

224

322

▶▶R

ISO

101

085

◀◀L

BABIP

223

330

▶▶R

26.2%

17.1%

▶▶R

BB%

4.8%

9.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.878 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Arb-1	$0.7M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	117	35	8	1	2	16	33	1	5	0	299	388	436	824	137	402	25	12	371	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	298	251	63	12	2	6	35	57	9	5	1	251	363	386	749	135	302	19	12	339	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	199	163	45	7	1	4	32	41	1	3	1	276	398	405	803	129	339	21	16	361	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	60	52	18	6	2	3	7	12	1	1	0	346	433	712	1.145	365	405	20	12	486	215	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	15	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	577	607	692	1.299	115	625	7	7	575	250	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	234	207	64	16	2	7	26	47	0	3	2	309	386	507	894	198	370	20	11	392	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK	FCL Astros	—	25	16	5	1	0	0	7	1	1	1	0	312	520	375	895	62	333	4	28	421	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	86	82	25	6	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	305	337	451	788	146	359	19	5	349	122	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.7
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	355	286	90	15	2	6	59	37	4	3	1	315	438	444	882	129	339	10	17	394	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	149	129	29	7	0	0	17	28	2	1	0	225	324	279	603	54	287	19	11	283	81	-3	+0	-3	+1	+3	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	160	145	39	6	1	5	15	20	0	2	1	269	338	428	765	159	283	12	9	341	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	45	35	9	1	0	0	10	7	0	0	0	257	422	286	708	29	321	16	22	344	111	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
2026	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	303	252	64	11	1	6	42	52	4	4	2	254	369	377	746	123	297	17	14	337	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	280	246	63	14	0	2	31	51	2	1	0	256	344	337	681	81	316	18	11	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	122	29	6	1	1	11	45	1	5	0	238	306	328	634	90	367	34	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	298	263	59	11	2	5	23	73	9	5	1	224	308	338	647	114	284	24	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	199	175	37	5	1	4	20	58	1	3	1	211	296	320	616	109	269	29	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	27	15	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	0	556	571	667	1.238	111	611	7	4	538	250	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	234	215	58	15	2	4	18	55	0	3	2	270	326	414	740	144	340	24	8	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	25	20	5	1	0	0	4	1	1	1	0	250	400	300	700	50	252	4	16	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	86	82	25	6	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	305	337	451	788	146	359	19	5	349	122	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.7
2024	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	355	305	91	14	2	5	40	44	4	3	1	298	387	407	793	108	324	12	11	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	149	129	29	7	0	0	17	28	2	1	0	225	324	279	603	54	287	19	11	289	81	-3	+0	-3	+1	+3	-0.2
2025	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	160	150	36	5	1	4	10	25	0	2	1	240	287	367	654	127	262	16	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	45	36	9	1	0	0	9	7	0	0	0	250	400	278	678	28	321	16	20	332	111	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
2026	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	303	265	58	9	1	4	29	62	4	4	2	219	305	306	611	87	268	20	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	122	29	6	1	1	11	45	1	5	0	238	306	328	634	90	368	34	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	117	35	8	1	2	16	33	1	5	0	299	388	436	824	137	402	25	12	371	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	557	492	105	17	3	9	48	147	11	9	2	213	298	315	613	102	282	26	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	557	466	126	25	5	13	74	110	11	9	2	270	383	429	812	159	326	20	13	363	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	287	262	77	18	2	4	23	59	1	6	2	294	353	424	777	130	365	21	8	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	287	249	84	20	2	7	35	50	1	6	2	337	420	518	938	181	399	17	12	413	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	387	116	20	2	7	44	60	4	3	1	300	377	416	793	116	335	14	10	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	441	368	115	21	2	8	63	53	4	3	1	312	418	446	864	133	343	12	14	385	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	309	279	65	12	1	4	27	53	2	3	1	233	305	326	631	93	275	17	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	309	274	68	13	1	5	32	48	2	3	1	248	331	358	689	109	285	16	10	313	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	348	301	68	11	1	4	38	69	4	4	2	226	321	309	630	83	279	20	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	348	287	73	12	1	6	52	59	4	4	2	254	376	366	742	111	300	17	15	338	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	121	29	6	1	1	11	45	1	5	0	240	306	331	637	91	367	34	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	557	493	105	17	3	9	48	147	11	9	2	213	298	314	612	101	278	26	9	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	287	261	77	18	2	4	23	59	1	6	2	295	353	425	778	130	359	21	8	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	390	116	20	2	7	44	60	4	3	1	297	377	413	790	115	331	14	10	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	309	277	65	12	1	4	27	53	2	3	1	235	305	329	634	94	274	17	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	348	303	68	11	1	4	38	69	4	4	2	224	321	307	628	83	275	20	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	390	116	20	2	7	44	60	4	3	1	297	377	413	790	115	331	14	10	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	309	277	65	12	1	4	27	53	2	3	1	235	305	329	634	94	274	17	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	348	303	68	11	1	4	38	69	4	4	2	224	321	307	628	83	275	20	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	45%	380	336	89	16	2	8	37	70	4	4	1	261	340	386	726	125	305	18	10	326	107	+3	+0	-1	+1	+8	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	45%	158	141	36	6	1	3	15	29	1	2	0	257	337	380	717	124	299	18	9	323	107	+1	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SD	56%	380	337	85	15	1	7	37	71	3	3	1	257	337	378	714	120	303	19	10	322	104	+2	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.8
2029	31	MLB MLE	SD	63%	365	324	81	14	1	7	35	70	3	0	1	253	332	367	699	114	300	19	10	315	100	-0	-0	-4	+1	+8	0.4
2030	32	MLB MLE	SD	67%	346	307	76	13	1	6	33	68	3	0	0	247	325	353	678	106	296	20	10	307	94	-2	+0	-5	+1	+7	0.1
2031	33	MLB MLE	SD	69%	316	282	68	11	1	5	29	64	2	0	0	240	317	337	654	97	291	20	9	297	87	-5	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	SD	56%	214	189	48	8	1	4	21	40	2	1	1	253	333	372	705	119	298	19	10	318	104	+1	-0	-2	+1	+5	0.4
2029	31	MLB CTX	SD	63%	229	203	51	9	1	4	22	44	2	0	0	249	328	362	690	113	295	19	10	312	100	-0	+0	-3	+1	+5	0.3
2030	32	MLB CTX	SD	67%	230	204	50	8	1	4	22	45	2	0	0	243	322	348	670	105	291	20	10	304	94	-2	+0	-3	+1	+5	0.1
2031	33	MLB CTX	SD	69%	217	193	46	7	1	3	20	44	2	0	0	236	314	332	646	96	286	20	9	294	87	-3	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1170	1035	258	46	4	17	116	224	10	2	1	249	331	351	681	101	302	19	10	308	95	-5	+0	-14	+7	+25	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	143	26	2	9	64	124	6	1	1	249	330	348	678	99	302	19	10	308	95	-3	+0	-8	+4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3833	3403	851	152	15	61	359	770	37	37	11	250	328	357	686	107	305	20	9	308	95	-3	+0	-21	+10	+44	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	145	26	3	10	61	131	6	6	2	251	329	359	688	107	307	20	9	308	95	-1	+0	-7	+3	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tommy La Stellalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,933 PA	2.9	1,933	40	5	267	337	399	+7	-9	7.2	7.2
/162	664	14	2	+2.4	-2.9	2.5	pk7: 7
#2Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#3Brendan Harrislast yr '13 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,819 PA	2.7	1,819	31	5	256	313	380	+18	-14	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	2	+6.6	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.9	1,283	21	4	253	327	362	+5	-4	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	2	+2.4	-2.2	1.7	pk7: 3
#4Ken Aspromonte'57-'63 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,691 PA	2.5	1,691	19	7	245*	323*	352*	+6	+5	3.2	3.2
/162	664	7	3	+2.4	+2.0	1.3	pk7: 3
#5Ramon Martinez'98-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,206 PA	3.3	2,206	29	10	252*	308*	353*	+12	-5	1.9	2.8
/162	664	9	3	+3.6	-1.4	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Dave Berg'98-'04 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,781 PA	2.7	1,781	21	8	258*	316*	360*	+4	-9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	8	3	+1.3	-3.4	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Wagner (OGILVIE)	29	60	40	45	50	258/338/382	124	305	7	4	18%	10%	107	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2024 · MLB	29	54→57	46→45	42→50	60	261/356/399	138	300	13	3	17%	12%	117	+2.6	242/338/373	131	289	14	6	20%	12%	105	+1.7	233/331/352	119	279	14	5	20%	12%	98	+1.1
✕John Baker 2010 · MLB	29	54→59	46→45	42→45	50	265/334/402	137	323	13	3	21%	9%	109	+2.0	244/319/355	111	306	8	5	21%	9%	93	+0.8	193/263/235	42	263	3	2	26%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Greg Garcia 2019 · MLB	29	50→55	41→40	46→50	55	240/332/333	94	294	8	7	20%	11%	94	+0.9	239/336/347	108	306	8	6	22%	12%	98	+1.2	249/364/356	107	326	6	0	22%	14%	111	+1.3
✕Brian Buscher 2010 · MLB	29	51→57	44→45	38→45	53	250/323/363	114	287	12	3	18%	9%	97	+1.1	231/297/354	123	255	12	6	14%	8%	84	+0.2	226/275/353	127	226	11	0	6%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Jesse Castillo 2012 · AAA	29	54→61	42→45	42→50	51	261/319/362	101	307	10	5	18%	8%	94	+0.9	267/317/360	93	318	8	8	18%	7%	93	+0.8	268/327/383	116	312	12	13	17%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Terrence Long 2005 · MLB	29	52→58	46→50	45	47	257/300/394	137	283	13	6	15%	6%	95	+0.9	254/297/370	116	292	11	5	16%	6%	87	+0.4	252/293/356	104	289	10	2	16%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Mark Teahen 2011 · MLB	29	54→59	45→55	44→50	48	262/321/395	133	321	12	7	22%	8%	103	+1.5	226/286/324	98	299	8	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	205/262/279	74	281	5	5	27%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Luis Guillorme 2024 · MLB	29	52→62	39→40	45	56	244/324/332	88	288	6	4	17%	10%	90	+0.6	219/302/300	81	278	5	8	21%	10%	74	-0.5	204/293/256	52	267	2	8	22%	11%	60	-0.6
✕Jon Jay 2014 · MLB	29	58→63	41→45	47→50	49	276/339/379	103	319	8	13	16%	7%	105	+1.7	269/334/356	87	321	6	8	17%	6%	99	+1.2	276/340/357	80	340	3	5	18%	6%	102	+1.1
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	51→53	44→45	40	53	248/316/371	123	288	11	3	18%	9%	95	+1.0	236/311/372	136	288	15	3	22%	9%	95	+0.9	229/307/361	132	288	15	1	24%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Brendan Harris 2009 · MLB	28	55→58	45→50	46→45	49	266/326/402	136	317	11	4	19%	8%	106	+1.8	230/284/336	106	273	9	3	19%	6%	76	-0.4	219/298/331	111	254	10	1	17%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Skip Schumaker 2010 · MLB	30	61→64	41→45	45→50	54	294/349/398	103	325	7	5	12%	8%	113	+2.3	272/329/358	86	309	6	5	13%	8%	97	+1.1	269/328/343	74	315	3	2	15%	7%	94	+0.5
✕Brock Holt 2017 · MLB	29	55→65	42→45	51→50	51	261/325/370	110	313	8	10	19%	8%	98	+1.2	246/324/356	110	302	10	8	20%	9%	95	+1.0	262/344/371	109	329	8	7	21%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	52→55	48→50	40→45	50	257/323/404	147	283	16	6	16%	7%	106	+1.8	233/292/359	126	267	11	8	17%	7%	84	+0.2	241/312/357	116	269	13	5	16%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	56	43→45	49→50	52	266/342/385	118	329	10	11	21%	9%	108	+1.9	244/328/357	113	301	10	13	21%	10%	97	+1.1	241/333/346	105	295	9	12	20%	10%	96	+0.7
✕Steve Clevenger 2015 · MLB	29	53→59	40→45	46→45	50	251/304/352	101	291	7	4	16%	7%	86	+0.3	255/305/355	100	297	8	4	16%	7%	87	+0.4	277/317/362	85	317	7	0	15%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Kevin Plawecki 2021 · MLB	30	51→59	46→45	46→30	49	249/320/387	138	293	13	5	19%	8%	101	+1.4	248/310/353	105	293	9	4	18%	7%	89	+0.5	238/300/320	82	288	6	0	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Gonzalo Meza 2008 · AAA	29	54	46→45	45→40	50	268/320/392	123	298	14	5	16%	7%	101	+1.4	259/307/348	89	295	7	5	14%	6%	86	+0.3	265/313/337	72	302	5	3	13%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Vimael Machín 2023 · MLB	29	51→54	41→45	46→50	52	242/309/346	104	287	7	3	18%	8%	87	+0.4	231/290/339	108	277	10	8	19%	7%	78	-0.3	229/280/342	113	271	12	10	20%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Craig Counsell 2001 · MLB	30	57→60	44→45	45→55	59	275/357/398	123	300	11	11	12%	10%	117	+2.6	265/340/352	87	300	6	10	12%	10%	100	+1.3	256/346/351	96	292	4	4	13%	11%	103	+0.8

Will Wagner

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps