Will Wagner — OGILVIE

Will Wagner3B El Paso Chihuahuas

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.878 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 30117vR 105

AVG/OBP/SLG.275 / .346 / .407

PA144

HR3

K%17

BB%9

xwOBA.318

Barrel%2.0%

MLB%55%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

40→40

SPD

45→45

EYE

54↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.878 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$13M	+$12M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$10M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$4M	+$0.6M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$44M	+$34M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	134	122	30	6	1	1	11	44	1	5	0	.246	.313	.336	.649	.090	.377	33	8	.283	75	-4	+1	+0	+0	+4	0.1
2022	24	AA	3 teams	557	491	105	17	3	10	49	152	11	9	2	.214	.299	.322	.621	.108	.285	27	9	.276	69	-19	+1	+0	+2	+16	-0.1
2023	25	AA	3 teams	287	261	76	18	2	5	24	63	1	6	2	.291	.353	.433	.786	.142	.366	22	8	.340	119	+6	+0	+0	+1	+8	1.6
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	441	387	113	20	1	7	44	60	4	3	1	.292	.370	.403	.773	.111	.326	14	10	.346	123	+12	+0	+1	+2	+12	2.7
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	309	279	64	12	1	4	27	55	2	3	1	.229	.302	.323	.625	.093	.273	18	9	.276	69	-11	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	SD	144	129	36	7	1	3	13	25	1	2	0	.279	.350	.419	.768	.140	.320	17	9	.339	117	+3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 66%	SD	365	326	90	17	1	8	33	64	3	3	1	.276	.348	.408	.756	.132	.320	18	9	.337	116	+7	+0	-3	+1	+10	1.6
2028	30	MLB 75%	SD	370	330	90	17	1	7	34	66	3	2	1	.273	.346	.394	.740	.121	.319	18	9	.334	114	+6	+0	-4	+1	+10	1.4
2029	31	MLB 83%	SD	355	318	86	16	1	7	32	65	2	1	0	.270	.341	.393	.734	.123	.319	18	9	.331	111	+4	+0	-4	+1	+10	1.2
2030	32	MLB 89%	SD	336	301	80	15	1	6	30	63	2	0	0	.266	.336	.382	.718	.116	.318	19	9	.326	107	+3	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.9
2031	33	MLB 95%	SD	306	273	72	13	1	5	28	59	2	0	0	.264	.337	.374	.710	.110	.317	19	9	.320	103	+1	+0	-5	+1	+9	0.6
2032	34	MLB	SD	263	236	61	11	1	4	23	53	2	0	0	.258	.330	.364	.694	.106	.316	20	9	.314	98	-0	+0	-6	+1	+7	0.2
2033	35	MLB	SD	211	189	49	9	1	3	19	45	1	0	0	.259	.330	.365	.695	.106	.314	21	9	.307	93	-2	+0	-6	+1	+6	-0.2
2034	36	MLB	SD	155	140	34	6	0	2	13	35	1	0	0	.243	.312	.329	.640	.086	.313	23	8	.298	86	-2	+0	-7	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4233	3782	986	184	16	72	380	849	36	34	8	.261	.334	.375	.709	.114	.317	20	9	.317	101	+3	+4	-43	+15	+120	10.0
/ 162G	—			650	581	151	28	2	11	58	130	6	5	1	.260	.334	.372	.706	.112	.315	20	9	.317	101	+0	+1	-7	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	134	117	35	8	1	2	16	33	1	5	0	.299	.388	.436	.824	.137	.402	25	12	.371	142	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	298	251	63	12	2	6	35	57	9	5	1	.251	.363	.386	.749	.135	.302	19	12	.339	118	+6	+1	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	199	163	45	7	1	4	32	41	1	3	1	.276	.398	.405	.803	.129	.339	21	16	.361	134	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	60	52	18	6	2	3	7	12	1	1	0	.346	.433	.712	1.145	.365	.405	20	12	.486	230	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	28	26	15	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	.577	.607	.692	1.299	.115	.625	7	7	.575	298	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2023	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	234	207	64	16	2	7	26	47	0	3	2	.309	.386	.507	.894	.198	.370	20	11	.392	158	+15	-0	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	25	ROK	FCL Astros	25	16	5	1	0	0	7	1	1	1	0	.312	.520	.375	.895	.062	.333	4	28	.421	180	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	86	82	25	6	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	.305	.337	.451	.788	.146	.359	19	5	.349	125	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.8
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	355	286	90	15	2	6	59	37	4	3	1	.315	.438	.444	.882	.129	.339	10	17	.394	159	+24	+0	—	—	+10	3.5
2025	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	149	129	29	7	0	0	17	28	2	1	0	.225	.324	.279	.603	.054	.287	19	11	.283	75	-4	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	160	145	39	6	1	5	15	20	0	2	1	.269	.338	.428	.765	.159	.283	12	9	.341	119	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			235	211	54	13	0	2	21	44	2	1	0	.256	.329	.346	.675	.090	.315	19	9	.308	94	-2	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Wagner (OGILVIE)	28	60	40	45	50	.275/.346/.407	.131	.320	3	2	17%	9%	117	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Teahen 2010 · MLB	28	55→60	46→55	49→50	48	.267/.326/.407	.139	.325	12	8	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.247/.310/.364	.117	.315	10	7	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.233/.297/.322	.089	.308	6	6	24%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Hyun Soo Kim 2017 · MLB	29	58	45	40→30	57	.282/.360/.411	.128	.320	12	5	16%	10%	124	+3.4	.251/.326/.354	.103	.301	9	5	18%	9%	95	+1.4	.224/.302/.280	.055	.282	2	0	19%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	55→57	43→45	49→50	52	.265/.340/.384	.119	.326	10	11	21%	9%	108	+2.3	.247/.333/.361	.114	.305	10	13	21%	10%	100	+1.7	.246/.341/.353	.107	.303	9	12	20%	10%	99	+1.1
✕Alex Verdugo 2023 · MLB	27	57→58	46→50	43→45	51	.277/.333/.411	.134	.311	13	5	15%	8%	112	+2.6	.254/.313/.388	.134	.285	12	4	15%	8%	98	+1.6	.242/.303/.369	.127	.271	12	4	15%	8%	87	+0.7
●Omar Narváez 2019 · MLB	27	53→55	43→50	39→30	57	.258/.339/.368	.110	.300	11	2	17%	11%	104	+2.0	.259/.341/.416	.157	.302	20	2	20%	10%	118	+3.0	.257/.339/.410	.154	.298	20	0	20%	10%	111	+1.5
✕Andrew Benintendi 2023 · MLB	29	57→65	45→55	43→50	53	.278/.344/.406	.127	.321	12	10	17%	9%	115	+2.8	.258/.322/.390	.132	.294	13	9	16%	8%	102	+1.9	.242/.308/.388	.146	.268	17	6	17%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	45	40→45	49	.261/.315/.385	.124	.289	13	4	15%	6%	98	+1.6	.240/.310/.354	.114	.274	12	4	16%	8%	89	+0.9	.216/.299/.309	.093	.249	9	0	16%	10%	72	-0.1
●J.P. Crawford 2023 · MLB	28	55→58	41→45	41→50	56	.260/.340/.364	.103	.299	8	5	15%	10%	103	+1.9	.252/.348/.384	.132	.299	13	5	19%	12%	112	+2.6	.250/.350/.381	.131	.300	14	5	20%	13%	109	+2.3
●Nick Markakis 2012 · MLB	28	59→63	46→55	48→50	56	.289/.355/.423	.134	.314	12	8	12%	9%	124	+3.4	.281/.346/.404	.123	.305	12	5	11%	9%	115	+2.8	.278/.356/.412	.134	.313	11	0	14%	10%	113	+3.0
●Adam Frazier 2019 · MLB	27	56→66	44→50	46→50	52	.270/.330/.399	.130	.302	10	11	14%	8%	108	+2.3	.269/.330/.403	.134	.298	12	6	13%	7%	109	+2.4	.281/.343/.403	.122	.310	10	6	12%	7%	109	+1.9
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	51→54	49→50	40→45	50	.256/.322/.403	.148	.284	16	7	16%	7%	107	+2.2	.231/.292/.363	.132	.265	13	8	18%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.301/.343	.104	.271	12	5	16%	7%	81	+0.3
●Jesse Castillo 2011 · AAA	28	56→62	40→45	46→50	53	.268/.335/.358	.090	.321	7	9	18%	9%	99	+1.7	.270/.321/.372	.102	.322	10	6	18%	7%	97	+1.5	.280/.342/.409	.128	.327	14	13	18%	8%	115	+2.2
●Jon Jay 2014 · MLB	29	58→65	42→45	47→50	50	.276/.343/.383	.107	.319	8	13	16%	7%	109	+2.4	.270/.342/.354	.084	.323	6	8	17%	7%	102	+1.8	.272/.337/.349	.077	.335	3	5	18%	6%	94	+1.0
●John Jaso 2012 · MLB	28	51→56	43→50	47→45	59	.243/.327/.360	.117	.268	9	5	13%	11%	97	+1.5	.265/.363/.423	.158	.298	15	7	15%	13%	128	+3.7	.276/.379/.443	.167	.315	16	6	16%	13%	136	+2.2
●Robbie Grossman 2019 · MLB	29	53→57	45	42→50	61	.257/.356/.389	.131	.309	12	4	20%	13%	117	+2.9	.250/.348/.392	.142	.299	13	11	19%	13%	114	+2.7	.242/.350/.402	.161	.287	17	17	21%	13%	111	+1.9
●Adam Eaton 2017 · MLB	28	58→66	44→45	52→55	52	.281/.353/.414	.133	.330	10	14	17%	8%	121	+3.2	.279/.361/.415	.136	.328	12	13	17%	10%	125	+3.5	.281/.371/.408	.127	.330	11	14	17%	10%	126	+2.2
✕Gonzalo Meza 2007 · AAA	28	56	47→50	44→40	50	.279/.330/.417	.138	.310	15	5	16%	7%	112	+2.6	.269/.317/.386	.117	.302	13	5	15%	6%	98	+1.6	.271/.317/.366	.096	.301	10	3	13%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Skip Schumaker 2010 · MLB	30	61→64	41→45	45→50	54	.294/.350/.400	.106	.325	8	5	12%	8%	115	+2.8	.275/.335/.364	.089	.312	6	5	13%	8%	100	+1.7	.267/.329/.341	.074	.314	3	2	15%	8%	88	+0.5
●Brian Stavisky 2008 · AAA	28	54→59	44→50	42→45	51	.261/.325/.386	.125	.315	10	4	20%	9%	102	+1.9	.253/.318/.402	.149	.311	16	8	23%	8%	104	+2.0	.254/.322/.405	.151	.313	17	8	23%	8%	106	+1.1
●Brendan Donovan 2023 · MLB	26	55→59	43→50	44→50	55	.263/.353/.375	.112	.313	10	9	18%	10%	112	+2.6	.272/.350/.402	.130	.305	13	7	15%	9%	118	+3.0	.277/.348/.414	.137	.304	14	5	13%	8%	116	+2.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)