Will Wagner — OGILVIE

Will Wagner3B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 0.878 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 2678vR 99

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .342 / .394

PA135

HR3

K%19

BB%10

BABIP307

ISO134

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

807.8%

xwOBA

730.335

POWER40

Barrel%

163.9

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

2969.0

EYE50

Chase%

7826.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 235 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

193

—

wRC+

105

▶▶R

wOBA

224

322

▶▶R

ISO

101

085

◀◀L

BABIP

223

330

▶▶R

26.2%

17.1%

▶▶R

BB%

4.8%

9.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.878 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$14M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	122	30	6	1	1	11	45	1	5	0	246	313	336	649	90	382	34	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	117	35	8	1	2	16	33	1	5	0	299	388	436	824	137	402	25	12	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	557	490	102	17	3	9	50	164	11	9	2	208	296	310	606	102	290	29	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	557	466	126	25	5	13	74	110	11	9	2	270	383	429	812	159	326	20	13	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	287	262	79	20	2	4	23	59	1	6	2	302	360	439	799	137	375	21	8	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	287	249	84	20	2	7	35	50	1	6	2	337	420	518	938	181	399	17	12	413	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	441	388	118	21	2	8	43	60	4	3	1	304	379	430	810	126	338	14	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	441	368	115	21	2	8	63	53	4	3	1	312	418	446	864	133	343	12	14	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	309	279	64	12	1	4	27	55	2	3	1	229	302	323	625	93	273	18	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	309	274	68	13	1	5	32	48	2	3	1	248	331	358	689	109	285	16	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	SD	—	203	169	38	4	1	3	28	38	3	4	1	225	345	314	659	89	271	19	14	293	83	-4	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
YTD	28	AAA	SD	—	203	162	40	4	1	4	35	31	3	4	1	247	390	358	748	111	281	15	17	344	121	+5	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.2
ROS	28	AAA	SD	100%	135	119	31	5	1	3	14	26	1	2	1	260	342	394	736	134	301	19	10	322	105	+1	+0	-1	+0	+4	0.4
ROS	28	MLB	SD	100%	135	119	31	5	1	3	14	26	1	2	1	261	343	395	738	134	297	19	10	311	96	-1	+0	-1	+0	+4	0.3
FULL	28	AAA	SD	—	338	288	69	9	2	6	42	64	4	6	2	240	344	347	692	108	286	19	12	300	88	-5	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.6
TOT	28	AAA	SD	—	338	288	69	9	2	6	42	64	4	6	2	239	344	347	691	108	286	19	12	305	91	-3	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SD	92%	365	319	80	13	1	7	39	71	4	4	1	251	340	364	703	113	300	19	11	321	104	+2	+0	-3	+1	+10	1.0
2028	30	MLB	SD	92%	370	324	80	13	1	7	39	73	4	4	1	247	335	358	693	111	299	20	11	318	102	+1	+0	-4	+1	+10	0.9
2029	31	MLB	SD	92%	355	310	76	12	1	6	38	71	4	3	1	245	335	348	684	103	297	20	11	314	98	-1	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.6
2030	32	MLB	SD	92%	336	294	71	11	1	6	36	68	3	3	1	241	330	347	677	105	294	20	11	308	94	-2	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.3
2031	33	MLB	SD	92%	306	268	64	10	1	5	32	64	3	2	1	239	327	340	666	101	290	21	10	301	88	-4	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.0
2032	34	MLB	SD	88%	263	231	54	8	1	4	28	57	2	1	0	234	322	329	651	95	291	22	11	296	85	-4	+0	-6	+1	+7	-0.2
2027	29	MLB	SD	92%	336	293	73	12	1	6	36	65	4	4	1	249	339	358	698	109	297	19	11	309	95	-2	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.6
2028	30	MLB	SD	92%	340	297	73	12	1	6	36	67	4	4	1	246	335	354	689	108	296	20	11	307	93	-3	+0	-4	+1	+10	0.5
2029	31	MLB	SD	92%	327	286	70	11	1	6	35	65	3	3	1	245	333	353	686	108	294	20	11	303	90	-4	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.2
2030	32	MLB	SD	92%	309	270	64	10	1	5	33	63	3	2	1	237	327	337	664	100	290	20	11	297	85	-5	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.0
2031	33	MLB	SD	92%	282	247	58	9	1	4	30	59	3	2	0	235	325	328	653	93	286	21	11	290	80	-6	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.2
2032	34	MLB	SD	88%	230	202	47	7	1	3	24	49	2	1	0	233	320	322	642	89	287	21	10	286	77	-6	+0	-6	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2194	1925	470	79	7	35	229	438	22	19	5	244	331	347	678	103	297	20	10	301	89	-28	+2	-30	+10	+62	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	138	23	2	10	68	130	7	6	1	242	330	342	672	100	296	20	10	301	89	-8	+1	-9	+3	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	3858	3406	849	148	16	64	380	813	40	45	12	249	332	358	690	109	308	21	10	309	94	-25	+4	-33	+14	+109	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	144	25	3	11	64	137	7	8	2	251	334	362	696	111	309	21	10	309	94	-4	+1	-6	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	134	117	35	8	1	2	16	33	1	5	0	299	388	436	824	137	402	25	12	371	142	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	298	251	63	12	2	6	35	57	9	5	1	251	363	386	749	135	302	19	12	339	118	+6	+1	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	199	163	45	7	1	4	32	41	1	3	1	276	398	405	803	129	339	21	16	361	134	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	60	52	18	6	2	3	7	12	1	1	0	346	433	712	1.145	365	405	20	12	486	230	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	28	26	15	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	577	607	692	1.299	115	625	7	7	575	298	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2023	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	234	207	64	16	2	7	26	47	0	3	2	309	386	507	894	198	370	20	11	392	158	+15	-0	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	25	ROK	FCL Astros	—	25	16	5	1	0	0	7	1	1	1	0	312	520	375	895	62	333	4	28	421	180	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	86	82	25	6	0	2	4	16	0	0	0	305	337	451	788	146	359	19	5	349	125	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.8
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	355	286	90	15	2	6	59	37	4	3	1	315	438	444	882	129	339	10	17	394	159	+24	+0	—	—	+10	3.5
2025	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	149	129	29	7	0	0	17	28	2	1	0	225	324	279	603	54	287	19	11	283	75	-4	+0	-3	+1	+4	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	160	145	39	6	1	5	15	20	0	2	1	269	338	428	765	159	283	12	9	341	119	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	235	211	54	13	0	2	21	44	2	1	0	256	329	346	675	90	315	19	9	308	94	-2	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Brock Holtlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,661 PA	10	2,661	25	41	262	332	362	+5	+3	7.4	7.8
	/162	664	6	10	262	332	362	+1.2	+0.6	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,300	39	19	249	330	357	+8	-7	6.1	5.9
	/162	664	11	6	249	330	357	+2.4	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 6
#3Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	8	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.2	4.6
	/162	664	7	6	255	330	352	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Ramon Martinezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,955 PA	8	1,955	24	8	264	323	367	+2	-16	2.8	3.2
	/162	664	8	3	264	323	367	+0.6	-5.4	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Wagner (OGILVIE)	28	60	40	45	50	239/344/347	108	286	6	6	19%	12%	91	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Baker 2010 · MLB	29	55→59	46→45	42→45	52	267/342/405	138	326	13	3	21%	9%	115	+2.7	247/327/359	112	311	8	5	21%	10%	97	+1.5	194/271/237	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	36	-1.0
●J.P. Crawford 2023 · MLB	28	54→58	41→45	40→50	57	259/340/364	105	297	8	5	15%	10%	103	+1.9	253/349/391	138	301	14	5	19%	12%	115	+2.7	252/352/390	138	302	14	5	20%	13%	113	+2.6
✕Tucker Barnhart 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	44→45	40	55	248/325/372	123	289	11	3	18%	10%	98	+1.6	236/318/373	137	289	15	3	22%	10%	97	+1.5	228/313/361	133	287	15	1	24%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Brendan Harris 2009 · MLB	28	55→58	45→50	46→45	49	265/326/401	136	316	11	4	19%	8%	107	+2.2	231/285/338	107	275	9	3	19%	6%	73	-0.1	221/306/334	113	260	11	1	18%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Mark Teahen 2010 · MLB	28	55→60	46→55	49→50	48	266/324/407	140	324	13	8	21%	7%	108	+2.3	245/309/361	116	314	10	7	23%	8%	89	+1.0	233/297/324	92	309	6	6	25%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	46→45	39→45	49	262/318/390	128	289	14	4	15%	7%	101	+1.8	236/306/350	114	268	12	4	16%	8%	85	+0.7	213/296/304	91	245	8	0	16%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	54→57	43→45	49→50	51	258/333/376	117	322	10	11	22%	9%	104	+2.0	240/327/350	110	299	10	13	21%	10%	95	+1.4	243/339/350	107	298	9	12	20%	11%	97	+1.0
✕Greg Garcia 2018 · MLB	28	54	39→40	47→50	57	251/345/338	88	317	5	8	21%	11%	99	+1.7	240/338/342	102	304	8	6	21%	12%	98	+1.6	239/346/339	100	301	8	3	21%	13%	97	+0.7
●Adam Frazier 2019 · MLB	27	56→66	45→50	45→50	52	270/332/403	133	302	10	9	14%	8%	110	+2.4	273/333/408	135	303	11	6	13%	7%	111	+2.5	285/346/410	126	315	9	6	12%	7%	113	+2.2
●Omar Narváez 2019 · MLB	27	54→55	44→50	38→30	58	261/344/377	115	305	11	2	18%	11%	108	+2.3	264/345/424	160	309	20	2	21%	10%	121	+3.2	264/345/421	157	307	21	0	20%	10%	117	+1.7
✕Larry Bigbie 2006 · MLB	28	53→56	47→50	47→50	49	260/321/397	137	316	15	10	22%	8%	104	+2.0	246/308/365	119	317	11	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	251/312/353	102	331	7	7	25%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Victor Caratini 2022 · MLB	28	49→58	45→50	46→40	52	240/321/360	120	295	14	5	23%	10%	95	+1.4	237/319/374	137	281	17	4	21%	9%	98	+1.6	255/326/387	132	291	18	1	18%	7%	102	+0.9
✕Jim Negrych 2013 · AAA	28	54→64	42→40	42→50	51	260/317/366	106	301	10	9	17%	8%	94	+1.3	250/302/350	100	299	9	8	18%	7%	83	+0.6	263/312/346	83	316	5	6	18%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Harold Castro 2022 · MLB	28	58→61	41→45	43→55	42	280/313/379	99	347	9	5	22%	5%	95	+1.4	257/289/356	99	316	8	4	21%	4%	79	+0.3	247/281/372	125	296	14	4	21%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Ben Gamel 2020 · MLB	28	56→63	45→50	49→50	51	267/342/400	133	344	10	9	24%	10%	113	+2.6	247/334/390	143	329	13	7	26%	11%	108	+2.3	235/330/374	138	308	13	7	26%	12%	99	+1.1
✕Terrence Long 2005 · MLB	29	53→58	46→50	45	49	259/309/398	139	287	13	6	15%	7%	98	+1.6	256/300/373	117	294	11	5	16%	6%	88	+0.9	254/296/360	105	292	10	2	16%	5%	80	+0.2
●Jesse Castillo 2011 · AAA	28	56→61	40→45	45→50	54	267/335/355	87	317	7	9	18%	9%	98	+1.6	270/319/377	107	322	11	6	18%	7%	97	+1.5	272/333/394	122	321	13	13	18%	8%	107	+1.8
●Daniel Nava 2011 · MLB	28	52→59	47→50	43→45	48	254/329/395	141	315	13	5	23%	8%	108	+2.3	243/327/374	131	295	12	7	21%	9%	101	+1.8	259/348/375	116	313	10	4	19%	9%	107	+1.8
✕Jack Hannahan 2008 · MLB	28	53→56	45	42→45	51	252/331/381	129	333	12	8	26%	10%	105	+2.1	224/303/350	126	296	12	5	26%	10%	85	+0.7	237/318/345	108	296	9	1	21%	10%	87	+0.4
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2017 · MLB	28	53→56	46→55	52→45	46	259/307/396	137	302	12	7	19%	6%	98	+1.6	265/325/427	162	313	16	8	20%	7%	113	+2.6	282/351/470	187	330	20	5	20%	8%	130	+1.4