Kyle Amendt

P Reno Aces

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 237 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #1024

ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX2 levels	10	12	0.00	1.18	53.2%	19.1%	—	K 53.2% · BB 19.1% · FIP 1.03
2024	24	MIX3 levels	43	44	2.86	1.92	40.3%	12.9%	—	K 32.6% · BB 12.7% · FIP 2.54
2025	25	AAAARI	27	30	3.03	2.63	31.8%	14.4%	—	K 27.4% · BB 13.0% · FIP 2.94
2027PROJ	27	MLBARI	57	60	4.22	4.22	28.0%	12.8%	0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBARI	24	25	4.28	4.32	27.4%	12.6%	0.1
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBARI	31	33	4.38	4.45	26.9%	12.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo60

CompsFernando Rodriguez Jr. (age 27) · Jon Edwards (age 27) · Jose Veras (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%28.0%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%15.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CMD3040

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	12	47	25	9	0	0%	1.2	53.2%	19.1%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.03	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	12	47	25	9	0	0%	1.2	53.2%	19.1%	34.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.18	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	32.6%	12.7%	19.8%	1.1%	2.86	2.54	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	32.6%	12.7%	19.8%	1.1%	2.86	2.54	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	44	186	75	24	2	0%	1.0	40.3%	12.9%	27.4%	1.1%	2.86	1.92	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	27.4%	13.0%	14.4%	0.9%	3.03	2.94	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	27.4%	13.0%	14.4%	0.9%	3.03	2.94	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	27	0	30	132	42	19	1	0%	1.1	31.8%	14.4%	17.4%	0.8%	3.03	2.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ARI	57	0	60	253	71	33	7	0%	1.1	28.0%	12.8%	15.2%	2.7%	4.22	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55	0	58	244	67	31	7	0%	1.0	27.4%	12.6%	14.8%	2.8%	4.28	4.32	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	52	0	55	233	63	29	7	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.38	4.45	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	24	0	25	106	29	13	3	0%	1.0	27.4%	12.6%	14.8%	2.8%	4.28	4.32	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	31	0	33	139	37	18	4	0%	1.1	26.9%	12.6%	14.3%	3.0%	4.38	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	65	30	7	0%	1.1	27.1%	12.6%	14.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.01	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	228	105	25	0%	1.1	27.1%	12.6%	14.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		80	0	86	365	122	50	3	0%	1.1	33.3%	13.6%	19.7%	0.9%	2.52	2.49	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	0	200	852	284	116	7	0%	1.1	33.3%	13.6%	19.7%	0.9%	2.52	2.49	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Amendt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	28.0%	12.8%	2.7%	—	4.38	27.1%	14.5%	113	+0.16	—	—	—
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	89
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	87
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	85
Zach Franklin R 2024 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	26.4%	10.9%	1.8%	.301	4.15	27.5%	18.3%	117	+0.91	3.24	158	85
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.80	21.7%	10.2%	69	+0.87	3.84	181	85
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	84
Ryan Garton R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	25.2%	11.3%	2.3%	.252	4.15	23.5%	10.8%	108	+0.48	3.14	307	84
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	84
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	83
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	83
Kiko Calero R 2003 · 3.54 FIP	28	SU	3.54	31.5%	11.1%	3.1%	.273	3.11	26.1%	18.9%	159	-0.43	2.27	298	82
Kyle Barraclough R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	26.6%	12.2%	1.8%	.282	4.99	24.5%	12.2%	89	+1.57	1.95	523	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	82
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Seth Simmons R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	27	SU	3.07	23.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.277	4.87	16.6%	7.6%	175	+1.80	3.07	251	81
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	80
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	27.4%	12.7%	1.10	4.29
Kyle Barraclough ('23)	1.4	56	28.2%	13.9%	0.99	3.86
Chad Fox ('09)	1.1	57	25.8%	13.2%	0.87	3.79
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Marshall Bridges ('59-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	49	26.7%*	12.3%*	0.88*	4.15*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*