Jadon Bercovich

P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	20	1	26	2.45	1.58	33.6%	10.3%	—	K 24.7% · BB 7.9% · FIP 2.01
2026	24	MIX2 levels	24	1	35	4.11	4.39	27.8%	8.9%	—	K 21.4% · BB 8.4% · FIP 5.87
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	15	0	16	4.46	4.46	22.4%	8.5%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTB	13	0	14	4.43	4.42	22.7%	8.5%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsKaleb Bowman (age 26) · Nolan Clenney (age 25) · Blake Goldsberry (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

K%22.4%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%14.0%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	24.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.0%	2.45	2.01	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	24.7%	7.9%	16.8%	0.0%	2.45	2.01	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	26	107	36	11	0	5%	1.3	33.6%	10.3%	23.4%	0.0%	2.45	1.58	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	35	158	44	14	7	4%	1.5	21.4%	8.4%	13.0%	6.4%	4.11	5.87	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	35	158	44	14	7	4%	1.5	21.4%	8.4%	13.0%	6.4%	4.11	5.87	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	1	35	158	44	14	7	4%	1.5	27.8%	8.9%	19.0%	4.4%	4.11	4.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	15	0	16	68	15	6	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.5%	14.0%	3.3%	4.46	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	30	0	32	133	30	11	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	4.43	4.42	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	13	0	14	59	13	5	2	0%	1.1	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	4.43	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	57	13	5	2	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	4.43	4.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	74	30	0%	1.1	22.7%	8.5%	14.2%	3.3%	4.43	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		44	2	61	265	60	22	10	5%	1.4	22.7%	8.2%	14.5%	3.8%	3.41	4.31	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	7	200	874	198	71	33	5%	1.4	22.7%	8.2%	14.5%	3.8%	3.41	4.31	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jadon Bercovich (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.46	22.4%	8.5%	3.3%	—	4.42	22.7%	14.2%	32	-0.04	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	89
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	88
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	88
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	88
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	88
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	88
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	87
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	86
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	85
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	85
Fernando Salas R 2010 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	21.8%	9.8%	3.2%	.276	3.29	23.5%	16.8%	162	-0.98	2.60	539	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	84
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	84
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	84
Edgmer Escalona R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	21.6%	6.2%	4.6%	.277	3.78	12.6%	6.9%	167	-0.78	3.26	316	84
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	84
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	83
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	83
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	82