Clayton Gray

OF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ACOL	15	.133/.133/.133	0	1	-64	—	.067/.067/.067
2025	23	ROKCOL	63	.271/.435/.292	0	3	48	—	.185/.290/.204
2026	24	A+COL	81	.221/.346/.412	2	2	59	—	.181/.272/.347
2026	24	ACOL	188	.316/.433/.432	3	4	92	—	.248/.337/.327
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBCOL	339	.202/.290/.301	5	6	70	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBCOL	82	.215/.302/.333	1	1	72	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%95

Z-Con%94

Speed89

Whiff%86

BB%83

ISO69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsShayne Fontana (age 25) · River Town (age 25) · Jacob Rhinesmith (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 238 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .288 / .298

PA238

HR3

K%28

BB%10

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	121	-64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	63	48	13	1	0	0	14	14	0	3	0	271	435	292	727	21	371	22	22	348	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	81	68	15	3	2	2	13	18	0	2	0	221	346	412	757	191	271	22	16	340	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	188	155	49	9	0	3	30	44	2	4	2	316	433	432	865	116	422	23	16	392	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	20	12	5	0	1	0	6	1	1	2	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	455	5	30	508	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	15	15	1	0	0	0	0	9	0	1	0	67	67	67	133		196	60	0	74	-64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	63	54	10	1	0	0	8	20	0	3	0	185	290	204	494	19	283	32	13	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	81	72	13	2	2	2	9	24	0	2	0	181	272	347	619	167	232	30	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	188	165	41	7	0	2	20	60	2	4	2	248	337	327	664	79	376	32	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	20	14	5	0	1	0	4	1	1	2	0	357	526	500	1.026	143	344	5	20	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	69	12	1	0	0	8	29	0	4	0	174	260	188	448	14	293	37	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	78	63	15	1	0	0	14	20	0	4	0	238	377	254	631	16	341	26	18	304	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	289	251	58	9	2	4	33	86	3	8	2	231	328	331	658	100	333	30	11	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	289	235	69	12	3	5	49	63	3	8	2	294	422	434	856	140	381	22	17	385	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	70	12	1	0	0	8	29	0	4	0	171	260	186	445	14	266	37	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	289	251	58	9	2	4	33	86	3	8	2	231	328	331	658	100	333	30	11	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	70	12	1	0	0	8	29	0	4	0	171	260	186	445	14	266	37	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	289	251	58	9	2	4	33	86	3	8	2	231	328	331	658	100	333	30	11	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	339	298	60	11	2	5	35	95	3	6	1	202	290	301	591	99	274	28	10	272	70	-12	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	274	242	49	9	2	4	28	76	2	5	1	204	292	308	600	104	275	28	10	275	72	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	82	73	16	3	1	1	8	23	1	1	0	215	302	333	635	118	289	28	10	288	72	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	73	16	3	1	1	8	23	1	1	0	219	305	329	634	110	306	28	10	288	72	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	127	24	8	8	63	182	8	8	0	219	305	330	634	111	306	28	10	288	72	-21	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	879	772	161	27	5	11	93	258	7	21	4	209	299	299	599	91	296	29	11	275	72	-18	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	119	20	4	8	69	191	5	16	3	208	299	299	599	91	296	29	11	275	72	-22	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	320	5	6	203	289	304	-2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	10	12	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Clayton Gray (OGILVIE)	25	32	36	48	60	200/288/298	98	274	3	4	28%	10%	70	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕River Town 2024 · A	25	44→38	42→40	54→50	49	216/299/317	102	268	10	18	22%	8%	78	-0.3	215/304/301	86	265	6	11	20%	9%	76	-0.4	191/302/252	61	231	2	5	16%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	42	42→45	50	46	208/268/315	106	256	9	11	22%	7%	65	-1.2	209/273/312	103	274	9	9	25%	7%	66	-1.1	207/276/325	118	263	10	8	24%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Anthony Seigler 2024 · AA	25	37→40	42→45	45→55	57	183/289/284	100	237	9	12	25%	12%	68	-1.0	214/304/334	120	266	10	22	22%	11%	84	+0.1	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA	25	42	42→45	49→45	48	206/272/311	106	256	9	8	23%	8%	65	-1.2	215/267/318	103	269	8	6	22%	6%	65	-1.2	213/262/313	100	267	8	3	23%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	38→39	41→45	46→45	43	188/268/289	101	255	8	7	28%	7%	60	-1.6	196/288/279	83	268	6	6	27%	9%	65	-1.2	176/280/248	72	240	5	3	26%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/280/303	107	288	12	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	187/282/293	106	278	11	11	34%	10%	67	-1.1	158/269/254	96	234	10	12	34%	11%	53	-1.0
✕Matt Higgins 2024 · A	25	44→42	45	48→50	41	217/284/339	122	305	12	8	32%	7%	77	-0.3	214/282/308	94	303	9	8	30%	8%	69	-0.9	207/280/278	72	292	7	8	29%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→42	41→45	46→45	45	213/276/315	102	269	8	7	23%	7%	68	-1.0	222/282/335	113	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/340	119	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	205/268/307	102	282	8	19	28%	7%	63	-1.3	191/255/287	97	258	7	25	27%	7%	51	-1.7
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	208/268/304	97	296	7	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	191/262/306	115	264	10	17	30%	8%	61	-1.5	174/250/289	115	235	10	18	29%	8%	50	-1.2

Clayton Gray

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps