Deylen Miley prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Deylen Miley P Asheville Tourists

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%22.9%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP61

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	5	1	13	57	24	5	0	20%	2.6	28.6%	11.0%	17.7%	0.0%	2.08	2.07	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	5	1	13	57	24	5	0	20%	2.6	42.1%	8.8%	33.3%	0.0%	2.08	0.56	—
2022	24	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	15	83	378	111	59	5	62%	3.5	21.7%	18.4%	3.3%	1.8%	4.64	4.59	—
2022	24	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	24	15	83	378	111	59	5	62%	3.5	29.4%	15.6%	13.8%	1.3%	4.64	3.34	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	25	13	88	414	120	63	14	52%	3.5	22.3%	17.5%	4.8%	3.5%	5.81	5.34	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	25	13	88	414	120	63	14	52%	3.5	22.3%	17.5%	4.8%	3.5%	5.81	5.34	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	25	13	88	414	120	63	14	52%	3.5	29.0%	15.2%	13.8%	3.4%	5.81	4.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	14.1%	8.8%	3.0%	4.99	4.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	HOU	9	9	58	247	56	34	8	100%	6.5	22.7%	13.8%	8.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.06	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	9	9	55	232	52	32	8	100%	6.1	22.4%	13.8%	8.6%	3.4%	5.08	5.18	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	HOU	3	3	18	76	17	11	2	100%	6.0	22.7%	13.8%	8.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.06	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	4	4	28	118	27	16	4	100%	7.0	22.4%	13.8%	8.6%	3.4%	5.08	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	7	45	192	43	27	6	100%	6.5	22.5%	13.8%	8.7%	3.3%	5.05	4.75	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	189	119	26	100%	6.4	22.5%	13.8%	8.7%	3.3%	5.05	4.75	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		54	29	185	849	191	148	21	54%	3.4	22.5%	17.5%	5.0%	2.5%	5.02	4.79	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	31	200	919	207	161	23	54%	3.4	22.5%	17.5%	5.0%	2.5%	5.02	4.79	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deylen Miley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	22.9%	14.1%	3.0%	—	5.12	22.6%	8.8%	113	+0.13	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	73
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	71
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	242	71
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	69
Jefry Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.4%	13.5%	3.4%	.287	4.58	19.8%	6.8%	64	-0.45	3.30	578	69
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	68
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	68
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	67
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	65
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	65
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	65
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	64
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	64
Garrett Mock R 2009 · 4.06 FIP	26	SP-	4.06	17.1%	9.7%	2.1%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	132	64
Kaleb Roper R 2022 · 5.67 FIP	26	SW	5.67	17.3%	11.8%	4.6%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	146	64
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	64
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	64
Riley Thompson R 2023 · 5.76 FIP	27	SP-	5.76	18.5%	12.9%	4.7%	.284	4.48	17.6%	8.7%	107	-1.28	4.48	340	63
Luke Farrell R 2018 · 4.25 FIP	27	SW	4.25	24.9%	11.7%	3.2%	.269	4.62	22.1%	10.6%	25	+0.37	3.69	584	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	22.7%	13.9%	1.23	5.02
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32