Blake Wright — OGILVIE

Blake Wright3B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .273 / .338

PA28

HR0

K%23

BB%5

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	63	17	6	0	2	6	9	2	1	0	270	352	460	812	190	278	12	8	352	124	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	232	212	54	17	1	7	10	38	5	2	0	255	304	443	747	189	278	16	4	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	288	246	73	7	1	3	31	41	1	10	7	297	378	370	748	73	337	14	11	331	110	+3	-1	—	—	+6	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	65	15	5	0	2	4	12	2	1	0	231	296	400	696	169	228	16	5	288	81	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	232	216	43	13	1	6	6	53	5	2	0	199	238	352	590	153	221	23	3	242	50	-14	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	288	257	66	6	1	3	20	58	1	10	7	257	313	323	636	66	293	20	7	277	74	-9	-1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	65	15	5	0	2	4	12	2	1	0	231	296	400	696	169	245	16	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	63	17	6	0	2	6	9	2	1	0	270	352	460	812	190	278	12	8	352	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	520	473	108	18	2	9	26	110	6	12	7	228	277	332	609	104	273	21	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	520	458	127	24	2	10	41	79	6	12	7	277	345	404	748	127	310	15	8	327	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	67	15	5	0	2	4	12	2	1	0	224	296	388	684	164	228	16	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	520	483	108	18	2	9	26	110	6	12	7	224	277	325	602	101	261	21	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	67	15	5	0	2	4	12	2	1	0	224	296	388	684	164	228	16	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	520	483	108	18	2	9	26	110	6	12	7	224	277	325	602	101	261	21	5	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	COL	0%	28	27	5	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	185	214	222	437	37	284	21	4	275	73	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	30%	370	343	80	16	2	7	20	85	4	7	2	233	283	353	636	120	285	23	5	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	44%	407	377	87	17	2	8	23	93	4	7	2	231	282	350	632	119	285	23	6	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	49%	420	387	91	18	2	9	25	96	5	8	3	235	290	362	652	127	285	23	6	288	81	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	51%	425	391	91	18	2	9	26	98	5	8	3	233	289	358	647	125	285	23	6	288	81	-10	+0	-1	+2	+9	0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	51%	420	386	90	18	2	9	26	97	5	7	2	233	290	360	650	127	284	23	6	286	80	-10	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	51%	414	382	87	17	2	8	25	97	4	7	2	228	282	346	628	118	283	23	6	283	78	-11	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	30%	111	103	25	5	1	2	6	25	1	2	1	243	291	369	660	126	300	23	5	291	77	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	44%	180	166	40	8	1	4	10	41	2	3	1	241	292	373	666	133	301	23	6	295	80	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	49%	206	190	47	10	1	5	12	47	2	4	1	247	299	389	688	142	301	23	6	297	81	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	51%	219	202	49	10	1	5	13	50	2	4	1	243	295	376	671	134	300	23	6	297	81	-5	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	51%	216	199	48	10	1	5	13	50	2	4	1	241	294	377	671	136	299	23	6	295	80	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	51%	213	196	48	10	1	5	13	50	2	4	1	245	299	383	681	138	298	23	6	291	78	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1145	1056	257	53	6	26	67	263	11	21	6	243	295	379	674	135	299	23	6	295	77	-28	+2	-2	+4	+25	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	146	30	3	15	38	149	6	12	3	244	295	379	674	135	299	23	6	295	77	-16	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3077	2831	654	128	14	61	176	694	35	57	21	231	284	351	635	120	283	23	6	282	77	-61	+3	-4	+9	+54	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	138	27	3	13	37	147	7	12	4	231	283	351	635	120	282	23	6	282	77	-16	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.2	1,465	29	26	232	281	353	+5	+2	0.9	0.9
/162	664	13	12	+2.4	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Wright (OGILVIE)	24	55	25	50	40	227/273/338	111	284	6	5	23%	5%	73	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yolbert Sanchez 2021 · A	24	46→56	40→30	46→45	48	218/276/314	95	261	7	7	19%	7%	68	-1.0	253/290/324	71	305	6	8	18%	5%	74	-0.5	260/297/316	57	315	5	8	18%	4%	71	-0.6
✕John Valente 2019 · A	24	50	39→40	45→50	42	240/267/327	88	273	6	12	15%	3%	66	-1.1	244/286/313	69	281	3	11	14%	5%	70	-0.9	262/308/334	72	297	3	17	12%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Matt Cline 2010 · A	24	49→57	37→30	49→50	47	230/290/304	73	269	5	11	16%	6%	70	-0.8	231/304/297	66	283	2	9	18%	7%	74	-0.5	226/301/281	55	278	1	7	17%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Javier Castillo 2008 · A	24	47→54	42→45	46→45	40	227/271/337	110	295	9	8	26%	5%	70	-0.8	234/276/340	106	301	7	5	23%	5%	73	-0.6	236/277/341	105	301	6	2	23%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Brandon Sandoval 2018 · A	23	53→59	39→30	47→50	43	249/294/335	86	318	6	9	23%	6%	78	-0.3	243/286/307	64	332	4	16	26%	5%	68	-1.0	248/289/297	48	342	3	20	27%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Shaun Boyd 2006 · AA	24	51→53	39→40	46→50	44	243/288/328	85	302	7	11	22%	6%	74	-0.5	226/283/317	91	275	8	12	20%	6%	71	-0.8	219/282/290	71	262	4	16	17%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Stephen Alemais 2018 · A	23	45→54	40	47→50	41	216/264/311	95	285	7	12	26%	6%	62	-1.4	234/285/306	72	298	4	14	21%	6%	68	-1.0	250/304/308	59	309	1	16	18%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Perez 2014 · A	23	45	43→30	50	40	221/266/337	115	282	10	9	25%	5%	69	-0.9	217/258/327	110	311	9	6	32%	5%	63	-1.4	214/240/341	128	302	11	2	32%	3%	57	-0.5
✕Kevin Russo 2008 · A	24	48→58	38→40	50	41	228/269/309	81	285	4	15	21%	4%	63	-1.4	250/296/329	79	309	4	14	19%	5%	78	-0.3	255/307/326	72	312	3	14	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA	24	49→54	42→45	48→50	39	235/285/341	106	308	8	11	26%	5%	77	-0.3	221/275/335	114	286	10	9	25%	6%	72	-0.7	226/285/361	135	290	12	5	25%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Dean 2016 · A	24	48	39→40	47→50	45	228/290/312	85	285	6	10	22%	6%	72	-0.7	218/288/313	95	300	9	9	28%	8%	72	-0.7	178/274/252	74	252	12	8	32%	10%	51	-0.5
✕Nelson Maldonado 2021 · A	24	47	40→45	52→40	42	227/266/324	97	285	7	7	23%	5%	65	-1.2	237/286/359	122	303	11	5	24%	6%	81	-0.1	227/282/352	125	288	11	4	24%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	46	42→45	49→50	42	224/280/330	106	275	9	14	22%	5%	73	-0.6	231/295/337	106	282	9	9	21%	6%	80	-0.1	248/319/355	107	294	9	3	18%	6%	92	+0.3
✕Kramer Robertson 2018 · A	23	47→51	40	48→55	46	225/285/316	91	275	7	12	21%	6%	72	-0.7	218/296/309	91	263	6	12	19%	8%	75	-0.5	202/301/303	101	256	10	19	23%	10%	73	-0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2016 · A	24	45→52	41→45	46→55	42	216/273/320	104	285	7	13	26%	6%	68	-1.0	216/297/336	120	289	10	20	27%	8%	81	-0.1	219/301/335	116	286	10	22	25%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA	24	45→55	41→45	49→55	45	215/279/319	104	287	8	15	27%	7%	70	-0.8	218/292/347	129	321	14	13	34%	9%	82	-0.0	213/291/342	129	316	14	13	34%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Zach Shank 2015 · A	24	47→54	41→45	50→45	42	226/276/333	107	275	8	8	21%	5%	72	-0.7	224/275/311	87	292	4	8	24%	5%	65	-1.2	216/268/291	75	290	2	8	25%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→47	43→40	44→45	48	235/296/337	102	285	12	7	22%	8%	80	-0.1	223/287/304	81	281	8	9	22%	7%	70	-0.9	216/285/284	68	272	7	8	22%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Collin Radack 2016 · A	24	50→52	37→30	48→50	42	234/302/302	68	318	4	11	26%	6%	75	-0.5	230/293/296	66	319	4	11	27%	6%	70	-0.9	237/298/258	21	335	0	11	27%	7%	59	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps