Blake Wright — OGILVIE

Blake Wright3B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .272 / .341

PA320

HR6

SB5

K%23

BB%5

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	65	14	4	0	2	4	12	2	1	0	215	282	369	651	154	226	16	5	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	63	17	6	0	2	6	9	2	1	0	270	352	460	812	190	278	12	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	520	475	105	18	2	9	24	113	6	12	7	221	267	324	592	103	266	22	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	520	458	127	24	2	10	41	79	6	12	7	277	345	404	748	127	310	15	8	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	COL	—	320	299	69	14	2	6	15	74	3	5	2	231	274	351	626	120	283	23	5	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	562	522	121	24	3	11	29	129	6	10	3	232	280	352	633	121	284	23	5	282	74	-16	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.2
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	577	534	125	25	3	12	32	133	6	10	3	234	285	360	645	125	285	23	6	286	77	-15	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.4
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	582	538	126	25	3	13	33	134	6	11	4	234	286	364	650	130	285	23	6	288	79	-14	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.5
2030	28	MLB	COL	51%	581	536	125	25	3	12	34	135	6	10	3	233	286	358	645	125	285	23	6	288	78	-14	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.5
2031	29	MLB	COL	51%	576	531	123	24	3	12	34	134	6	10	3	232	285	356	641	124	284	23	6	286	77	-15	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.3
2032	30	MLB	COL	56%	569	524	120	24	2	12	34	134	6	10	3	229	284	351	635	122	283	24	6	283	75	-16	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.1
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	169	156	39	8	1	4	9	39	2	3	1	250	299	391	690	141	306	23	5	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	255	236	59	12	1	6	14	59	3	5	2	250	300	386	686	136	307	23	5	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	285	264	66	14	1	7	16	66	3	5	2	250	300	390	691	140	307	23	6	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.6
2030	28	MLB	COL	51%	299	276	68	14	1	7	18	69	3	5	2	246	300	380	680	134	307	23	6	301	89	-4	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.6
2031	29	MLB	COL	51%	297	274	68	14	1	7	18	69	3	5	2	248	302	383	685	135	306	23	6	299	87	-4	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2032	30	MLB	COL	56%	317	292	71	15	1	7	19	75	3	5	2	243	296	373	669	130	304	24	6	296	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1622	1498	371	77	6	38	94	377	17	28	11	248	300	383	683	136	306	23	6	299	87	-24	+1	-2	+6	+46	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	148	31	2	15	38	151	7	11	4	247	299	380	679	133	304	23	6	299	87	-10	+1	-1	+2	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4360	4024	928	183	21	89	239	998	47	79	28	231	282	353	635	122	283	23	5	281	73	-131	+5	-4	+16	+124	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	138	27	3	13	36	149	7	12	4	230	281	350	631	120	283	23	6	281	73	-20	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	73	63	17	6	0	2	6	9	2	1	0	270	352	460	812	190	278	12	8	352	127	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	232	212	54	17	1	7	10	38	5	2	0	255	304	443	747	189	278	16	4	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	288	246	73	7	1	3	31	41	1	10	7	297	378	370	748	73	337	14	11	331	111	+4	-1	—	—	+8	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,941	40	34	232	281	355	+7	+2	0.8	0.9
	/162	664	14	12	232	281	355	+2.4	+0.7	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Wright (OGILVIE)	24	55	25	50	40	227/272/341	113	283	6	5	23%	5%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yolbert Sanchez 2021 · A	24	46→56	40→30	46→45	48	218/276/314	95	261	7	7	19%	7%	63	-0.8	251/287/325	74	304	6	8	19%	4%	69	-0.4	263/298/313	50	326	2	8	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Luis Perez 2014 · A	23	45	43→30	50	40	221/266/337	115	282	10	9	25%	5%	65	-0.7	218/258/328	110	309	8	6	31%	5%	59	-1.1	217/244/350	132	302	10	2	31%	3%	54	-0.4
✕Calten Daal 2019 · AA	25	50→56	41→30	51→50	41	239/285/337	98	315	8	12	26%	6%	72	-0.2	241/271/308	67	324	4	10	25%	4%	58	-1.2	266/284/303	38	356	0	8	25%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Shaun Boyd 2006 · AA	24	50→52	40	46→50	43	242/287/330	89	304	8	11	23%	6%	72	-0.2	226/282/320	94	277	8	12	20%	6%	67	-0.5	218/281/291	73	263	4	16	18%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Javier Castillo 2008 · A	24	47→54	42→45	46→45	40	227/271/337	110	295	9	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	234/276/344	110	301	8	5	24%	5%	70	-0.3	236/277/347	111	302	8	2	24%	5%	69	-0.3
✕John Valente 2019 · A	24	50	39→40	45→50	42	239/266/326	87	272	6	12	15%	3%	61	-1.0	243/285/314	71	280	4	11	14%	5%	66	-0.6	260/307/334	74	294	3	17	12%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	48→50	39	234/284/347	113	306	10	11	26%	4%	75	-0.0	221/276/345	124	287	11	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	229/288/384	155	293	15	5	26%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→51	40	49→50	45	222/290/309	87	298	7	11	27%	8%	69	-0.4	218/290/303	85	301	7	14	28%	8%	67	-0.5	216/292/293	76	294	6	16	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	46→44	44→40	49→50	42	223/302/343	120	303	11	11	28%	6%	83	+0.6	215/302/318	103	314	9	18	32%	8%	77	+0.1	198/295/280	82	307	7	24	34%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Matt Cline 2010 · A	24	49→57	37→30	49→50	47	230/290/304	73	269	5	11	16%	6%	66	-0.6	228/299/296	68	280	3	9	18%	7%	69	-0.4	221/294/279	58	274	2	7	18%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Jimmy Mojica 2008 · A	24	51	40	54→50	42	243/290/337	93	307	6	15	22%	5%	74	-0.1	219/285/315	96	278	8	11	23%	8%	67	-0.5	203/296/287	84	260	8	6	23%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Alsander Womack 2023 · A	24	48→43	43→40	44→45	47	238/297/340	103	293	12	7	23%	7%	79	+0.3	217/281/301	84	281	9	9	24%	7%	63	-0.9	205/273/275	71	264	8	8	24%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Ryan Howard 2018 · A	24	52→55	40	46→45	41	253/286/336	82	301	8	6	19%	4%	72	-0.2	229/270/324	95	277	7	8	19%	5%	63	-0.9	219/262/315	96	264	7	7	19%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Ethan Skender 2021 · A	24	45	42→40	48→50	42	221/276/324	102	288	9	9	26%	6%	66	-0.6	214/279/299	85	313	5	10	31%	6%	61	-1.0	209/279/293	83	323	5	7	34%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Brian Cleveland 2006 · A	24	48→49	41→40	49→50	40	234/273/328	94	283	8	13	20%	4%	65	-0.7	219/263/301	82	279	6	10	23%	4%	53	-1.5	208/251/271	63	268	3	8	22%	4%	38	-1.8
✕Nick Dean 2016 · A	24	47	39→40	47→50	45	227/288/311	85	282	6	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	218/288/314	96	299	9	9	28%	8%	69	-0.4	182/277/259	77	259	12	8	32%	10%	47	-0.4
✕Zach Shank 2015 · A	24	47→56	41→45	50→45	42	225/275/329	104	277	7	8	21%	5%	66	-0.6	227/277/316	89	298	4	8	24%	5%	63	-0.8	222/273/302	81	298	3	8	25%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	47	40	56→50	43	224/280/314	90	282	7	12	22%	6%	65	-0.7	220/281/301	81	284	5	9	23%	6%	62	-0.9	215/280/285	69	278	3	8	22%	7%	54	-0.6
✕Tyler Smith 2014 · A	23	49→54	39→40	50	44	230/289/323	93	288	5	11	21%	6%	71	-0.3	238/302/328	90	309	6	9	23%	8%	78	+0.2	241/302/328	87	309	6	8	23%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Brandon Sandoval 2018 · A	23	53→58	39→30	48→50	43	252/298/339	87	322	6	9	23%	6%	78	+0.2	238/280/302	64	331	4	16	28%	5%	61	-1.0	238/279/287	49	335	3	20	28%	5%	54	-0.9