Grayson Hitt — OGILVIE

Grayson Hitt P Visalia Rawhide

Age 25 LHP 6'3" / 210 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133141vR 150

ERA6.13

FIP6.13

K%16.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.1%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	6	5	6	34	9	11	1	83%	1.0	26.5%	32.4%	-5.9%	2.9%	15.00	6.58	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	6	5	6	34	9	11	1	83%	1.0	26.5%	32.4%	-5.9%	2.9%	15.00	6.58	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	6	5	6	34	9	11	1	83%	1.0	26.5%	32.4%	-5.9%	2.9%	15.00	7.77	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	65	317	74	54	2	19%	2.1	17.5%	19.5%	-1.9%	0.7%	4.31	4.47	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	6	65	317	74	54	2	19%	2.1	17.5%	19.5%	-1.9%	0.7%	4.31	4.47	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	6	65	317	74	54	2	19%	2.1	23.3%	17.0%	6.3%	0.6%	4.31	3.72	—
2026	24	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	14	0	16	94	21	26	2	0%	1.2	16.5%	32.6%	-16.1%	2.8%	7.16	7.36	—
2026	24	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	14	0	16	94	21	26	2	0%	1.2	16.5%	32.6%	-16.1%	2.8%	7.16	7.36	—
2026	24	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	14	0	16	94	21	26	2	0%	1.2	22.3%	27.7%	-5.3%	2.1%	7.16	6.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	57	0	60	253	43	51	7	0%	1.1	16.9%	20.0%	-3.1%	2.8%	6.13	6.13	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	57	0	60	251	45	47	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	18.9%	-1.0%	2.8%	5.93	5.92	-0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	56	0	59	247	45	45	7	0%	1.0	18.3%	18.2%	0.0%	2.9%	5.83	5.84	-0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	24	0	25	106	19	20	3	0%	1.0	17.9%	18.9%	-1.0%	2.8%	5.93	5.92	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	35	0	37	156	29	28	5	0%	1.1	18.3%	18.2%	0.0%	2.9%	5.83	5.84	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	263	48	49	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	18.5%	-0.4%	2.9%	5.87	5.49	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	158	26	0%	1.1	18.1%	18.5%	-0.4%	2.9%	5.87	5.49	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		51	11	87	445	80	103	6	22%	1.7	18.0%	23.2%	-5.2%	1.3%	5.59	5.24	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	25	200	1023	184	238	13	22%	1.7	18.0%	23.2%	-5.2%	1.3%	5.59	5.24	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grayson Hitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.13	16.9%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.88	18.1%	-0.5%	118	-0.25	—	—	—
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	84
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	81
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	81
Matt Mikulski L 2024 · 6.18 FIP	25	SU	6.18	15.3%	17.1%	4.0%	.275	4.98	19.5%	-8.3%	18	-1.20	4.92	223	81
Anderson Polanco L 2018 · 5.95 FIP	25	SW	5.95	19.9%	20.9%	3.4%	.298	5.09	18.9%	2.6%	47	-0.86	4.10	316	80
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	80
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	79
Sean Keselica L 2018 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	15.9%	18.5%	2.2%	.226	4.47	18.0%	3.5%	52	-0.86	2.79	235	79
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	79
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	78
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	78
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	77
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	77
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	76
R.C. Orlan L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	25	SU	5.25	14.8%	20.2%	1.5%	.243	4.48	18.2%	9.9%	81	-0.77	1.71	206	76
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	76
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.82	14.5%	3.2%	142	-0.92	3.41	239	74
Estevan Gonzalez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SU	5.21	12.1%	13.3%	2.6%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	195	73
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	314	73
Josh D. Smith L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	11.5%	17.1%	1.8%	.258	3.94	19.9%	8.2%	222	-1.34	3.17	335	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	17.7%	19.0%	1.10	5.96
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52