Jack Costello

3B Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	A+SD	439	.220/.298/.342	10	10	38	—	.174/.241/.266
2026	25	AASD	93	.261/.293/.364	2	2	52	—	.236/.261/.337
2026	25	A+SD	340	.233/.344/.441	13	7	70	—	.190/.279/.347
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBSD	1	.211/.275/.339	0	0	75	-0.0
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBSD	70	.211/.276/.339	2	1	75	-0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB	28	MLBSD	126	.211/.276/.338	3	2	75	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%94

K%93

Whiff%90

wRC+29

wOBA26

ISO22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsXavier Fernández (age 26) · Quincy McAfee (age 26) · T.J. White (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .275 / .339

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%6

BABIP247

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	93	88	23	3	0	2	3	14	1	2	0	261	293	364	657	102	292	15	3	292	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	340	288	67	17	2	13	38	60	11	7	4	233	344	441	785	208	249	18	11	348	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	26	4	1	5	10	11	4	2	1	245	333	443	777	198	225	9	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	403	70	13	0	8	18	97	18	10	1	174	241	266	507	92	206	22	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	93	89	21	3	0	2	2	17	1	2	0	236	261	337	598	101	266	18	2	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	340	300	57	13	2	10	26	76	11	7	4	190	279	347	626	157	211	22	8	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	26	4	1	5	10	11	4	2	1	245	333	443	777	198	231	9	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	102	29	5	1	6	14	8	4	2	1	284	392	529	921	245	258	7	12	402	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	403	70	13	0	8	18	97	18	10	1	174	241	266	507	92	208	22	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	395	87	18	0	10	26	76	18	10	1	220	298	342	640	122	249	17	6	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	389	78	16	2	12	28	93	12	9	4	201	275	344	620	144	231	21	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	433	376	90	20	2	15	41	74	12	9	4	239	333	423	756	184	260	17	9	336	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	26	4	1	5	10	11	4	2	1	245	333	443	777	198	225	9	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	400	70	13	0	8	18	97	18	10	1	175	241	268	509	93	206	22	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	390	78	16	2	12	28	93	12	9	4	200	275	344	619	144	223	21	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	121	106	26	4	1	5	10	11	4	2	1	245	333	443	777	198	225	9	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	439	400	70	13	0	8	18	97	18	10	1	175	241	268	509	93	206	22	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	390	78	16	2	12	28	93	12	9	4	200	275	344	619	144	223	21	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	0%	380	347	74	15	1	9	21	82	9	6	2	214	278	343	621	129	252	22	6	279	75	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	211	275	339	614	128	247	0	0	276	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	26%	269	246	52	10	1	6	15	59	6	4	1	215	279	343	622	129	253	22	6	280	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	39%	319	290	62	12	1	8	19	70	7	4	1	214	279	342	621	128	254	22	6	279	75	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	44%	344	312	67	13	1	8	21	77	8	4	1	213	278	339	617	125	254	22	6	278	74	-11	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	SD	47%	359	326	69	14	1	8	22	81	8	3	2	212	276	334	611	122	254	23	6	275	72	-12	-0	-2	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	26%	70	64	14	3	0	2	4	15	2	1	0	211	276	339	615	128	248	21	6	277	75	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	39%	126	115	24	5	0	3	7	28	3	2	1	211	276	338	614	127	249	22	6	276	75	-4	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	44%	153	140	29	5	0	4	9	34	3	2	1	210	275	335	610	124	249	22	6	275	74	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	SD	47%	170	154	32	6	0	4	10	38	4	2	1	209	273	330	603	121	249	22	6	272	72	-6	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	519	473	99	19	0	13	30	115	12	7	3	209	274	332	606	123	247	22	6	274	68	-16	+0	-2	+2	+11	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	124	24	0	16	38	144	15	9	4	209	274	331	605	122	248	22	6	274	68	-20	+0	-2	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2534	2300	473	92	8	61	147	542	69	40	12	206	274	332	606	127	241	21	6	269	68	-47	+1	-4	+6	+33	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	122	24	2	16	38	139	18	10	3	207	276	336	612	129	242	21	6	269	68	-20	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	520	12	6	214	276	340	+2	+1	0.0	0.0
/162	664	15	8	+2.4	+1.3	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Doug Strange'89-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,067 PA	3.1	2,067	31	14	225*	286*	340*	+5	-0	-1.5	0.0
/162	664	10	4	+1.6	-0.1	-0.5	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Costello (OGILVIE)	26	40	35	45	25	212/276/340	128	252	6	4	22%	6%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Xavier Fernández 2021 · AAA	26	45	46→45	45→40	44	228/273/358	130	263	14	7	20%	5%	76	-0.4	230/279/347	117	278	13	5	22%	6%	76	-0.4	233/283/351	119	276	13	2	20%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕T.J. White 2018 · AA	26	44→45	44→45	47→45	43	217/278/338	122	274	11	7	24%	6%	74	-0.5	209/266/333	124	280	13	7	29%	6%	69	-0.9	141/190/231	90	190	12	3	33%	3%	14	-1.2
✕Adam Fox 2008 · AAA	26	46→43	44→45	45	44	227/275/344	117	268	11	8	20%	6%	74	-0.6	207/257/327	120	257	13	8	24%	5%	63	-1.3	185/228/313	128	224	15	7	25%	4%	47	-1.2
✕Donny Sands 2022 · AAA	26	44	48→45	44→40	45	225/275/362	138	258	16	5	21%	6%	78	-0.3	228/290/335	107	289	11	4	23%	8%	78	-0.3	224/293/314	91	292	8	2	24%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA	26	38	45→50	43→30	40	196/253/315	119	254	12	5	28%	6%	60	-1.6	197/253/329	132	247	16	4	27%	6%	63	-1.3	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	49→45	39	205/249/332	127	254	13	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	206/259/316	110	259	11	9	24%	5%	62	-1.4	184/239/269	86	224	9	6	22%	4%	41	-1.2
✕Devlin Granberg 2022 · AA	26	46→44	49→45	48→45	41	236/288/385	149	284	17	7	23%	5%	89	+0.5	237/301/360	123	297	10	10	23%	6%	88	+0.4	239/314/343	104	308	5	11	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Addison Maruszak 2013 · AA	26	47	45	41→45	45	233/283/358	125	279	13	5	22%	6%	80	-0.1	223/275/330	107	281	9	5	23%	6%	70	-0.8	220/277/314	94	272	6	0	20%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2011 · AA	26	45→44	43→45	47→45	44	222/277/338	116	273	10	8	22%	6%	74	-0.6	208/279/308	100	251	8	9	20%	7%	68	-1.0	184/266/264	80	220	6	8	18%	7%	51	-0.8
✕Davis Stoneburner 2011 · AA	26	45→48	45	50	41	226/275/353	127	284	12	11	25%	5%	76	-0.4	213/268/314	101	277	7	14	25%	5%	64	-1.3	204/259/291	87	267	4	16	24%	5%	53	-1.5
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	41	207/270/342	135	258	15	9	26%	5%	73	-0.6	210/287/332	122	250	14	8	22%	7%	78	-0.3	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Sean Jamieson 2015 · AA	26	47→44	43→45	47→50	44	230/286/347	117	294	9	10	24%	6%	79	-0.2	224/283/315	91	318	7	9	30%	7%	70	-0.8	211/278/284	72	314	6	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Neil Wilson 2010 · AAA	26	45	44→45	45→40	42	223/263/338	114	264	11	5	21%	5%	68	-1.0	218/273/345	127	280	14	6	26%	6%	74	-0.6	185/247/331	146	225	19	0	28%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Billy Fleming 2019 · AAA	26	48	44→45	46→40	43	234/278/353	118	279	11	5	20%	5%	77	-0.3	228/283/341	113	315	11	6	29%	6%	76	-0.4	214/277/308	94	323	10	0	35%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Patrick Brady 2014 · AA	26	45	45	44→45	44	226/274/349	123	274	12	9	22%	6%	75	-0.5	211/257/326	115	286	11	10	29%	6%	63	-1.4	197/246/300	103	278	8	11	31%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Jake Noll 2020 · AAA	26	47→51	43→45	46→45	39	235/271/340	106	289	12	7	23%	4%	71	-0.8	238/276/357	119	290	12	7	22%	4%	78	-0.3	224/266/351	127	267	12	5	21%	4%	69	-0.6
✕Adam Abraham 2013 · AA	26	43→45	46→45	41→40	45	219/281/353	134	277	13	4	26%	7%	79	-0.2	223/280/330	107	287	10	5	24%	7%	73	-0.6	220/274/300	80	285	7	1	24%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Jose Luna 2019 · AAA	26	47	42→40	47→45	40	233/271/338	105	284	10	9	22%	4%	71	-0.8	215/266/334	119	290	12	8	29%	5%	69	-0.9	179/224/279	100	242	9	0	29%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Alex De Goti 2021 · AAA	26	47→48	46→45	43→50	44	233/286/361	129	285	13	7	23%	6%	82	+0.0	209/280/310	101	281	8	8	26%	8%	69	-0.9	196/276/272	76	261	5	10	25%	9%	56	-1.1

Jack Costello

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps