Colton Vincent

C ACL Padres

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	ASD	150	.179/.262/.201	0	1	5	—	.146/.215/.161
2026	26	ROKSD	61	.413/.518/.630	1	3	120	—	.327/.411/.510
2027PROJ0% MLB	27	MLBSD	200	.196/.256/.265	1	3	48	-0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB	28	MLBSD	30	.193/.254/.261	0	0	49	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+98

wOBA97

Speed92

ISO87

K%58

Z-Con%54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLyle Lin (age 27) · Connor Justus (age 26) · Pat Cantwell (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .254 / .262

PA76

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	16	13	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	308	438	308	745		400	19	12	359	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	58	14	4	2	0	8	16	1	0	0	241	343	379	723	138	333	24	12	327	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	ACL Padres	—	154	131	42	13	1	0	12	29	6	3	0	321	403	435	838	115	396	19	8	366	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	134	24	3	0	0	11	28	4	1	0	179	262	201	463	22	224	19	7	223	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK	ACL Padres	—	61	46	19	3	2	1	8	12	2	3	0	413	518	630	1.148	217	529	20	13	459	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	16	14	4	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	286	375	286	661		365	25	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	67	60	10	3	1	0	6	22	1	0	0	167	254	250	504	83	274	33	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	154	136	31	9	1	0	7	42	6	3	0	228	295	309	604	81	294	27	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	137	20	2	0	0	8	40	4	1	0	146	215	161	375	15	200	27	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	61	49	16	2	2	1	5	17	2	3	0	327	411	510	921	184	392	28	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	237	210	45	11	2	0	14	68	8	3	0	214	289	286	575	71	308	29	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	237	202	60	17	3	0	22	48	8	3	0	297	388	411	799	114	380	20	9	355	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	137	20	2	0	0	8	40	4	1	0	146	215	161	375	15	204	27	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	134	24	3	0	0	11	28	4	1	0	179	262	201	463	22	224	19	7	223	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	61	49	16	2	2	1	5	17	2	3	0	327	411	510	921	184	469	28	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	61	46	19	3	2	1	8	12	2	3	0	413	518	630	1.148	217	529	20	13	459	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	237	213	45	11	2	0	14	68	8	3	0	211	289	282	570	70	293	29	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	137	20	2	0	0	8	40	4	1	0	146	215	161	375	15	200	27	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	61	54	16	2	2	1	5	17	2	3	0	296	411	463	874	167	392	28	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	237	213	45	11	2	0	14	68	8	3	0	211	289	282	570	70	293	29	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	150	137	20	2	0	0	8	40	4	1	0	146	215	161	375	15	200	27	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	61	54	16	2	2	1	5	17	2	3	0	296	411	463	874	167	392	28	8	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	0%	200	183	36	7	1	1	12	53	3	3	1	196	256	265	521	68	268	26	6	239	48	-12	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	26%	116	106	22	4	1	1	7	31	2	1	0	197	258	267	525	70	268	27	6	241	49	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	26%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	193	254	261	516	68	263	27	7	237	49	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	179	233	214	448	36	250	27	7	237	48	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	109	22	0	0	43	173	0	0	0	180	234	216	450	36	251	27	7	237	48	-39	+0	-4	+12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	640	572	116	22	5	2	39	176	17	9	0	203	274	269	543	66	284	28	6	240	48	-12	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	117	22	5	2	40	179	17	9	0	201	273	267	540	65	283	28	6	240	48	-40	+1	-2	+12	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colton Vincent (OGILVIE)	27	30	20	40	30	195/254/262	68	268	0	1	27%	6%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lyle Lin 2024 · AA	27	41	36→30	44→40	41	192/260/254	62	277	4	4	30%	6%	48	-2.5	217/284/293	76	277	5	7	22%	6%	66	-1.1	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Pat Cantwell 2017 · AAA	27	43	36→30	42→40	40	206/266/271	64	280	4	7	27%	5%	54	-2.0	217/284/308	91	303	8	9	29%	6%	70	-0.9	251/336/377	127	319	13	6	24%	8%	103	+0.4
✕Travis Tartamella 2015 · AAA	27	36	36→30	43→30	37	178/220/237	59	253	5	3	31%	5%	28	-3.9	193/235/269	76	290	6	7	34%	5%	41	-3.0	152/175/183	31	253	0	0	39%	3%	-2	-1.3
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Beau Seabury 2011 · A	26	40	35→30	40→45	36	191/240/247	56	290	2	5	34%	5%	38	-3.2	214/265/307	93	307	8	6	31%	5%	62	-1.4	223/262/337	114	303	11	0	29%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	40	39→40	44→45	38	196/252/279	83	283	6	5	32%	6%	51	-2.3	181/227/257	76	292	6	7	38%	4%	36	-3.4	149/188/204	56	252	3	4	41%	3%	6	-1.6
✕Joe Hudson 2018 · AA	27	36	38→45	46→40	44	177/240/259	82	241	5	3	28%	7%	42	-2.9	200/255/310	110	282	11	4	32%	7%	59	-1.6	168/269/293	125	244	17	8	36%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Jose Gonzalez 2014 · AAA	27	38	37→30	40	39	188/244/255	68	266	6	6	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/254/272	80	293	6	7	34%	7%	49	-2.4	115/186/154	39	191	4	0	39%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	45	35→30	46→45	46	208/270/271	63	265	2	8	21%	7%	55	-1.9	201/265/259	58	277	4	8	27%	7%	51	-2.3	175/243/180	5	250	0	5	28%	8%	23	-1.9
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	41→37	40	42→50	42	200/257/286	86	276	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	192/254/289	97	261	11	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	161/230/243	82	217	11	11	30%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Alberto Rosario 2014 · AAA	27	43	38→30	45→50	41	207/251/279	72	254	7	8	21%	4%	50	-2.3	207/249/285	78	259	6	6	22%	4%	51	-2.3	217/249/252	36	269	2	3	19%	3%	40	-0.9
✕Warren Schaeffer 2012 · AAA	27	42	37→30	44→40	38	203/248/277	73	276	4	4	27%	4%	48	-2.5	193/245/266	73	267	5	7	28%	4%	45	-2.7	155/204/188	33	218	2	4	28%	3%	9	-2.2
✕J.C. Boscan 2007 · AAA	27	42	38→40	41→30	40	203/259/278	76	288	6	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	209/275/276	67	276	4	5	24%	8%	59	-1.7	209/277/258	49	269	2	2	21%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Tommy Whiteman 2006 · AAA	27	42→39	39→30	41→40	42	203/261/282	79	288	7	6	31%	7%	55	-2.0	195/243/284	89	300	9	8	36%	6%	48	-2.5	128/155/180	53	216	5	3	43%	3%	-12	-1.8
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	43	36→30	44→30	46	203/264/270	67	270	3	5	25%	7%	53	-2.1	210/273/292	82	277	6	7	24%	8%	61	-1.5	194/260/241	47	255	2	0	23%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Brandon Bantz 2014 · AAA	27	42	39→40	40→30	41	206/256/291	85	274	7	5	27%	5%	54	-2.0	217/265/312	95	283	8	6	25%	6%	63	-1.4	206/257/292	86	257	9	0	23%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Colton Plaia 2018 · AA	27	46	36→40	41→30	43	216/270/279	62	290	4	3	26%	6%	57	-1.8	195/245/302	107	292	10	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	160/207/275	115	243	12	0	39%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Mike Nickeas 2010 · AAA	27	41	38→40	42→40	46	198/259/272	73	253	5	5	23%	7%	51	-2.2	222/287/307	85	268	7	4	19%	8%	70	-0.8	221/287/299	77	265	6	1	18%	8%	67	-0.5