Anyelo Ovando

P Modesto Nuts

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 222 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	ROKSEA	18	1	24	2.59	3.26	28.2%	20.0%	—	K 19.2% · BB 25.0% · FIP 4.65
2024	23	MIX2 levels	34	0	57	4.58	3.15	28.1%	14.2%	—	K 20.6% · BB 16.0% · FIP 4.36
2025	24	AModesto Nuts	27	0	37	7.23	3.69	20.7%	13.0%	—	K 15.3% · BB 15.4% · FIP 4.78
2027PROJ	26	MLBSEA	23	0	24	5.15	5.15	20.1%	13.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBSEA	11	0	12	5.09	5.10	20.4%	13.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Derek Eitel (age 27) · Justin Courtney (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%20.1%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	22	17	1	0%	1.7	17.6%	25.0%	-7.4%	1.6%	3.93	5.68	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	22	17	1	0%	1.7	25.9%	20.0%	5.9%	1.2%	3.93	4.19	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	23	0	33	149	47	21	1	0%	1.4	21.4%	17.6%	3.8%	0.9%	3.24	4.03	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	23	0	33	149	47	21	1	0%	1.4	31.5%	14.1%	17.4%	0.7%	3.24	2.56	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	18	1	24	110	31	22	0	6%	1.4	19.2%	25.0%	-5.8%	0.0%	2.59	4.65	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	18	1	24	110	31	22	0	6%	1.4	28.2%	20.0%	8.2%	0.0%	2.59	3.26	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	16.0%	4.7%	1.8%	4.58	4.36	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	20.6%	16.0%	4.7%	1.8%	4.58	4.36	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	57	267	75	38	3	0%	1.7	28.1%	14.2%	13.9%	1.1%	4.58	3.15	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	15.4%	-0.1%	1.9%	7.23	4.78	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	15.3%	15.4%	-0.1%	1.9%	7.23	4.78	—
2025	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	27	0	37	184	38	24	2	0%	1.4	20.7%	13.0%	7.6%	1.1%	7.23	3.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SEA	23	0	24	101	20	14	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	13.9%	6.2%	2.9%	5.15	5.15	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	32	0	33	140	28	19	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	13.5%	6.9%	3.0%	5.09	5.10	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	11	0	12	51	10	7	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.5%	6.9%	3.0%	5.09	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	51	10	7	2	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.5%	6.9%	3.0%	5.09	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	116	33	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.5%	6.9%	3.0%	5.09	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		113	1	170	795	151	146	11	1%	1.5	19.0%	18.4%	0.7%	1.4%	4.54	4.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	1	200	933	178	171	13	1%	1.5	19.0%	18.4%	0.7%	1.4%	4.54	4.58	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anyelo Ovando (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	20.1%	13.9%	2.9%	—	5.10	20.4%	6.9%	33	-0.05	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	87
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	85
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	84
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	84
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	84
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	84
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	84
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	83
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Jake Johansen R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	15.9%	12.1%	2.5%	.273	3.65	12.8%	4.9%	48	-1.00	3.65	162	83
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	20.2%	13.7%	1.14	5.12
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88