Joel Mendez — OGILVIE

Joel MendezLF Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .230 / .251

PA99

HR1

K%34

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	214	173	38	9	1	7	38	84	3	7	2	220	369	405	774	185	378	39	18	353	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	249	205	42	12	5	5	35	90	5	4	4	205	335	385	720	180	325	36	14	322	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	113	99	29	4	3	1	11	35	1	1	0	293	369	424	794	131	431	31	10	349	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	158	130	38	10	4	6	26	42	0	2	1	292	410	569	979	277	381	27	16	419	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	181	39	8	3	2	22	76	3	2	0	215	311	326	637	110	346	36	10	287	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	214	185	21	5	1	3	26	106	3	7	2	114	234	200	434	86	224	50	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	249	215	21	6	2	1	25	111	5	4	4	98	208	158	366	60	187	45	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	113	103	18	2	2	0	7	53	1	1	0	175	234	233	467	58	336	47	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	158	140	27	6	3	4	16	62	0	2	1	193	276	364	640	171	292	39	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	189	29	5	2	1	14	103	3	2	0	153	223	217	440	63	306	49	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	214	185	21	5	1	3	26	106	3	7	2	114	234	200	434	86	237	50	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	—	214	173	38	9	1	7	38	84	3	7	2	220	369	405	774	185	378	39	18	353	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	249	215	21	6	2	1	25	111	5	4	4	98	208	158	366	60	187	45	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	249	205	42	12	5	5	35	90	5	4	4	205	335	385	720	180	325	36	14	322	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	113	103	18	2	2	0	7	53	1	1	0	175	234	233	467	58	346	47	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	113	99	29	4	3	1	11	35	1	1	0	293	369	424	794	131	431	31	10	349	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	158	140	27	6	3	4	16	62	0	2	1	193	276	364	640	171	303	39	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	158	130	38	10	4	6	26	42	0	2	1	292	410	569	979	277	381	27	16	419	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	189	29	5	2	1	14	103	3	2	0	153	223	217	440	63	315	49	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	181	39	8	3	2	22	76	3	2	0	215	311	326	637	110	346	36	10	287	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	—	214	183	21	5	1	3	26	106	3	7	2	115	234	202	436	87	224	50	12	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	249	217	21	6	2	1	25	111	5	4	4	97	208	157	365	60	187	45	10	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	113	104	18	2	2	0	7	53	1	1	0	173	234	231	465	58	336	47	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	158	141	27	6	3	4	16	62	0	2	1	191	276	362	637	170	292	39	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	191	29	5	2	1	14	103	3	2	0	152	223	215	438	63	306	49	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	158	141	27	6	3	4	16	62	0	2	1	191	276	362	637	170	292	39	10	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	210	191	29	5	2	1	14	103	3	2	0	152	223	215	438	63	306	49	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	260	238	39	7	2	3	18	89	2	4	1	166	232	254	485	88	243	34	7	223	37	-20	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	137	125	21	4	1	2	10	46	1	2	1	170	237	265	502	95	246	34	7	230	42	-10	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	41	38	6	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	170	237	262	499	92	247	34	7	229	42	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	6	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	158	220	263	483	105	217	34	7	229	31	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	95	16	0	16	48	222	0	16	0	158	220	264	484	106	217	34	7	229	31	-45	+3	+0	-7	+14	-3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1180	1048	152	31	12	12	105	515	14	19	8	145	232	232	464	87	262	44	9	214	31	-17	+0	+0	-3	+5	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	84	17	7	7	58	284	8	10	4	146	233	236	469	90	263	44	9	214	31	-47	+1	+0	-7	+14	-4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joel Mendez (OGILVIE)	24	20	30	40	40	164/230/251	87	243	1	1	34%	7%	37	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jalen Battles 2024 · AA	24	37	39→30	41→45	35	184/232/259	75	281	8	9	36%	5%	38	-3.2	193/244/263	70	288	5	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	182/232/235	54	269	2	10	32%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Steve Laurino 2017 · A	24	36	38→30	43→30	42	179/240/256	76	250	6	3	30%	7%	40	-3.0	189/243/275	86	288	8	5	35%	6%	46	-2.6	149/195/210	61	244	7	0	40%	4%	11	-1.5
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Ryan Higgins 2024 · A	24	35	42→40	45	36	174/242/277	102	277	9	10	38%	6%	47	-2.5	187/251/284	97	310	9	10	40%	6%	52	-2.2	159/224/238	80	273	9	9	43%	5%	30	-2.0
✕Ben Verlander 2016 · A	24	36→34	37→40	46→40	37	180/224/248	68	255	5	4	31%	5%	32	-3.6	197/245/277	80	273	5	5	28%	5%	47	-2.6	195/241/273	78	265	5	2	27%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Jay Baum 2017 · A	24	40→39	38→40	45→50	43	196/249/276	80	259	6	11	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/294	92	277	8	11	28%	6%	53	-2.1	170/199/256	86	240	7	12	32%	3%	21	-1.1
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Jean Perez 2024 · A	23	39	38→40	42→50	34	192/236/268	76	282	7	8	34%	4%	42	-2.9	194/228/275	81	290	7	11	34%	3%	40	-3.1	178/207/252	73	263	7	13	34%	2%	24	-1.7
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	36→30	39→50	34	186/228/241	55	281	4	5	34%	4%	32	-3.7	206/257/276	70	290	5	6	29%	5%	51	-2.2	200/251/246	46	278	3	3	27%	5%	41	-1.0
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕D.K. Carey 2016 · A	24	40→37	41→40	42→45	47	197/265/289	92	253	8	7	25%	8%	58	-1.7	187/262/278	91	268	8	6	31%	9%	55	-2.0	166/249/248	82	243	7	4	32%	9%	42	-1.6
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	36→32	41→40	46→45	37	182/232/275	93	270	9	6	35%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/268	89	276	9	7	37%	6%	40	-3.1	146/198/219	73	225	9	5	38%	5%	14	-3.6
✕Michael Rockett 2011 · A	24	38→35	41→40	42→45	34	193/223/292	100	256	8	6	28%	3%	42	-2.9	206/228/296	90	297	6	6	32%	3%	44	-2.8	206/222/290	83	303	5	5	33%	2%	37	-1.6
✕CJ Rodriguez 2024 · A	24	39	37→30	44→30	45	190/254/259	69	258	5	3	27%	7%	47	-2.5	184/259/237	53	249	3	3	25%	9%	44	-2.8	172/256/197	26	229	1	0	23%	9%	33	-1.1
✕Chase Luttrell 2024 · A	24	37	41→45	42→45	39	189/235/285	96	254	9	7	29%	5%	45	-2.7	198/248/309	111	294	11	8	35%	6%	56	-1.9	152/204/275	122	246	12	5	42%	5%	30	-1.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	37→38	36→30	47→50	40	180/237/245	65	265	3	10	32%	6%	37	-3.3	163/213/223	60	309	3	8	45%	5%	23	-4.3	103/146/136	34	238	0	5	54%	4%	-25	-4.5