Joel MendezLF
Bradenton Marauders
Age 23
R/R
6'0" / 180 lbs
A
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .253 / .291
PA196
HR4
K%39
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
30→30
SPD
40→40
EYE
52↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.5M | $-37M | -$37M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$37M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$37M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 214 | 189 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 128 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .101 | .206 | .180 | .386 | .079 | .276 | 60 | 10 | .184 | -1 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -2.0 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 249 | 217 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 4 | .101 | .204 | .175 | .379 | .074 | .230 | 53 | 9 | .173 | -9 | -31 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -2.8 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 113 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .175 | .234 | .233 | .467 | .058 | .360 | 49 | 6 | .216 | 24 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 158 | 140 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .186 | .269 | .336 | .605 | .150 | .307 | 41 | 10 | .267 | 63 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 210 | 187 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 108 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .155 | .233 | .241 | .474 | .086 | .333 | 51 | 8 | .208 | 17 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | PIT | 196 | 177 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 76 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .181 | .253 | .294 | .546 | .113 | .286 | 39 | 8 | .250 | 49 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | PIT | 255 | 229 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 94 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .188 | .265 | .310 | .575 | .122 | .288 | 37 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | PIT | 332 | 298 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 118 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .198 | .274 | .329 | .602 | .131 | .289 | 36 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | PIT | 383 | 343 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 134 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .198 | .276 | .327 | .603 | .128 | .290 | 35 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | PIT | 408 | 365 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 142 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .200 | .279 | .332 | .611 | .132 | .290 | 35 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | PIT | 420 | 376 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 147 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .197 | .276 | .324 | .600 | .128 | .290 | 35 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -15 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PIT | 420 | 376 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 148 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .197 | .276 | .324 | .600 | .128 | .289 | 35 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -16 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +12 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | PIT | 417 | 373 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 148 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .193 | .273 | .319 | .592 | .126 | .287 | 35 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -17 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 407 | 364 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 146 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .192 | .272 | .313 | .585 | .121 | .285 | 36 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -18 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +12 | -1.3 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 391 | 349 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 143 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .268 | .301 | .569 | .115 | .284 | 37 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -19 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +11 | -1.5 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 363 | 325 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .185 | .264 | .295 | .559 | .111 | .282 | 37 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -19 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -1.7 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 319 | 285 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 121 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .175 | .256 | .277 | .534 | .102 | .280 | 38 | 9 | .249 | 49 | -19 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +9 | -1.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5255 | 4696 | 854 | 162 | 31 | 107 | 459 | 2039 | 54 | 61 | 14 | .182 | .262 | .298 | .560 | .116 | .289 | 39 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -279 | +7 | -20 | -56 | +149 | -20.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 252 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .182 | .264 | .298 | .561 | .115 | .291 | 39 | 9 | .255 | 53 | -35 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +18 | -2.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 214 | 173 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 38 | 84 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .220 | .369 | .405 | .774 | .185 | .378 | 39 | 18 | .353 | 128 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 249 | 205 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 90 | 5 | 4 | 4 | .205 | .335 | .385 | .720 | .180 | .325 | 36 | 14 | .322 | 104 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 113 | 99 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .293 | .369 | .424 | .794 | .131 | .431 | 31 | 10 | .349 | 125 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 158 | 130 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .292 | .410 | .569 | .979 | .277 | .381 | 27 | 16 | .419 | 179 | +14 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 210 | 181 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .215 | .311 | .326 | .637 | .110 | .346 | 36 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Joel Mendez (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 40 | .180/.253/.291 | .111 | .286 | 4 | 3 | 39% | 8% | 49 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A |
23 | 42→40 | 40 | 45→50 | 38 | .200/.260/.298 | .098 | .310 | 7 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .230/.277/.322 | .092 | .327 | 5 | 11 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .249/.288/.338 | .090 | .325 | 5 | 16 | 24% | 4% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A |
23 | 36→28 | 40→50 | 43→45 | 32 | .177/.227/.272 | .095 | .294 | 8 | 6 | 41% | 5% | 32 | -3.0 | .179/.229/.262 | .083 | .327 | 7 | 12 | 45% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .126/.175/.165 | .039 | .254 | 6 | 26 | 50% | 3% | -21 | -1.6 |
|
✕Gabriel Garcia 2021 · A |
23 | 35 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .176/.264/.284 | .108 | .267 | 11 | 6 | 36% | 9% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.254/.308 | .117 | .336 | 12 | 7 | 44% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .150/.209/.256 | .107 | .280 | 12 | 3 | 49% | 6% | 20 | -1.5 |
|
✕Chuckie Jones 2015 · A |
23 | 39→40 | 45 | 45→50 | 36 | .194/.249/.309 | .115 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .209/.264/.330 | .121 | .291 | 13 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .191/.247/.316 | .125 | .238 | 13 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 47 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dylan Rosa 2019 · A |
23 | 38→31 | 44→45 | 44→45 | 38 | .188/.250/.303 | .115 | .301 | 12 | 6 | 40% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .194/.246/.312 | .118 | .295 | 13 | 8 | 37% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .171/.225/.295 | .124 | .275 | 16 | 8 | 42% | 5% | 35 | -1.2 |
|
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A |
23 | 42→38 | 40 | 46→45 | 39 | .202/.257/.294 | .092 | .302 | 8 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .200/.252/.309 | .109 | .367 | 14 | 4 | 46% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .167/.218/.258 | .091 | .326 | 16 | 0 | 51% | 6% | 22 | -1.9 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A |
22 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→65 | 37 | .193/.250/.274 | .080 | .298 | 7 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .205/.278/.298 | .093 | .301 | 7 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .200/.277/.293 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 42 | 30% | 7% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ignacio Valdez 2018 · A |
23 | 32 | 47→45 | 43→50 | 36 | .168/.238/.295 | .127 | .287 | 15 | 3 | 45% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .187/.241/.285 | .098 | .331 | 9 | 5 | 43% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .137/.165/.201 | .064 | .247 | 4 | 0 | 45% | 3% | -17 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A |
23 | 38 | 41→40 | 47→30 | 42 | .186/.260/.282 | .097 | .283 | 10 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .200/.264/.303 | .103 | .319 | 8 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .192/.255/.314 | .122 | .310 | 8 | 3 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A |
23 | 36 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 47 | .180/.269/.290 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 34% | 10% | 56 | -1.3 | .183/.252/.285 | .102 | .264 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A |
23 | 39→40 | 39→45 | 49→45 | 37 | .187/.241/.273 | .085 | .291 | 6 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .183/.266/.292 | .109 | .257 | 11 | 5 | 31% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .165/.258/.271 | .106 | .227 | 11 | 3 | 31% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→50 | 44→50 | 43 | .202/.275/.325 | .123 | .289 | 13 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.283/.322 | .129 | .298 | 14 | 9 | 37% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .164/.260/.293 | .129 | .260 | 17 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A |
23 | 37 | 39→40 | 44→40 | 40 | .183/.248/.267 | .084 | .269 | 7 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .204/.274/.291 | .087 | .309 | 7 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .202/.278/.286 | .084 | .311 | 6 | 2 | 34% | 7% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Brandon Parker 2022 · A |
23 | 38 | 45 | 49→50 | 36 | .183/.256/.302 | .120 | .315 | 12 | 6 | 43% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .194/.271/.320 | .126 | .306 | 13 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .179/.256/.306 | .127 | .284 | 15 | 11 | 40% | 7% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
✕Tristen Lutz 2022 · AA |
23 | 39→38 | 44→45 | 40 | 34 | .190/.247/.303 | .113 | .313 | 12 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .206/.275/.341 | .135 | .346 | 16 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.272/.328 | .136 | .329 | 18 | 1 | 44% | 9% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A |
24 | 37→44 | 42→45 | 42→50 | 40 | .183/.254/.294 | .110 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.278/.295 | .092 | .278 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.282/.286 | .084 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Dyron Campos 2023 · A |
22 | 37 | 42→30 | 47→50 | 38 | .189/.240/.292 | .103 | .270 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .177/.233/.270 | .093 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 39% | 5% | 34 | -2.8 | .116/.177/.189 | .072 | .193 | 8 | 13 | 43% | 4% | -12 | -2.0 |
|
✕Dominic De La Osa 2009 · A |
23 | 44→36 | 41→40 | 47→45 | 43 | .207/.286/.303 | .096 | .304 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .191/.252/.252 | .061 | .269 | 4 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .170/.226/.205 | .035 | .236 | 1 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 11 | -3.0 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2019 · A |
23 | 37→42 | 39→45 | 41→50 | 35 | .184/.237/.261 | .077 | .294 | 8 | 5 | 39% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .183/.239/.277 | .094 | .288 | 10 | 4 | 38% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |