Luis Garcia (P, DSL CLE Goryl) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Luis Garcia P DSL CLE Goryl

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.21

FIP4.21

K%22.7%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	19	0	27	122	24	13	2	0%	1.4	13.4%	13.3%	0.1%	2.3%	2.96	4.90	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	19	0	27	122	24	13	2	0%	1.4	19.7%	10.7%	9.0%	1.6%	2.96	3.72	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	17	2	34	148	41	12	2	12%	2.0	18.8%	10.1%	8.7%	1.7%	4.54	3.71	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	17	2	34	148	41	12	2	12%	2.0	27.7%	8.1%	19.6%	1.4%	4.54	2.51	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	6	6	20	92	15	3	1	100%	3.4	11.1%	4.1%	7.0%	0.6%	4.87	3.03	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Red	6	6	20	92	15	3	1	100%	3.4	11.1%	4.1%	7.0%	0.6%	4.87	3.03	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Red	6	6	20	92	15	3	1	100%	3.4	16.3%	3.3%	13.0%	1.1%	4.87	2.71	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	7	0	9	41	7	5	1	0%	1.2	17.1%	12.2%	4.9%	2.4%	6.23	4.54	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	7	0	9	41	7	5	1	0%	1.2	17.1%	12.2%	4.9%	2.4%	6.23	4.54	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	7	0	9	41	7	5	1	0%	1.2	17.1%	12.2%	4.9%	2.4%	6.23	4.72	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.7%	8.0%	14.7%	3.0%	4.21	4.21	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	20	7	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	3.0%	4.17	4.13	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	3.0%	4.17	4.13	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	3.0%	4.17	3.75	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	7.8%	15.5%	3.0%	4.17	3.75	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		49	8	90	403	61	40	7	16%	1.8	15.2%	9.9%	5.3%	1.7%	4.30	4.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	18	200	896	136	89	15	16%	1.8	15.2%	9.9%	5.3%	1.7%	4.30	4.00	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.21	22.7%	8.0%	3.0%	—	4.13	23.3%	15.5%	20	-0.08	—	—	—
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	85
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	84
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	83
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	83
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	83
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	83
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	82
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	82
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	82
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	82
Jake Bray R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	23	SU	3.28	21.1%	7.7%	1.8%	.245	4.56	21.4%	10.8%	158	+1.28	2.51	198	82
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	82
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	81
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	81
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	80
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	80
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	80
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	80