Taylor Dollard
P
Everett AquaSox
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.6%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%11.4%
IP69
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL6060
CMD3535
K†4045
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 19 | 18 | 105 | 459 | 133 | 24 | 14 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.14 | 4.06 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 27 | 144 | 572 | 131 | 31 | 9 | 18.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 2.25 | 3.43 | +3.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 3 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 7.56 | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 19 | 18 | 69 | 309 | 54 | 17 | 11 | 13.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.54 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 2 | 2 | 7 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 12.15 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 69 | 293 | 50 | 26 | 10 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 5.00 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 76 | 333 | 59 | 31 | 11 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 5.63 | 4.56 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 51 | 26 | 10 | 17.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 4.96 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 51 | 25 | 10 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.96 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 50 | 25 | 9 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 4.95 | 4.99 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 47 | 24 | 9 | 18.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 60 | — | 60 | 253 | 45 | 24 | 9 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 5.08 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 42 | 23 | 9 | 17.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.17 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 39 | 23 | 9 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 5.27 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 16.7% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 5.51 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 68 | 333 | 1416 | 264 | 90 | 47 | 18.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.97 | 4.16 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 41 | 200 | 850 | 158 | 54 | 28 | 18.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.97 | 4.16 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Dollard (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% | — | 4.97 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 200 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 95 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 91 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 88 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 87 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 86 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.95 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.80 | 3.95 | 297 | 86 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 86 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.80 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .301 | 3.96 | 26.2% | 21.8% | 50 | -0.84 | 3.31 | 213 | 85 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.46 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 125 | 85 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 85 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 85 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 84 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 84 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 84 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.39 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 109 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 83 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 83 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 83 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.14 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 104 | 83 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.