Luis Leones — OGILVIE

Luis LeonesCF Daytona Tortugas

Age 23 L/L 5'7" / 155 lbs A HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .248 / .258

PA174

HR3

K%41

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

EYE

48↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-27M	-$28M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$28M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	59	54	7	1	1	1	3	32	2	6	0	.130	.203	.241	.444	.111	.286	54	5	.157	-22	-8	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
2022	19	ROK	DSL Reds	79	73	14	2	0	1	2	39	2	0	1	.192	.234	.260	.494	.068	.382	49	3	.203	14	-8	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.6
2023	20	ROK	ACL Reds	82	71	16	3	1	1	8	37	2	5	0	.225	.321	.338	.659	.113	.455	45	10	.259	56	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2024	21	ROK	2 teams	145	136	14	1	0	1	6	89	1	8	3	.103	.147	.132	.279	.029	.283	61	4	.126	-45	-24	+0	+0	+1	+4	-1.9
2025	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	186	157	23	1	1	1	18	97	7	22	0	.146	.264	.185	.448	.038	.367	52	10	.215	23	-16	+4	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	CIN	174	155	27	5	1	3	14	72	3	4	1	.174	.256	.277	.533	.103	.286	41	8	.236	39	-12	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 10%	CIN	238	212	38	7	1	4	20	93	4	6	1	.179	.263	.278	.541	.099	.287	39	8	.250	50	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2028	25	MLB 25%	CIN	319	283	52	9	1	7	28	120	5	8	1	.184	.269	.297	.566	.113	.289	38	9	.259	57	-16	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.4
2029	26	MLB 42%	CIN	373	331	63	11	2	8	33	138	6	9	1	.190	.276	.308	.584	.118	.290	37	9	.264	60	-17	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.3
2030	27	MLB 62%	CIN	400	355	68	12	2	9	36	147	6	10	1	.192	.277	.313	.590	.121	.290	37	9	.266	62	-17	+2	+0	+1	+11	-0.3
2031	28	MLB 80%	CIN	414	368	69	12	2	9	37	153	6	10	1	.188	.273	.304	.577	.117	.289	37	9	.265	61	-18	+2	-1	+1	+12	-0.4
2032	29	MLB	CIN	415	368	69	12	2	9	38	154	6	9	1	.188	.274	.304	.579	.117	.288	37	9	.263	59	-19	+1	-1	+1	+12	-0.6
2033	30	MLB	CIN	413	367	67	12	2	8	37	155	6	9	1	.183	.268	.292	.560	.109	.287	38	9	.259	57	-20	+1	-2	+1	+12	-0.8
2034	31	MLB	CIN	403	358	65	11	2	8	36	153	6	8	0	.182	.268	.291	.558	.109	.285	38	9	.256	54	-21	+2	-3	+1	+11	-1.0
2035	32	MLB	CIN	387	343	61	11	1	7	35	149	6	7	0	.178	.266	.277	.543	.099	.283	39	9	.251	50	-22	+1	-4	+1	+11	-1.2
2036	33	MLB	CIN	359	319	55	10	1	6	32	141	5	7	0	.172	.258	.266	.525	.094	.281	39	9	.246	46	-22	+1	-4	+1	+10	-1.3
2037	34	MLB	CIN	316	281	47	8	1	5	28	126	4	6	0	.167	.252	.256	.509	.089	.279	40	9	.240	42	-21	+1	-5	+1	+9	-1.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4762	4231	755	128	21	88	411	1895	77	134	12	.178	.263	.281	.544	.103	.294	40	9	.248	48	-278	+22	-20	+17	+135	-12.7
/ 162G	—			650	578	103	17	3	12	56	259	11	18	2	.178	.264	.280	.544	.102	.294	40	9	.248	48	-38	+3	-3	+2	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Reds	59	53	10	2	1	1	4	22	2	6	0	.189	.271	.321	.592	.132	.300	37	7	.270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	ROK	DSL Reds	79	71	21	3	0	1	4	27	2	0	1	.296	.351	.380	.731	.085	.455	34	5	.324	106	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	20	ROK	ACL Reds	82	65	21	4	2	1	14	27	2	5	0	.323	.457	.492	.949	.169	.541	33	17	.419	179	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	20	20	1	0	0	0	0	12	0	0	0	.050	.050	.050	.100	.000	.125	60	0	.045	-107	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	21	ROK	ACL Reds	125	112	22	2	1	1	10	49	1	8	3	.196	.268	.259	.527	.063	.339	39	8	.242	43	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	186	150	31	2	1	2	23	69	7	22	0	.207	.335	.273	.608	.067	.362	37	12	.285	77	-5	+4	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Leones (OGILVIE)	23	20	25	60	50	.167/.248/.258	.091	.286	3	4	41%	8%	39	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron Knapp 2018 · A	23	39→35	38→30	52→55	39	.186/.249/.258	.071	.290	6	19	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.195/.273/.264	.069	.298	5	19	33%	9%	50	-1.8	.188/.276/.247	.059	.286	4	21	32%	11%	45	-1.2
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A	24	40→36	39→40	50	34	.190/.239/.277	.088	.307	6	10	39%	5%	38	-2.6	.202/.251/.294	.092	.326	8	6	38%	5%	47	-1.9	.218/.269/.313	.095	.333	8	3	35%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	39→32	41→50	52→55	38	.182/.249/.280	.098	.312	9	15	42%	8%	44	-2.1	.202/.266/.350	.148	.304	19	21	38%	8%	69	-0.4	.188/.253/.344	.156	.267	22	25	37%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	35→30	41→50	49→50	36	.178/.225/.274	.096	.274	9	13	38%	6%	31	-3.0	.215/.262/.336	.121	.370	12	12	42%	5%	63	-0.8	.212/.254/.349	.137	.373	14	14	45%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	39→45	58→55	39	.175/.252/.270	.095	.313	6	21	42%	8%	43	-2.2	.188/.249/.298	.110	.315	9	21	40%	7%	48	-1.9	.186/.238/.317	.131	.325	10	29	43%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	38→29	44→45	53→50	35	.192/.244/.301	.109	.296	13	13	39%	5%	46	-2.0	.195/.238/.303	.108	.274	11	12	32%	5%	44	-2.1	.188/.229/.295	.108	.250	10	9	29%	4%	37	-1.5
✕Jose King 2022 · A	23	39	39→40	49→50	34	.187/.237/.270	.083	.310	6	11	40%	5%	35	-2.8	.201/.243/.303	.102	.314	9	8	37%	4%	46	-2.0	.193/.223/.303	.109	.281	10	4	34%	3%	37	-0.9
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	38→41	41→45	53→55	41	.189/.248/.285	.096	.268	9	16	32%	7%	44	-2.1	.197/.260/.311	.114	.269	10	17	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.193/.260/.305	.112	.262	10	19	29%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	41	35→30	52→55	42	.188/.277/.248	.060	.302	3	12	35%	8%	49	-1.8	.222/.280/.282	.060	.288	3	17	22%	6%	56	-1.3	.244/.292/.297	.053	.299	2	23	18%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Maximo Mendez 2010 · A	23	42→41	39→40	56→55	38	.189/.258/.275	.086	.329	5	19	41%	8%	46	-2.0	.197/.258/.279	.082	.340	6	18	41%	7%	46	-2.0	.163/.219/.204	.041	.300	6	28	45%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Jose Dilone 2023 · A	22	38	37→30	51→55	41	.177/.254/.244	.067	.289	4	12	37%	8%	37	-2.6	.205/.283/.291	.086	.360	6	11	41%	9%	61	-1.0	.214/.304/.305	.091	.422	8	12	46%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	39→44	39→45	55→60	42	.190/.257/.273	.083	.272	7	25	31%	7%	45	-2.1	.206/.276/.312	.106	.273	10	30	27%	8%	63	-0.8	.207/.278/.306	.099	.269	10	33	26%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→29	40	54→55	42	.174/.266/.267	.093	.296	7	18	40%	9%	49	-1.8	.176/.259/.258	.082	.367	6	21	48%	9%	43	-2.2	.094/.199/.138	.045	.243	2	38	56%	10%	-13	-1.7
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	36→40	42→45	53→55	37	.178/.235/.280	.102	.290	10	14	41%	7%	37	-2.6	.190/.242/.287	.097	.329	7	14	41%	6%	42	-2.3	.184/.234/.279	.095	.329	5	13	43%	6%	33	-2.4
✕Shaver Hansen 2011 · A	23	38	40	53→45	37	.182/.241/.274	.093	.295	7	10	39%	6%	38	-2.6	.202/.251/.291	.089	.306	6	8	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.207/.250/.289	.082	.301	4	6	31%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	39→41	44→45	49→50	40	.192/.266/.307	.115	.289	11	13	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.214/.286/.346	.132	.318	14	11	34%	8%	76	+0.1	.211/.286/.358	.146	.306	16	10	34%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	40→33	41→45	50	44	.196/.269/.293	.097	.285	8	12	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.202/.266/.324	.122	.299	13	11	35%	7%	63	-0.9	.179/.252/.298	.118	.265	14	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	36	.175/.228/.252	.077	.268	5	7	35%	5%	27	-3.3	.186/.270/.336	.150	.264	19	6	36%	9%	69	-0.4	.166/.253/.309	.143	.233	20	4	37%	9%	52	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)