Steven Sanchez

P ACL Mariners

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ROKSEA	16	2	36	3.96	3.13	17.8%	3.8%	—	K 12.1% · BB 4.8% · FIP 4.23
2024	20	MIX3 levels	16	0	20	3.20	3.81	15.1%	10.5%	—	K 11.3% · BB 13.9% · FIP 5.14
2025	21	MIX2 levels	22	1	48	3.17	2.36	23.9%	5.9%	—	K 16.8% · BB 7.1% · FIP 3.50
2027PROJ	23	MLBSEA	23	0	24	4.40	4.40	20.8%	8.2%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBSEA	18	0	19	4.34	4.30	21.6%	8.1%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHeath Holder (age 23) · Josh Advocate (age 24) · Kevin Coulter (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.40

FIP4.40

K%20.8%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%12.5%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	17	6	0	0%	1.7	13.6%	8.8%	4.8%	0.0%	4.91	3.07	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	11	0	18	85	17	6	0	0%	1.7	20.0%	7.1%	12.9%	0.0%	4.91	2.23	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	17	4	43	166	39	12	1	24%	2.5	16.0%	9.0%	6.9%	0.8%	2.32	3.35	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	17	4	43	166	39	12	1	24%	2.5	23.5%	7.2%	16.3%	0.6%	2.32	2.42	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	16	2	36	157	28	6	3	12%	2.3	12.1%	4.8%	7.4%	2.8%	3.96	4.23	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	16	2	36	157	28	6	3	12%	2.3	17.8%	3.8%	14.0%	1.9%	3.96	3.13	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	20	86	13	9	1	0%	1.2	11.3%	13.9%	-2.6%	2.3%	3.20	5.14	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	20	86	13	9	1	0%	1.2	11.3%	13.9%	-2.6%	2.3%	3.20	5.14	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	20	86	13	9	1	0%	1.2	15.1%	10.5%	4.7%	1.2%	3.20	3.81	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	48	205	49	12	2	5%	2.2	16.8%	7.1%	9.7%	1.7%	3.17	3.50	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	48	205	49	12	2	5%	2.2	16.8%	7.1%	9.7%	1.7%	3.17	3.50	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	48	205	49	12	2	5%	2.2	23.9%	5.9%	18.0%	1.0%	3.17	2.36	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	SEA	23	0	24	101	21	8	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	8.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.40	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	45	188	41	15	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.30	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	18	0	19	80	17	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	81	17	7	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	2.9%	4.34	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	73	21	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	2.9%	4.34	3.92	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		82	7	165	699	101	57	11	9%	2.0	14.5%	8.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.32	3.78	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	8	200	846	123	68	14	9%	2.0	14.5%	8.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.32	3.78	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Steven Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	20.8%	8.2%	3.0%	—	4.30	21.6%	13.5%	45	-0.10	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	88
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	88
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	87
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	87
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	87
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	87
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	86
Fred Villarreal R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SU	3.93	17.6%	6.8%	2.6%	.331	3.64	14.1%	3.5%	63	-0.29	3.64	114	86
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	23	SU	3.71	19.7%	6.8%	2.6%	.316	2.79	18.4%	8.6%	41	-0.92	2.79	144	85
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	85
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	85
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	85
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	85
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	21.3%	8.2%	1.14	4.36
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*