Carlos Rojas — OGILVIE

Carlos RojasC Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 186 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .270 / .284

PA186

HR1

K%21

BB%6

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	143	121	23	2	0	1	12	23	6	4	1	190	295	231	526	41	220	16	8	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	143	111	27	2	0	1	22	15	6	4	1	243	396	288	684	45	265	10	15	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	173	40	12	1	1	17	24	5	2	0	231	318	329	647	98	253	12	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	160	48	17	1	1	30	16	5	2	0	300	426	438	863	138	315	8	15	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	143	120	24	5	0	1	18	33	3	1	0	200	319	267	586	67	261	23	13	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	143	110	27	7	0	1	28	23	3	1	0	245	411	336	748	91	295	16	20	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	310	275	62	11	1	1	23	69	7	0	0	225	302	284	585	58	290	22	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	310	269	78	13	1	1	29	48	7	0	0	290	374	357	731	67	342	15	9	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	238	215	43	6	0	2	14	44	2	0	0	200	255	256	511	56	237	18	6	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	238	209	45	6	0	2	20	31	2	0	0	215	290	273	563	57	239	13	8	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	LAD	—	186	170	36	7	1	1	12	38	2	2	1	212	272	282	554	71	266	20	6	255	53	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	240	219	48	9	1	3	16	50	3	3	1	219	282	311	592	91	269	21	7	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	315	287	65	13	1	5	21	66	4	4	1	226	288	331	619	105	271	21	7	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2029	27	MLB	LAD	49%	354	322	71	14	1	5	25	74	4	5	1	220	285	317	602	96	272	21	7	278	71	-12	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2030	28	MLB	LAD	52%	378	344	77	15	1	6	27	80	4	5	1	224	288	326	614	102	272	21	7	278	71	-12	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.5
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	73	67	15	3	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	224	288	313	601	90	266	21	7	256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	139	127	28	5	1	2	9	29	2	2	0	220	283	323	605	102	267	21	6	264	60	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB	LAD	49%	174	158	36	7	1	3	12	36	2	2	1	228	291	342	632	114	268	21	7	266	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	28	MLB	LAD	52%	195	177	40	8	1	3	14	41	2	2	1	226	290	333	623	107	268	21	7	266	62	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	581	529	119	23	3	9	40	121	7	7	2	225	288	331	619	106	274	21	7	264	61	-26	+1	-0	+10	+16	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	133	26	3	10	45	135	8	8	2	225	288	329	618	105	273	21	7	264	61	-29	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2508	2246	489	94	7	26	185	501	40	26	6	218	289	301	589	83	265	20	7	264	60	-112	+3	-1	+45	+71	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	127	24	2	7	48	130	10	7	2	218	289	302	591	84	265	20	7	264	60	-29	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	143	111	27	2	0	1	22	15	6	4	1	243	396	288	684	45	265	10	15	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	20	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	201	160	48	17	1	1	30	16	5	2	0	300	426	438	863	138	315	8	15	380	149	+11	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	21	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	143	110	27	7	0	1	28	23	3	1	0	245	411	336	748	91	295	16	20	350	126	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	310	269	78	13	1	1	29	48	7	0	0	290	374	357	731	67	342	15	9	332	112	+4	+0	—	—	+9	1.3
2025	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	238	209	45	6	0	2	20	31	2	0	0	215	290	273	563	57	239	13	8	255	54	-12	+0	—	—	+7	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	581	9	7	224	284	325	+10	+8	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	10	8	224	284	325	+11.9	+9.1	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Rojas (OGILVIE)	24	40	25	40	35	212/270/284	71	266	1	2	21%	6%	53	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	45	197/271/262	65	269	3	5	26%	7%	49	-1.8	214/294/304	90	284	7	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/299/301	87	276	6	2	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	218/272/287	69	290	5	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	206/269/263	57	283	2	5	26%	8%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2013 · A	24	47	37→30	46→30	43	221/268/290	69	282	4	4	23%	5%	53	-1.5	210/253/267	57	258	3	4	19%	5%	40	-2.4	192/229/227	35	229	0	1	15%	3%	18	-1.1
✕Billy Rojo 2007 · A	24	46	37→30	42→50	46	219/274/298	79	274	4	7	21%	6%	58	-1.2	210/256/282	72	287	4	9	26%	5%	46	-2.0	196/228/253	57	271	2	12	28%	3%	24	-1.3
✕Yhoxian Medina 2014 · A	24	48→53	36→30	41→50	48	222/289/291	69	283	3	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	237/287/302	65	297	3	11	20%	6%	64	-0.8	240/285/299	59	295	2	11	18%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Chris Clare 2019 · A	24	42→45	37→30	46→40	49	198/278/268	70	258	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	194/266/265	71	270	4	7	28%	7%	47	-1.9	146/222/176	30	221	0	3	31%	6%	3	-1.5
✕Clayton Daniel 2019 · A	24	47	38→40	44→40	45	222/264/299	78	267	5	6	19%	5%	53	-1.5	230/287/311	81	280	6	5	19%	7%	66	-0.6	229/290/299	70	280	5	2	19%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Juan Graterol 2013 · A	24	47	39→40	40→30	42	227/261/307	80	267	6	3	18%	4%	54	-1.4	240/268/328	88	281	7	5	17%	3%	63	-0.9	260/287/326	65	297	3	1	13%	2%	66	-0.3
✕Shawn Roof 2009 · AA	24	47	34→30	41→50	46	220/288/269	50	287	2	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	229/284/286	57	304	2	13	24%	5%	59	-1.1	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2014 · A	24	43	37→40	45→30	41	206/252/277	72	284	4	5	28%	6%	43	-2.2	226/279/305	79	285	5	4	21%	7%	62	-0.9	229/288/312	82	278	6	1	19%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	48	205/281/267	62	284	2	7	27%	9%	54	-1.4	202/269/283	81	288	6	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	150/216/208	58	216	7	5	32%	5%	10	-1.1
✕Edwin Garcia 2015 · AA	24	45	35→30	41→45	42	212/249/267	56	266	3	6	21%	5%	38	-2.6	221/257/277	56	278	2	7	20%	5%	43	-2.2	226/259/270	44	279	1	5	18%	4%	40	-1.2
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2015 · A	24	43	37→30	45→50	43	204/256/274	69	260	4	4	22%	6%	44	-2.1	202/258/267	65	252	5	3	21%	6%	43	-2.2	217/265/265	48	254	6	0	17%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Jose Toussen 2014 · A	24	43	35→30	44→50	44	201/249/258	57	260	2	9	23%	6%	37	-2.7	206/257/275	69	281	3	12	26%	6%	44	-2.1	192/232/231	38	269	0	19	27%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Kevin Coddington 2011 · A	24	47	37→40	41→45	40	224/264/296	72	283	4	6	22%	4%	53	-1.5	225/268/309	84	268	6	8	18%	5%	58	-1.2	234/273/308	73	259	6	8	12%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Pat Cantwell 2014 · A	24	44	37→30	46→40	42	207/258/275	68	259	4	8	21%	4%	46	-2.0	209/271/278	69	277	4	5	25%	5%	53	-1.5	198/263/270	72	265	7	5	26%	6%	44	-0.7
✕Rocky Gale 2012 · AA	24	37→45	37→40	41→30	40	184/232/251	67	245	5	5	27%	5%	27	-3.3	204/235/262	58	251	4	4	20%	4%	30	-3.1	251/279/300	49	306	2	1	18%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Mike Dowd 2014 · AA	24	46	38→40	40	40	221/262/301	79	264	6	4	19%	3%	53	-1.5	200/251/275	75	259	5	6	24%	5%	43	-2.2	178/218/228	50	236	3	2	25%	4%	11	-1.5
✕Nelson Robledo 2008 · A	24	45	36→30	41→30	42	212/261/279	67	278	4	4	24%	5%	47	-1.9	198/255/263	65	288	4	5	31%	7%	41	-2.3	151/216/180	29	236	2	0	34%	7%	2	-2.0
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	47	36→30	40	48	217/303/275	58	294	4	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	231/316/301	70	322	3	5	27%	8%	78	+0.2	238/330/299	62	337	1	3	26%	9%	80	+0.1