Roque Gutierrez

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 RHP 5'9" / 177 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ALAA	28	4	99	5.38	3.49	27.0%	8.0%	—	K 20.0% · BB 9.5% · FIP 4.59
2025	22	MIX2 levels	25	12	94	4.69	4.19	25.2%	10.3%	—	K 19.9% · BB 11.6% · FIP 5.25
2026	23	AALAD	25	8	82	5.57	5.31	17.7%	9.4%	—	K 14.4% · BB 10.4% · FIP 6.12
2027PROJ	24	MLBLAD	64	0	67	5.73	5.73	15.2%	11.4%	-0.9
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBLAD	36	0	38	5.51	5.47	16.7%	10.7%	-0.4
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBLAD	54	0	57	5.37	5.34	17.4%	10.4%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsCooper Adams (age 24) · Paulshawn Pasqualotto (age 23) · Cullen Kafka (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%15.2%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%3.8%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	0	15	69	10	5	1	0%	1.3	9.9%	9.1%	0.8%	1.9%	5.87	4.46	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	12	0	15	69	10	5	1	0%	1.3	14.5%	7.2%	7.2%	1.4%	5.87	3.62	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	35	155	43	11	5	0%	1.5	19.4%	8.6%	10.8%	4.0%	5.14	4.75	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	35	155	43	11	5	0%	1.5	27.7%	7.1%	20.6%	3.2%	5.14	3.44	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	9	51	219	57	17	2	50%	2.8	18.8%	9.5%	9.4%	1.2%	4.41	3.36	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	9	51	219	57	17	2	50%	2.8	26.0%	7.8%	18.3%	0.9%	4.41	2.37	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	20.0%	9.5%	10.5%	3.6%	5.38	4.59	—
2024	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	20.0%	9.5%	10.5%	3.6%	5.38	4.59	—
2024	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	4	99	437	118	35	13	14%	3.5	27.0%	8.0%	19.0%	3.0%	5.38	3.49	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	4.3%	4.69	5.25	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	19.9%	11.6%	8.4%	4.3%	4.69	5.25	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	12	94	408	103	42	14	48%	3.8	25.2%	10.3%	15.0%	3.4%	4.69	4.19	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	25	8	82	361	64	34	16	32%	3.3	14.4%	10.4%	4.0%	5.3%	5.57	6.12	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	25	8	82	361	64	34	16	32%	3.3	14.4%	10.4%	4.0%	5.3%	5.57	6.12	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	25	8	82	361	64	34	16	32%	3.3	17.7%	9.4%	8.3%	4.4%	5.57	5.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAD	64	0	67	283	43	32	11	0%	1.0	15.2%	11.4%	3.8%	3.8%	5.73	5.73	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	82	0	86	362	60	39	13	0%	1.0	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.7%	5.51	5.47	-0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	82	0	86	362	63	38	13	0%	1.0	17.4%	10.4%	7.0%	3.7%	5.37	5.34	-0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	80	0	84	356	63	37	13	0%	1.1	17.7%	10.4%	7.3%	3.7%	5.32	5.32	-0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	78	0	82	346	61	36	13	0%	1.1	17.6%	10.5%	7.2%	3.8%	5.35	5.38	-0.8
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	74	0	78	330	64	33	13	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.9%	5.29	5.24	-0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	70	0	74	310	59	32	13	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	4.1%	5.37	5.42	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	36	0	38	160	27	17	6	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.7%	6.0%	3.7%	5.51	5.47	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	54	0	57	241	42	25	9	0%	1.1	17.4%	10.4%	7.0%	3.7%	5.37	5.34	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	63	0	66	279	49	29	10	0%	1.0	17.7%	10.4%	7.3%	3.7%	5.32	5.32	-0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	66	0	69	291	51	30	11	0%	1.0	17.6%	10.5%	7.2%	3.8%	5.35	5.38	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	66	0	69	291	57	29	11	0%	1.0	19.4%	9.9%	9.5%	3.9%	5.29	5.24	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	63	0	66	279	53	28	11	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.2%	8.9%	4.1%	5.37	5.42	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		347	0	364	1537	278	158	59	0%	1.0	18.1%	10.3%	7.8%	3.8%	5.36	4.97	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	87	32	0%	1.1	18.1%	10.3%	7.8%	3.8%	5.36	4.97	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		132	33	376	1649	299	166	63	25%	2.9	18.1%	10.1%	8.0%	3.8%	5.12	4.93	-4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	18	200	876	159	88	33	25%	2.9	18.1%	10.1%	8.0%	3.8%	5.12	4.93	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roque Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	15.2%	11.4%	3.8%	—	5.38	17.3%	6.7%	256	-0.35	—	—	—
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	90
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	87
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	85
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	85
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	83
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	82
Sergio Mitre R 2005 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	13.8%	7.8%	4.1%	.256	3.84	13.0%	6.6%	190	-1.34	3.55	602	82
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	82
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	81
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	81
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	81
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	81
Fernando Nieve R 2006 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	17.0%	8.8%	4.4%	.240	4.67	14.3%	3.1%	37	-0.51	1.96	287	81
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Daniel Concepcion R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	13.0%	10.6%	4.6%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	110	80
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Daniel Ramos R 2018 · 5.01 FIP	23	SW	5.01	16.6%	10.3%	3.6%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	141	80
Diego Granado R 2021 · 5.62 FIP	24	SW	5.62	17.2%	8.5%	5.3%	.335	4.35	15.5%	1.1%	40	-1.27	4.35	110	80
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	80	17.6%	10.5%	1.47	5.41
Rocky Biddle ('04)	1.9	76	15.3%	9.9%	1.40	5.47
Les Webber ('42-'48, -1 WAR*)	2.2	86	17.0%*	10.4%*	1.30*	5.13*
Julio Santana ('06)	2.4	80	14.4%	10.8%	1.32	5.30
Lou Sleater ('50-'58, -2 WAR*)	1.5	60	19.6%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.08*
Wayne Franklin ('06)	1.6	81	14.8%	11.5%	1.59	5.54
John Strohmayer ('70-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.6	78	19.6%*	9.2%*	1.42*	5.14*