Jose Corniell

P Round Rock Express

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2028 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

AAARPD6040-MANROOKIEFG #160MiLBFA 2034

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	23	17	102	2.92	3.08	29.8%	7.8%	—	K 22.5% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.27
2025	22	MIX4 levels	14	13	40	2.50	2.39	27.1%	6.5%	1.2	K 23.5% · BB 5.4% · FIP 1.80
2026	23	MIX2 levels	12	9	40	7.94	3.96	16.1%	9.8%	0.4	K 14.1% · BB 8.7% · FIP 3.38
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	13	13	74	4.20	4.20	17.2%	7.3%	0.6
2028PROJ59% MLB	25	MLBTEX	12	12	73	4.23	4.18	18.8%	7.2%	0.7
2029PROJ75% MLB	26	MLBTEX	16	16	93	4.18	4.13	19.7%	7.2%	1.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$4M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$6M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff51Control55Command55FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 79%

CompsAndrew Quezada (age 24) · Darrell Rasner (age 25) · Noah Gotsis (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%17.2%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%9.8%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL—55

CMD4055

K†4045

CH (20%)

SL (2%)

FB (49%)

CT-1.5 (29%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	13	9	39	176	44	14	7	69%	3.0	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	5.5%	6.75	5.94	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	13	9	39	176	44	14	7	69%	3.0	25.0%	8.0%	17.0%	4.0%	6.75	4.26	—
2022	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	22	4	66	292	71	34	9	18%	3.0	18.0%	13.7%	4.3%	4.4%	5.45	5.73	—
2022	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	22	4	66	292	71	34	9	18%	3.0	24.3%	11.6%	12.7%	3.1%	5.45	4.27	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	17	102	400	119	31	11	74%	4.4	22.5%	9.0%	13.5%	3.5%	2.92	4.27	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	17	102	400	119	31	11	74%	4.4	29.8%	7.8%	22.0%	2.8%	2.92	3.08	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	14	13	40	155	42	10	2	93%	2.8	23.5%	5.4%	18.1%	0.0%	2.50	1.80	+1.5
2025	22	MIX MLE	4 levels	14	13	40	155	42	10	2	93%	2.8	23.5%	5.4%	18.1%	0.0%	2.50	1.80	+1.5
2025	22	MIX RAW	4 levels	14	13	40	155	42	10	2	93%	2.8	27.1%	6.5%	20.6%	1.3%	2.50	2.39	+1.2
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	40	193	31	19	3	75%	3.3	14.1%	8.7%	5.3%	0.7%	7.94	3.38	+0.7
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	9	40	193	31	19	3	75%	3.3	14.1%	8.7%	5.3%	0.7%	7.94	3.38	+0.7
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	9	40	193	31	19	3	75%	3.3	16.1%	9.8%	6.2%	1.6%	7.94	3.96	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	6	37	5	4	3	0%	2.0	13.5%	10.8%	2.7%	8.1%	19.50	9.93	-0.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	13	13	74	312	54	23	7	100%	5.7	17.2%	7.3%	9.8%	2.3%	4.20	4.20	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	21	21	123	520	98	38	12	100%	5.9	18.8%	7.2%	11.5%	2.3%	4.13	4.08	+1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	21	21	123	520	103	38	12	100%	5.9	19.7%	7.2%	12.5%	2.4%	4.08	4.03	+1.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	20	20	121	513	102	38	13	100%	6.1	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	2.5%	4.09	4.08	+1.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	20	20	118	497	98	37	13	100%	5.9	19.7%	7.5%	12.2%	2.6%	4.14	4.17	+1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	19	19	112	475	93	37	13	100%	5.9	19.5%	7.7%	11.8%	2.7%	4.24	4.30	+0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	18	18	106	447	86	36	13	100%	5.9	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.38	4.48	+0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	TEX	16	16	99	417	78	35	13	100%	6.2	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.1%	4.56	4.68	+0.3
2035	32	MLB MLE	TEX	15	15	91	385	71	34	13	100%	6.1	18.3%	8.8%	9.5%	3.4%	4.77	4.91	-0.0
2036	33	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	84	354	63	33	13	100%	6.0	17.8%	9.2%	8.6%	3.7%	5.00	5.16	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	12	12	73	308	58	22	8	100%	6.1	18.8%	7.2%	11.5%	2.5%	4.23	4.18	+0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	16	16	93	393	77	28	10	100%	5.8	19.7%	7.2%	12.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.13	+1.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	17	17	101	426	84	31	11	100%	5.9	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	2.6%	4.19	4.18	+1.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	17	17	103	435	86	33	12	100%	6.1	19.7%	7.5%	12.2%	2.8%	4.25	4.28	+0.9
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	17	17	101	426	83	33	12	100%	5.9	19.5%	7.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.35	4.41	+0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	16	16	97	410	78	33	13	100%	6.1	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	3.1%	4.50	4.60	+0.5
2034	31	MLB CTX	TEX	15	15	91	384	72	32	13	100%	6.1	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.4%	4.69	4.81	+0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	TEX	14	14	85	359	66	31	13	100%	6.1	18.3%	8.8%	9.5%	3.6%	4.91	5.05	-0.0
2036	33	MLB CTX	TEX	13	13	80	338	60	31	13	100%	6.2	17.8%	9.2%	8.6%	3.9%	5.15	5.31	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	138	830	3514	670	279	108	98%	5.9	19.1%	7.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.59	4.19	+6.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	847	162	67	26	98%	5.9	19.1%	7.9%	11.1%	3.1%	4.59	4.19	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		84	52	286	1216	236	119	38	62%	3.4	19.4%	9.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.66	4.41	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	36	200	851	165	83	26	62%	3.4	19.4%	9.8%	9.6%	3.1%	4.66	4.41	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Corniell (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	17.2%	7.3%	2.3%	—	4.06	19.4%	12.2%	368	-0.14	—	—	—
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	74
Darrell Rasner R 2006 · 4.07 FIP	25	SP-	4.07	13.3%	6.0%	2.4%	.246	4.56	12.5%	5.2%	138	+0.49	4.07	158	73
Noah Gotsis R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SP-	3.48	16.5%	6.5%	1.7%	.296	4.25	15.9%	8.6%	90	+0.77	3.48	138	73
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	70
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	70
Ryan Drese R 2001 · 3.58 FIP	25	SW	3.58	16.1%	8.7%	1.3%	.273	4.20	12.8%	5.2%	391	+0.62	3.58	557	70
Collin McHugh R 2012 · 5.20 FIP	25	SP-	5.20	17.2%	6.1%	5.1%	.310	3.36	21.4%	15.3%	384	-1.84	1.77	1,008	70
Steven Bruce R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	25	SW	3.69	14.9%	5.0%	2.2%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.8%	94	+0.25	3.69	148	69
Tyson Ross R 2011 · 3.17 FIP	24	SP-	3.17	16.6%	8.3%	0.8%	.296	3.27	21.9%	13.3%	394	+0.10	2.76	918	69
Cha Seung Baek R 2004 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP-	4.77	14.4%	7.2%	3.6%	.288	3.95	15.7%	10.0%	108	-0.82	3.35	280	69
Juan Gutierrez R 2007 · 3.96 FIP	24	SW	3.96	17.2%	4.3%	3.2%	.314	3.83	20.4%	12.6%	128	-0.13	2.67	379	68
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	68
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	68
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	68
James McArthur R 2021 · 3.81 FIP	24	SP-	3.81	19.7%	7.9%	2.5%	.310	4.12	21.9%	14.0%	194	+0.31	3.48	352	68
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	68
Chad Bettis R 2013 · 4.38 FIP	24	SP-	4.38	14.4%	8.7%	2.6%	.318	3.81	17.4%	10.4%	365	-0.57	3.67	672	68
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	68
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	68
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.3	107	18.9%	7.9%	1.08	4.41
Gavin Floyd ('16)	6.2	104	18.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.37
Ray Washburn ('61-'70, 12 WAR*)	6.0	121	17.6%*	7.5%*	1.17*	4.17*
Wandy Rodriguez ('15)	7.8	142	19.2%	8.0%	1.07	4.10
Homer Bailey ('20)	7.0	117	19.2%	7.7%	1.12	4.56
Tim Leary ('81-'94, 9 WAR*)	7.5	136	18.1%*	8.1%*	1.18*	4.72*
Bob Bruce ('59-'67, 7 WAR*)	5.6	140	20.0%*	7.5%*	1.01*	4.68*