Junior Tilien — OGILVIE

Junior TilienSS West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 168 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .236 / .246

PA128

HR1

K%28

BB%6

BABIP244

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	112	105	12	5	0	0	4	34	2	0	0	114	162	162	324	48	167	30	4	144	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	112	103	17	7	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	165	225	233	458	68	212	21	5	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	334	60	11	1	10	19	125	0	3	0	180	224	308	532	129	251	35	5	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	323	80	13	1	12	30	81	0	3	0	248	312	406	717	158	296	23	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	369	334	60	19	1	5	28	103	4	1	2	180	251	287	539	108	240	28	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	369	325	79	24	1	9	37	70	4	1	2	243	328	406	734	163	281	19	10	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	405	71	13	2	3	28	117	2	4	1	175	232	240	472	64	234	27	6	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	393	91	17	2	6	40	85	2	4	1	232	306	331	637	99	277	19	9	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	221	201	41	11	1	2	17	63	1	1	0	204	269	299	568	95	283	29	8	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	221	197	51	13	1	2	21	44	1	1	0	259	333	365	699	107	320	20	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	DET	—	192	180	29	7	0	1	11	57	1	0	0	161	214	217	430	56	230	30	6	194	7	-20	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
YTD	23	A+	DET	—	192	174	34	9	0	1	17	42	1	0	0	195	271	264	535	69	252	22	9	250	49	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	23	A+	DET	0%	128	118	21	5	0	1	8	36	1	1	0	178	236	246	482	68	255	28	6	231	35	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						251	0	0	224	29	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	DET	—	193	181	29	7	0	1	11	57	1	0	0	160	212	215	428	55	228	30	6	194	7	-20	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.3
TOT	23	A+	DET	—	320	298	50	12	0	2	19	93	2	1	0	168	223	228	451	60	235	29	6	209	18	-30	+0	+0	+3	+9	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	324	297	58	13	1	4	22	87	2	1	0	195	255	286	542	91	260	27	7	248	48	-19	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	382	350	71	16	1	6	27	101	2	2	0	203	264	306	570	103	263	26	7	258	56	-19	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	419	382	77	17	1	7	31	110	3	2	1	202	267	306	573	105	265	26	7	264	60	-19	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	DET	30%	98	90	17	4	0	1	7	26	1	0	0	189	255	267	522	78	256	27	7	240	42	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	DET	44%	169	154	32	7	1	3	12	45	1	1	0	208	269	325	594	117	258	27	7	250	49	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	DET	51%	213	194	40	9	1	4	16	56	1	1	0	206	270	325	595	119	260	26	8	255	53	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	481	439	89	20	2	8	35	127	3	2	0	203	266	312	578	109	265	26	7	250	49	-28	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	121	27	3	11	47	172	4	3	0	204	267	315	582	111	266	26	7	250	49	-37	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2748	2526	471	110	8	38	184	776	17	15	4	186	246	281	528	95	250	28	7	238	40	-186	+1	+0	+29	+78	-7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	112	26	2	9	44	184	4	4	1	188	248	283	531	95	252	28	7	238	40	-44	+0	+0	+7	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	112	103	17	7	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	165	225	233	458	68	212	21	5	212	20	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	353	323	80	13	1	12	30	81	0	3	0	248	312	406	717	158	296	23	8	320	103	+1	+1	—	—	+10	1.2
2023	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	127	114	26	9	0	3	10	28	2	1	1	228	302	386	688	158	274	22	8	306	93	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	242	211	53	15	1	6	27	42	2	0	1	251	342	417	759	166	285	17	11	338	117	+5	-0	—	—	+7	1.1
2024	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	440	393	91	17	2	6	40	85	2	4	1	232	306	331	637	99	277	19	9	288	78	-11	+0	—	—	+12	0.2
2025	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	181	160	43	9	1	1	18	34	1	1	0	269	346	356	703	88	331	19	10	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	40	37	8	4	0	1	3	10	0	0	0	216	275	405	680	189	269	25	8	301	88	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	481	8	2	203	263	308	+5	+3	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	11	3	203	263	308	+7.1	+4.1	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Tilien (OGILVIE)	23	45	25	40	40	168/223/228	60	235	2	1	29%	6%	18	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2013 · A	23	46→51	35→30	40→50	46	216/280/278	63	275	2	7	22%	7%	56	-1.3	223/286/281	58	273	3	10	18%	7%	59	-1.1	225/290/273	48	271	3	12	17%	7%	55	-0.9
✕James Roberts 2015 · A	23	47	37→30	37→40	41	224/279/288	64	294	6	3	25%	5%	58	-1.2	220/272/291	71	281	6	7	23%	5%	56	-1.3	216/266/279	62	271	5	8	21%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Zack MacPhee 2013 · A	23	43	37→30	41→45	46	204/267/279	74	267	4	5	24%	7%	50	-1.7	204/274/278	74	270	5	7	24%	8%	53	-1.5	187/267/242	55	247	3	5	23%	9%	40	-1.5
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	218/272/287	69	290	5	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	206/269/263	57	283	2	5	26%	8%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	45	-2.1	224/284/276	52	298	2	10	23%	6%	56	-1.3	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2021 · A	22	43	36→30	43→50	39	204/258/271	67	287	4	6	29%	5%	44	-2.1	219/274/296	77	271	6	14	20%	6%	57	-1.2	212/269/275	64	258	5	17	19%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	193/251/249	55	267	2	4	27%	7%	35	-2.8	197/252/269	72	277	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	153/201/183	29	222	0	4	29%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Brett Tanos 2012 · A	23	42→48	38→40	43→45	45	199/270/280	81	273	5	5	28%	8%	53	-1.5	222/305/327	105	288	9	7	24%	10%	79	+0.3	229/325/342	113	286	10	8	22%	12%	89	+0.8
✕Victor Moscote 2016 · A	22	43	34→30	43→45	43	201/255/254	54	266	2	4	24%	6%	38	-2.6	204/261/269	65	280	3	4	26%	6%	45	-2.1	216/283/267	51	281	3	2	22%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Kyle Knudson 2011 · A	23	43	37→30	44→30	36	207/250/280	73	299	5	4	31%	4%	43	-2.2	211/270/274	63	301	4	2	29%	6%	50	-1.7	216/286/269	53	298	3	0	26%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Jimmy Rider 2013 · A	23	44→43	36→30	47→45	45	205/269/277	72	275	3	7	25%	7%	51	-1.7	211/279/297	86	278	6	6	24%	8%	60	-1.0	199/279/263	65	269	3	5	25%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Jonathan Morales 2018 · AA	23	43→47	38→40	40→30	41	210/245/284	74	252	6	3	20%	4%	41	-2.3	211/256/283	72	261	5	3	20%	5%	46	-2.0	197/251/289	92	234	11	1	21%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Jose Antequera 2019 · A	23	46	37→30	42→40	43	216/266/285	69	279	4	7	23%	6%	51	-1.7	219/272/293	74	294	5	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	202/251/219	17	272	0	4	24%	5%	23	-0.7
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2014 · A	23	44	36→30	40→50	46	205/260/269	64	252	3	4	19%	6%	44	-2.1	200/255/270	70	255	5	4	22%	6%	43	-2.2	187/242/241	54	231	5	1	21%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Edgar Cabral 2019 · A	23	45	39→40	45→30	43	216/272/300	84	285	7	3	26%	6%	57	-1.2	208/267/311	103	301	9	5	32%	7%	59	-1.1	188/264/255	66	326	0	0	38%	8%	41	-0.4
✕Kyle Overstreet 2017 · A	23	42→45	37→45	44→30	46	198/263/270	72	270	4	5	27%	8%	46	-2.0	228/275/335	107	279	11	3	22%	6%	68	-0.5	220/263/317	97	269	11	1	22%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Yhoxian Medina 2013 · A	23	43→53	36→30	44→50	48	202/278/267	65	267	4	6	24%	8%	53	-1.5	234/291/298	64	299	2	9	21%	7%	65	-0.7	247/301/303	56	311	1	11	19%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Christian Kelley 2017 · A	23	42	36→40	36→30	41	201/249/263	62	269	4	3	26%	5%	38	-2.6	200/261/283	83	272	8	2	28%	6%	50	-1.8	192/255/300	107	253	12	0	28%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Matt Kennelly 2012 · AA	23	44	39→40	36→40	43	215/268/299	84	286	7	3	27%	6%	56	-1.3	219/270/298	79	274	5	6	21%	6%	56	-1.3	212/267/261	49	263	1	2	19%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	48	205/281/267	62	284	2	7	27%	9%	54	-1.4	202/269/283	81	288	6	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	150/216/208	58	216	7	5	32%	5%	10	-1.1